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Research: Investment Companies
Rockwood Strategic (RKW) has released its FY26 results, which showed positive NAV and share price total returns of 7.1% and 2.4% respectively for the year ending 31 March. RKW’s manager, Richard Staveley at Harwood Capital, was disappointed in the trust’s performance in the last month of the reporting period as markets fell following the US attack on Iran. In the first 11 months of FY26 RKW’s NAV and share price total returns were approaching 20%. However, since the end of FY26, the trust has performed strongly and has returned to a premium rating. The manager remains very upbeat about RKW’s prospects given he seeks opportunities in small-cap UK companies, where a lack of broad analytical coverage can lead to mispriced securities. Also, demand for UK equities has been focused on large-cap stocks, leaving smaller companies attractively valued in both absolute and relative terms.
The manager remains bullish on the outlook for RKW’s portfolio companies, in terms of visible catalysts that will unlock shareholder value. He has a value mindset and an intense free cash flow focus, seeking proven businesses with identifiable assets and mean reversion potential in terms of either profitability, balance sheet repair or a re-rating. Staveley identifies catalysts for change that he expects to occur within the next three to five years. He engages with stakeholders, which may itself be the catalyst, to de-risk the investment and increase shareholder value. The manager highlights the importance of avoiding value traps, which are companies that may look inexpensive, but are valued that way for a valid reason.
Staveley’s value-based approach has proved very successful, with RKW outperforming the UK small-cap market over the last one, three and five years. The trust has also generated superior performance versus its peers in the AIC UK Smaller Companies sector – first of 17 funds over the last five years and second of 18 funds over the last three years.
The manager has ‘skin in the game’ with a greater than 1% holding in the trust (he added to his position during the March 2026 share price pull-back), while Harwood Capital owner Christopher Mills holds a further c 15% of RKW (voting is capped at 10% to avoid conflicts). The trust regularly trades at a premium and issues new shares. In FY26, 17.3m shares were issued, which was a significant 44.5% increase in RKW’s share base.
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While the majority of UK small-cap investment trusts employ growth strategies, RKW offers investors a concentrated portfolio of stocks that are trading below their intrinsic value, with identifiable catalysts to enable that value to be realised. Staveley aims to generate additional alpha by active engagement with investee companies. He targets an annual 15% internal rate of return (IRR) on investment over the long term, which is equivalent to a 2x return over a five-year period. There is no formal benchmark and the manager seeks positive returns in all market environments.
Over a decade ago, the board determined that portfolio stocks should ‘predominantly’ be below a £250m market cap at the time of purchase. Given inflation and stock market evolution, there is increased flexibility to allow the manager to invest, with the ‘majority’ of stocks below £250m when they enter the portfolio.
RKW’s performance is a result of stock picking rather than the manager taking a view on the macroeconomic backdrop, although top-down factors do influence operational performance of portfolio companies. Despite an uncertain environment, exacerbated by the Middle East conflict, Staveley is encouraged by the Q126 reporting season, where most portfolio companies are making good progress, and he is actively engaging with businesses that are performing below expectations.
The manager believes that AI poses limited risk to RKW’s portfolio given that: 1) it has direct/indirect content creation exposure that should not be displaced by AI, such as M&C Saatchi and Videndum; 2) companies with software-enabled products have already integrated AI or have sufficiently wide moats, maybe due to regulatory or relationship reasons, such as RM and Funding Circle; and 3) the risk of AI-led cybercrime is well-known, and all investee companies have assessed cyber risks in their annual reports. The manager highlights Capita as a particular AI beneficiary due to public-sector service inefficiencies.
Staveley’s frustration is evident when discussing the UK stock market, given its declining relevance on the global stage due to a lack of IPOs and a steady stream of takeovers. However, despite this trend and the continued weakness in the smaller-cap AIM market, UK large-cap companies are a different story, with the top 100 UK company index outpacing the US S&P 500 for the last two years. For UK smaller-cap companies to keep up with UK large-cap businesses the manager believes there needs to be a change in government policy – Staveley advocates ISA tax relief for UK-listed shares only, which he believes would breathe life into the UK stock market, while supporting UK businesses and the wider economy.
