Last close As at 05/08/2026
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▲ −0.30 (−0.80%)
Market capitalisation
GBP111m
Research: Industrials
Good momentum is apparent in Severfield’s results, with healthy progress in revenue and margins in the UK and a profit contribution from the Indian JV. Our estimates now expect a sustained JV profit contribution (previously neutral) and, with unchanged UK expectations, Severfield is on track to double PBT between FY16 and FY20. All in all, we see a clear strategy that is being well executed against visible financial targets.
Written by
Severfield |
Delivering against strategy |
FY17 results |
Construction & materials |
19 June 2017 |
Share price performance
Business description
Next events
Analysts
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Good momentum is apparent in Severfield’s results, with healthy progress in revenue and margins in the UK and a profit contribution from the Indian JV. Our estimates now expect a sustained JV profit contribution (previously neutral) and, with unchanged UK expectations, Severfield is on track to double PBT between FY16 and FY20. All in all, we see a clear strategy that is being well executed against visible financial targets.
Year end |
Revenue (£m) |
PBT* |
EPS* |
DPS |
P/E |
Yield |
03/16 |
239.4 |
13.7 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
21.1 |
1.9 |
03/17 |
262.2 |
20.3 |
5.7 |
2.3 |
14.0 |
2.9 |
03/18e |
263.2 |
22.2 |
6.3 |
2.5 |
12.7 |
3.1 |
03/19e |
267.8 |
24.4 |
6.9 |
2.8 |
11.6 |
3.5 |
Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding pension net finance costs, intangible amortisation and exceptional items.
Good progress on several fronts
A c 50%+ uplift in full year earnings and dividends and further growth in group cash balances were the headline financial highlights. Underlying EBIT and a maiden full year profit contribution from the Indian JV were both ahead of our expectations, partly offset by higher interest and share-based payments, leaving group PBT slightly better than anticipated overall. There was solid operational performance in the UK – with the highest H2 activity levels for seven years – and in India, which saw both revenue and margin gains y-o-y. At the same time, there is clear evidence of investment in equipment, processes, systems and people across the business, which indicates that this progress and future prospects are well-founded.
UK stable, India to contribute
UK market conditions are understood to be stable; a lower UK order book reflects progress with some major project work and is not expected to impact negatively on revenues given a good pipeline of prospects visible to management. The Indian order book has stepped up markedly with a significant proportion scheduled for this year. Coupled with a paydown of term debt (via cash equity injection from both JV partners), this alone should generate an uplift in the (share of) profit after tax going forward and we have slightly increased estimates to reflect this. Management states that the trajectory of group PBT (after pension net finance costs) is on track for £26m in FY20, compared to £19.8m reported for FY17, and dividend growth prospects should mirror this.
Valuation: Good growth, well positioned
Severfield’s share price is up c 11% ytd; it has outperformed the FTSE All-Share Index by c 7% over this time frame, more marginally so in the last three months. Our revised estimates indicate three-year (FY17-FY20e) CAGRs in excess of 9% for both earnings and dividends. Some of this is reflected into the current year P/E of 12.7x and EV/EBITDA of 7.5x, but factoring in a 3% prospective yield, strong balance sheet and positioning for future infrastructure projects suggests that Severfield can continue to outperform.
