Kolibri is a junior unconventional exploration and production (E&P) company operating in the Tishomingo oil field in southern Oklahoma.
The oil price remains favourable for Kolibri, which has a relatively high share of oil in its production mix, and should provide additional support to the shares. KEI’s growth story remains intact as the company boasts a large proved undeveloped reserve base in the Caney formation alone, without taking into account any potential upside from the T-zone.
Oil & Gas |
Flash note
Oil & Gas |
Update
Oil & Gas |
Initiation
David Neuhauser
Chairman
Gary Johnson
CFO
Wolf Regener
Director, president and CEO
Forecast net debt (US$m)
29.1
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
17
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (6.1) | 9.0 | (5.3) |
Relative | (6.1) | 2.4 | (12.4) |
52 week high/low | C$6.5/C$3.9 |
Kolibri (KEI) released its annual reserves statement, which showed good replacement rates despite a visible increase in average production in FY23. At end-2023, the company’s total gross proved reserves declined by only 3% y-o-y to 32.4mmboe, while the total gross reserves increased by 3% to 79.4mmboe. KEI also reported a netback from operations of US$43.0/boe in FY23, marginally below our estimate of US$43.5/boe, on total average production of 2,796mboe. The company has recently announced that it began drilling the Nickel Hill 35-1H well, which will be followed by Nickel Hill 35-2H.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (US$m) | EBITDA (US$m) | PBT (US$m) | EPS (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021A | 15.0 | 9.3 | (0.4) | (1.72) | N/A | 1.1 |
2022A | 37.6 | 28.9 | 16.6 | 46.74 | 6.9 | 6.9 |
2023E | 53.2 | 41.3 | 21.8 | 61.14 | 5.3 | 5.3 |
2024E | 72.7 | 58.7 | 38.2 | 107.11 | 3.0 | 3.0 |
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