Notwithstanding the lack of government support, the manager has an optimistic view about UK small-cap stocks. Over the long term they have outperformed shares of large-cap companies by a considerable margin, with recent weakness serving to increase the valuation appeal of some of the UK’s smaller listed businesses. Pension fund allocations to UK equities are already below the modest low single-digit weighting in global indices and the UK economic optimism index is at its lowest level since 1989; very high levels of pessimism generally indicate a good buying opportunity. Meanwhile, households and non-financial corporates are under-geared and there is potential for interest rates to resume their downward path once the inflationary effects of the war in Iran have washed through the system. Lower interest rates should be an important catalyst for an improved performance of UK small-cap stocks in particular. Signs of political stability may also lead to increased interest in the UK market. While large-cap stocks tend to be the first port of call for global investors, sustained demand should lead to opportunities being sought further down the capitalisation spectrum.
Each year, three or four new companies that can benefit from operational, strategic or management changes are added to the portfolio, which allows Staveley plenty of time for due diligence before investing. He can draw on the resources of an investment advisory group of six highly experienced investment professionals who bring their insights, networking opportunities and any concerns to the stock selection process. The manager employs a five-step, repeatable investment process: idea generation, due diligence, expanded due diligence, engagement and portfolio management. Engagement is taken very seriously, as the manager believes it leads to a greater understanding of a company and can improve shareholder outcomes. Harwood Capital has representation on, or has successfully proposed appointments to, several of RKW’s investee companies’ boards.
At the end of FY26, RKW had 25 holdings, of which 12 had net cash on the balance sheet, illustrating the focus on quality companies. The top 10 holdings made up 62.2% of the portfolio, which was not dissimilar from 63.1% a year earlier; eight positions were common to both periods. There were four new additions to the portfolio in FY26, which we cover below. These made up 10.3% of the trust’s NAV at the end of the reporting period.
Given the attractive valuations available in the UK market, Staveley expects an acceleration in takeover activity; essentially, if the market does not value companies correctly, then acquirers will. During FY26, National World was taken over having delivered a 70.5% IRR and a 1.65x money multiple. There have also been two recent takeovers of portfolio companies, which we highlight in the Performance section.
The manager focuses on Capita, which is one of RKW’s top 10 holdings and an interesting example of a turnaround situation. The company was formerly one of the largest 100 UK companies but fell out of favour with investors. Capita now has a new senior management team working to improve operating margins from c 4.5% to 6–8%. The company has two divisions: one focused on the public sector as the administrator of a range of services such as the Congestion Charge, the Student Loan Company and the TV Licence; and the other on the private sector with a loss-making contact centre business and a profitable pensions business. Recent results showed the public sector division is back on track, helped by cost-cutting and the use of enhanced AI in its new business. Importantly, Capita announced the exits of its loss-making legacy Life & Pensions contract and contact centre operations. This marks the bulk of the company’s turnaround, resulting in more focused operations, a stabilised balance sheet and higher profitability, which should lead to a significant increase in free cash flow and Capita receiving a higher valuation.
Staveley considers that each of the four new FY26 positions has at least 100% upside:
During FY26, there were four complete portfolio exits: Galliford Try is particularly interesting as the company was added to the portfolio in May 2022 when it was trading at a lower valuation than the amount of net cash on its balance sheet. The manager engaged with the company and influenced its dividend policy, the investment was sold having delivered a 48.2% IRR and a 1.4x money multiple. National World was taken over, delivering RKW a 70.5% IRR and a 1.7x money multiple. Less successful investments were: Bonhill, a small media business, which had a -4.6% realised IRR due to ineffective management and tough market conditions; and Argentex, which was only the second of RKW’s investments to be written down to zero. The company had repeatedly said that it was purely an agent and did not take on principal fx risk, which proved to be untrue.