Exhibit 1: Financial summary
£m |
2010 |
2011 |
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018e |
2019e |
2020e |
||
Year end 31 march |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
||
12m to Dec |
12m to Dec |
12m to Dec |
15m to Mar |
12m to Mar |
12m to Mar |
12m to Mar |
12m to Mar |
12m to Mar |
12m to Mar |
12m to Mar |
|||
PROFIT & LOSS |
|||||||||||||
Revenue |
|
|
266.7 |
267.8 |
256.6 |
318.3 |
231.3 |
201.5 |
239.4 |
262.2 |
263.2 |
267.8 |
274.1 |
Cost of Sales |
(242.6) |
(246.9) |
(268.8) |
(330.9) |
(217.8) |
(186.7) |
(219.6) |
(236.3) |
(235.7) |
(238.0) |
(242.2) |
||
Gross Profit |
24.1 |
20.9 |
(12.2) |
(12.7) |
13.5 |
14.9 |
19.8 |
25.9 |
27.5 |
29.7 |
32.0 |
||
EBITDA |
|
|
21.6 |
19.5 |
(13.6) |
(13.6) |
12.0 |
13.6 |
18.9 |
25.7 |
27.3 |
29.6 |
31.9 |
Operating Profit - Edison |
|
|
17.1 |
15.0 |
(17.7) |
(18.6) |
8.4 |
10.0 |
15.2 |
22.1 |
23.5 |
25.5 |
27.6 |
Net Interest |
(0.9) |
(1.6) |
(1.6) |
(2.0) |
(0.6) |
(0.5) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.1) |
0.0 |
0.1 |
||
Associates |
(0.4) |
(2.5) |
0.2 |
(0.3) |
(3.0) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
||
SBP |
(0.0) |
(0.3) |
(0.0) |
(0.1) |
(0.2) |
(0.5) |
(1.1) |
(2.0) |
(2.0) |
(2.0) |
(2.0) |
||
Intangible Amortisation |
(2.7) |
(2.7) |
(2.7) |
(3.5) |
(2.7) |
(2.6) |
(2.6) |
(2.6) |
(1.6) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Pension Net Finance Costs |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
(0.6) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
||
Exceptionals |
(1.4) |
(0.6) |
(1.0) |
(3.8) |
(5.3) |
(5.9) |
(0.9) |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Profit Before Tax (norm) - Edison |
|
15.8 |
10.6 |
(19.1) |
(20.9) |
4.5 |
8.8 |
13.7 |
20.3 |
22.2 |
24.4 |
26.6 |
|
Profit Before Tax (norm) |
|
|
15.3 |
10.1 |
(19.6) |
(21.5) |
4.0 |
8.3 |
13.2 |
19.8 |
21.7 |
23.9 |
26.1 |
Profit Before Tax (FRS 3) |
|
|
11.1 |
6.8 |
(23.3) |
(28.9) |
(4.1) |
(0.2) |
9.6 |
18.1 |
20.2 |
23.9 |
26.1 |
Tax |
(3.5) |
(0.9) |
3.9 |
5.7 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
(1.0) |
(2.7) |
(3.6) |
(3.9) |
(4.3) |
||
Profit After Tax (norm) |
11.7 |
7.7 |
(16.2) |
(17.9) |
3.1 |
7.4 |
11.4 |
17.0 |
18.7 |
20.5 |
22.4 |
||
Profit After Tax (FRS 3) |
7.6 |
5.8 |
(19.4) |
(23.1) |
(2.6) |
0.1 |
8.6 |
15.3 |
16.6 |
20.0 |
21.9 |
||
Average Number of Shares Outstanding (m) |
89.0 |
89.3 |
89.3 |
89.3 |
295.8 |
297.5 |
297.5 |
298.9 |
298.5 |
298.5 |
298.5 |
||
EPS - normalised (p) - Edison |
|
|
6.82 |
4.51 |
(9.42) |
(10.42) |
1.05 |
2.47 |
3.84 |
5.70 |
6.26 |
6.87 |
7.49 |
EPS - normalised (p) |
|
|
6.51 |
4.21 |
(9.72) |
(9.45) |
0.88 |
2.31 |
3.67 |
5.53 |
6.09 |
6.70 |
7.32 |
EPS - FRS 3 (p) |
|
|
4.47 |
3.41 |
(11.33) |
(13.49) |
(0.89) |
0.05 |
2.89 |
5.13 |
5.56 |
6.70 |
7.32 |
Dividend per share (p) |
7.5 |
5.0 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
||
Gross Margin (%) |
9.0 |
7.8 |
-4.8 |
-4.0 |
5.8 |
7.4 |
8.3 |
9.9 |
10.4 |
11.1 |
11.7 |
||
EBITDA Margin (%) |
8.1 |
7.3 |
-5.3 |
-4.3 |
5.2 |
6.7 |
7.9 |
9.8 |
10.4 |
11.1 |
11.6 |
||
Operating Margin - Edison (%) |
6.4 |
5.6 |
-6.9 |
-5.8 |
3.6 |
4.9 |
6.4 |
8.4 |
8.9 |
9.5 |
10.1 |
||
BALANCE SHEET |
|||||||||||||
Fixed Assets |
|
|
165.0 |
156.9 |
155.6 |
154.9 |
147.7 |
