Norcros is a leading supplier of showers, enclosures and trays, tiles, taps and related fittings and accessories for bathrooms, kitchens, washrooms and other commercial environments. It has operations in the UK and South Africa, with some export activity from both countries.
The UK’s new build housing market is subdued following the interest rate increases, although the repair, maintenance and improvement market has been more robust. In South Africa, demand across the board has been affected by the ongoing power disruption issues, which are likely to remain a feature.
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James Eyre
CFO
Thomas Willcocks
CEO
Forecast net debt (£m)
40
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
18
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (9.2) | (6.0) | (9.5) |
Relative | (10.7) | (10.6) | (9.3) |
52 week high/low | 195.0p/135.5p |
FY24 trading underpins Norcros’s compelling investment case, where its new product development initiatives, market positioning and self-help initiatives allow it to take market share in both the UK and South Africa. We believe that Norcros’s key strengths are underappreciated and that legacy issues have been resolved. Its rating is low at 5.6x FY24e P/E, which is attractive, especially when compared to its yield of 5.7% on its well-covered dividend. We retain our estimates and value the shares at 246p, implying c 40% upside.
Y/E Mar | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (fd) (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022A | 396.3 | 47.0 | 38.6 | 37.99 | 4.5 | 3.0 |
2023A | 441.0 | 52.3 | 41.5 | 40.89 | 4.2 | 2.9 |
2024E | 411.7 | 49.3 | 35.3 | 30.00 | 5.7 | 3.1 |
2025E | 412.0 | 49.8 | 36.5 | 30.92 | 5.6 | 3.1 |