RKW has a new holding in Stelrad Group, which is the leading UK manufacturer of central heating radiators; its CEO has a £15m investment in the company. Stelrad’s business is broadly split 50:50 between Europe and a depressed UK market, where a 1.4bn installed base offers a very large replacement opportunity. The company has expanded its margins over the last few years, increasing average profit per radiator from £10.50 to £20.50. Staveley believes that Stelrad can generate significantly higher profits once the UK market improves. The company generates a high return on capital and is not overleveraged. Staveley notes that Stelrad is RKW’s first UK domestic cyclical business in quite a while; he does not believe that the company’s business will come under competitive threat from underfloor heating, which is not increasing market share, while an increase in heat pumps should benefit Stelrad as they require larger, more profitable radiators.
The AIC UK Smaller Companies sector has 19 funds following a variety of strategies. To enable a more relevant comparison, in Exhibit 3 we highlight RKW along with its five closest peers; the newest fund, Onward Opportunities, has now attained a three-year track record. RKW has retained its position as the best performing company in terms of NAV total returns in the selected peer group over the last three and five years. However, compared to when we published our last RKW update note in January 2026, the trust’s 12-month rank has improved from fifth to third, and it now has an above-average NAV total return over this period. At 26 June 2026, RKW had the second-highest valuation within the selected peer group and was the only company trading at a premium. The trust has the third-highest ongoing charge, and, like most of its peers, a performance fee is payable. Currently, none of the peers are geared. RKW does not pay regular dividends as it seeks to maximise capital return.
Looking at the complete AIC UK Smaller Companies sector, RKW’s NAV total return ranks fifth of 19 over the past 12 months, but is a notable second of 18 over the last three years and first out of 17 over the last five years.
RKW’s relative returns are shown in Exhibit 7. These numbers suggest that the trust has more than made up for the period of relative weakness in March 2026, following the US strikes on Iran. RKW’s relative record is commendable, with NAV and share price outperformance versus the two small-cap indices across all periods shown in Exhibit 7. The trust has also performed well versus larger-cap shares despite large-cap market leadership in recent years.
Performance has been encouraging so far this year. Significant positive contributors include Van Elle, which was taken over at a 59% premium and a 12% IRR (purchased in Q120), and Treatt, another takeover, which was at a 48% premium and a 52% IRR (a relatively recent purchase in Q325). Since purchase, Filtronic’s share price has risen by more than 30 times and the company has recently raised its earnings guidance again. Filtronic’s valuation is no longer attractive, so Staveley has been taking profits. A recent addition to the portfolio, Eagle Eye Solutions Group’s share price is up by around 45% in Q226.
Exhibit 8 shows that over the last three years, RKW’s shares traded in a range from a 12% premium to a 7.9% discount. The current 0.1% premium is lower than the average premiums of 1.0% and 1.3% over the last one and three years respectively, and is a higher valuation compared with an average 2.5% discount over the last five years.
RKW’s frequent premium valuation since the end of 2023 has enabled a significant amount of share issuance to satisfy investor demand, which has been an important part of the company’s growth. In FY26, the share count increased by around 45%, raising close to £50m. With greater scale there is better fixed cost absorption and increased liquidity in the trust’s shares.
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Research: Metals & Mining
Leading Edge Materials (LEM) announced that its 100%-owned Norra Kärr heavy rare earth elements (HREE) project in Sweden has been granted a 25-year exploitation concession by the Swedish government. We view the award as a major de-risking event for one of Europe’s most advanced potential sources of dysprosium (Dy), terbium and yttrium. The concession improves development visibility and enables the next phase of technical, environmental permitting and commercial work. Despite this progress, LEM continues to trade significantly below our fundamental valuation and at a substantial discount to its REE peers on a Dy-equivalent resource basis, suggesting that Norra Kärr’s strategic European HREE exposure remains materially undervalued.