145.1 |
149.3 |
148.3 |
154.5 |
156.8 |
159.0 |
Intangible Assets |
75.2 |
72.9 |
70.4 |
69.8 |
64.6 |
61.8 |
59.2 |
56.3 |
54.7 |
54.7 |
54.7 |
||
Tangible Assets |
82.9 |
79.6 |
76.2 |
76.1 |
74.1 |
76.6 |
77.4 |
78.9 |
80.6 |
81.5 |
82.2 |
||
Investments |
6.9 |
4.4 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
9.0 |
6.7 |
12.7 |
13.1 |
19.2 |
20.6 |
22.1 |
||
Current Assets |
|
|
88.1 |
100.5 |
69.8 |
80.5 |
72.2 |
76.3 |
75.1 |
107.1 |
109.6 |
122.6 |
137.1 |
Stocks |
12.6 |
9.1 |
7.1 |
8.2 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
5.3 |
7.8 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.9 |
||
Debtors |
71.9 |
89.2 |
61.2 |
71.6 |
60.8 |
64.6 |
50.7 |
66.5 |
67.5 |
69.2 |
71.3 |
||
Cash |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
5.5 |
6.9 |
19.0 |
32.8 |
34.4 |
45.6 |
57.8 |
||
Current Liabilities |
|
|
(99.8) |
(103.6) |
(97.0) |
(112.5) |
(57.9) |
(59.7) |
(58.2) |
(78.7) |
(75.6) |
(76.5) |
(77.8) |
Creditors |
(81.2) |
(70.3) |
(66.1) |
(70.9) |
(52.7) |
(59.5) |
(58.1) |
(78.5) |
(75.4) |
(76.4) |
(77.6) |
||
Short term borrowings |
(18.6) |
(33.3) |
(30.9) |
(41.7) |
(5.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
||
Long Term Liabilities |
|
|
(22.3) |
(21.6) |
(21.7) |
(20.4) |
(18.5) |
(21.1) |
(17.9) |
(22.5) |
(22.5) |
(22.5) |
(22.5) |
Long term borrowings |
0.0 |
(0.3) |
(0.3) |
(0.2) |
(0.0) |
(0.6) |
(0.4) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
||
Other long term liabilities |
(22.3) |
(21.3) |
(21.4) |
(20.2) |
(18.5) |
(20.5) |
(17.5) |
(22.3) |
(22.3) |
(22.3) |
(22.3) |
||
Net Assets |
|
|
130.9 |
132.3 |
106.6 |
102.4 |
143.4 |
140.6 |
148.2 |
154.2 |
166.0 |
180.4 |
195.8 |
CASH FLOW |
|||||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow |
|
|
(5.8) |
(5.4) |
12.9 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
11.4 |
24.8 |
27.4 |
22.0 |
27.9 |
30.0 |
Net Interest |
(0.8) |
(2.0) |
(1.3) |
(1.7) |
(0.8) |
(0.8) |
(0.2) |
(0.1) |
(0.1) |
0.0 |
0.1 |
||
Tax |
(5.4) |
(3.7) |
(2.7) |
(2.3) |
0.4 |
(1.0) |
(0.9) |
(2.4) |
(2.9) |
(3.6) |
(3.9) |
||
Capex |
(2.8) |
(1.5) |
(0.2) |
(1.4) |
(1.5) |
(1.3) |
(4.3) |
(5.3) |
(5.5) |
(5.0) |
(5.0) |
||
Acquisitions/disposals |
(2.9) |
(0) |
(2) |
(3.0) |
(3.5) |
(1.7) |
(4.1) |
(0.4) |
(5.3) |
(0.5) |
(0.5) |
||
Financing |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0 |
44.8 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Dividends |
(8.9) |
(3.6) |
(4.5) |
(4.5) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
(3.0) |
(5.1) |
(6.7) |
(7.7) |
(8.4) |
||
Net Cash Flow |
(26.6) |
(16.3) |
1.7 |
(9.7) |
41.5 |
6.7 |
12.4 |
14.0 |
1.6 |
11.2 |
12.2 |
||
Opening net debt/(cash) |
|
|
(11.5) |
15.0 |
31.3 |
31.3 |
41.2 |
(0.3) |
(6.1) |
(18.4) |
(32.4) |
(34.0) |
(45.2) |
HP finance leases initiated |
0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
(0.2) |
(0.3) |
(0.2) |
(0.2) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Other |
0 |
(0) |
(0) |
(0) |
0.2 |
(0.6) |
0.2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
(0) |
||
Closing net debt/(cash) |
|
|
15.0 |
31.3 |
29.7 |
41.2 |
(0.3) |
(6.1) |
(18.4) |
(32.4) |
(34.0) |
(45.2) |
(57.4) |
|
Source: Company accounts, Edison Investment Research |
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