Last close As at 05/08/2026
AUD0.12
▲ 0.01 (4.55%)
Market capitalisation
AUD50m
Research: TMT
Freelancer reported essentially flat revenues in Q325 on a lower gross marketplace volume (GMV). Higher take rates in Escrow.com more than compensated for lower volumes, essentially offsetting a small decline in the Freelancer division’s revenue. The company saw good progress in the Loadshift division and has multiple initiatives ongoing to drive growth in the enterprise business. AI-related projects are making an increasing contribution to core marketplace volumes and the company continues to make use of AI tools to improve internal efficiency and platform quality. We maintain our forecasts.
| Year end | Revenue (AUDm) | EBIT (adj) (AUDm) | PBT (AUDm) | EPS (AUc) | P/E (x) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/23 | 53.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.06 | N/A |
| 12/24 | 51.0 | 0.8 | (1.2) | (0.26) | N/A |
| 12/25e | 54.7 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.46 | 50.1 |
| 12/26e | 57.6 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 0.33 | 69.1 |
The Freelancer division saw a 3.9% y-o-y increase in GMV, helped by growth from Loadshift,
while Escrow saw a 26.0% decline, as Q324 had been boosted by a single
We have revised our revenue forecasts to more accurately reflect the mix in Q325. We have reduced Freelancer and Escrow GMV forecasts but increased the take rate in the Escrow business. Overall, group revenue, operating profit and EPS forecasts are unchanged. Our net cash forecasts reflect the payments for the increased stake in Loadshift.
A reverse discounted cash flow analysis implies that the market is factoring in only mid-single-digit revenue growth and margins for the group over FY25–34. Factoring in revenue growth of 7% per year from FY27 to FY34 and EBITDA margins increasing to 20% by FY34 as the company benefits from operational leverage results in a valuation of A$0.58/share, 152% above the current share price. With improved take rates in Escrow.com and an already high take rate for the Freelancer marketplace, we view reversal of the GMV declines as the key to driving revenue growth. Catalysts would include higher retention rates and project sizes in the core marketplace, enterprise contract wins, growing Loadshift GMV and a growing contribution from customers in new verticals for Escrow.com.
The group saw a 22.5% y-o-y decline in GMV due to the large
The Freelancer division saw a 2.2% revenue decline despite the GMV increase, we estimate due to a higher contribution from the lower take rate Loadshift business. Escrow saw revenue growth of 2.8% as, despite the lower GMV, the take rate of 1.76% was substantially higher than the 1.27% reported in Q324. Overall, revenue was down 0.7% y-o-y.
The company stated that group generated an operating profit in Q325.
The group saw a net cash outflow of A$0.3m in Q325, with operating cash flow of A$1.6m offset by lease payments of A$1.4m and A$0.4m related to the acquisition of additional shares in Loadshift. At the end of H125, Freelancer owned 64.2% of Loadshift and has since increased its ownership stake to 73.36%. A further A$1.2m is still payable in three equal instalments over the next nine months.
Freelancer added 1.86m new users (down 4.1% y-o-y) and saw 171k projects added to
the marketplace (flat quarter-on-quarter and down 16% y-o-y). The average project
size of
GMV contributed by AI-related projects is growing rapidly, albeit from a small base. The chart below shows the progression of AI-related GMV. In Q4, the business will be extending its AI capabilities to improve project-to-talent conversion, engagement and overall marketplace efficiency.
| Exhibit 2: AI-related jobs – GMV in US dollars |
| Source: Freelancer |
The enterprise business has made progress in the following areas:
Loadshift achieved record monthly revenue in September (up 25.3% y-o-y) and record quarterly revenue in Q325 (up 15.5% y-o-y). The business was profitable for Q325. This was achieved through improvements in the award rate (+1.2pp to 28.4%), total jobs awarded (+11.3% y-o-y to 3,512) and delivered loads (+8.2% y-o-y). Carrier engagement was strong with 2.1 quotes per job in the first hour.
During the quarter, a new dashboard was launched to give operations teams real-time visibility into platform activity and performance metrics. The business’s next priorities are to focus on driving widespread user adoption of the in-app calling function, enhancing and streamlining the carrier onboarding experience and implementing real-time GPS tracking to improve customer visibility.
Escrow.com processed domain name transactions (the largest vertical for this business)
with a GMV of
Last year, the company’s focus was on integrating with one of the largest shopping
cart platforms that processes more than
In Q3, the business formed new partnerships with multiple US-based businesses to integrate
Escrow.com payment systems. This includes Immobilium, a global luxury asset platform
with a network of 5,000 real estate agents, and Pitch Capital, an AI-powered capital
raising platform that has already helped secure
To improve service levels in the business, 24/7 customer support was rolled out in Q3, including voice, email and chat support services. The business expanded its account management team and transitioned to a global account management structure.
We have revised our forecasts to reflect lower GMV in both divisions and a higher take rate for Escrow.com. Overall, our revenue, profit and earnings forecasts are unchanged. We have reflected the payments for the increased stake in Loadshift, reducing our net cash forecasts at the end of FY25 from A$26.8m to A$26.0m and at the end of FY26 from A$29.3m to A$27.7m.
The company’s focus for Q425 will continue to be:
The company is targeting A$500k per month in operating profit on an ongoing basis.
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Research: Real Estate
Foxton Group’s Q3 Lettings revenue supported an increase of c 3% but declining confidence in the London sales market due to uncertainty related to the Autumn Budget had an impact on Sales volumes and revenue, which is also likely to affect Q4. This has led Foxtons to guide FY25 underlying operating profit of £21.5–23.2m from a consensus of £23.7m and our estimate of £23.5m.