Last close As at 05/08/2026
GBP13.80
▲ −3.50 (−0.25%)
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GBP14,767m
Research: Investment Companies
Scottish Mortgage Investment Trust (SMT) offers investors access to what managers Tom Slater and Lawrence Burns, at Baillie Gifford, consider to be the best growth opportunities in the world in both public and private markets. Academic research has shown that the majority of equity wealth creation is delivered by a very few exceptional growth companies; these outliers are sought by the managers. As SMT is a closed-end fund, Slater and Burns are able to take a very long-term view, sometimes holding companies through their private and public lifetimes in order to maximise returns. A long-term approach also affords protection against higher stock market volatility, which is partly due to increasing short-termism, with fundamental investors making up a declining percentage of trading volumes. SMT’s strategy has proved successful over the long term, with an impressive 19.3% annualised NAV total return over the last decade versus 14.2% per year for the trust’s All-World benchmark.
Following hot on the heels of our April 2026 initiation report, SMT delivered very strong FY26 results, adding to its long-term outperformance record, which places its performance first of the nine funds in the AIC Global sector over the last one, three and 10 years. For the last decade, the trust’s annualised NAV total return is more than 30pp higher than the sector average.
Given its dominant size, the trust has a very competitive ongoing charges ratio of 0.33%, which is around half the sector average and ensures more value creation accrues to SMT’s shareholders.
The trust is differentiated by its large exposure to private companies; the recent successful IPO of its largest holding, Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX), means that the private company weighting will undoubtedly be less than 39.4% of the portfolio reported at the end of May 2026. Prior to SpaceX listing, SMT had positions in seven of the 10 highest-value global private companies, illustrating that most of the trust’s private company exposure is in substantial businesses generating significant revenues, rather than early-stage speculative firms. The SpaceX IPO could set the stage for more listings by other significantly sized private companies, including Anthropic, which is helping to define the next stage of AI. Anthropic is a relatively new position, having entered the portfolio in H126.
Not intended for persons in the EEA.
The trust’s managers aim to identify, own and support the world’s most exceptional growth companies. Their unconstrained approach provides a broad opportunity set across both public and private markets, while generating strong capital growth and limiting costs offers an interesting proposition for long-term investors, who can benefit greatly from compounding returns. Baillie Gifford is well known for its long-term horizon, remaining patient through good and less-favourable times, in pursuit of the very few companies capable of delivering the extreme returns that deliver most of the upside to global markets. Its managers engage with forward-thinking individuals outside financial markets, such as academics and scientists, to identify and understand the unique businesses that will become the drivers of global growth. Investments are made across different stages of a company’s development, with Baillie Gifford acting as a partner rather than an investor to help maximise total returns.
Highlights of the trust’s latest annual results include:
On 12 June 2026, SpaceX shares were listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. Investor demand has been strong, as on the first day of dealing, the shares closed at a c 20% premium to their $135 per share offer price, and upward price momentum continued in subsequent trading sessions.
In the 12 months to 31 May 2026, the trust’s allocation to private companies increased by 14.1pp to 39.4%, with the number of private company investments increasing by two to 53. The listed company weighting declined by 15.5pp, but the number of public companies rose by four to 48.
At the end of May 2026, SMT’s top 10 positions made up 53.1% of the portfolio, which was a 9.6pp higher concentration compared with 43.5% at the end of May 2025. The 9.9pp increase in the trust’s SpaceX exposure more than made up for the increase in top 10 concentration. Seven holdings were common to both periods.
With its recent IPO, it is worth considering why SpaceX is by far the largest portfolio holding. This company was the greatest positive performance contributor in FY26 by a wide margin. The managers note that it is unusual for SMT to have such a large single-company weighting, which can increase portfolio volatility. However, SpaceX brings exposure to multiple long-term growth themes, namely launch, global connectivity and AI infrastructure.
SpaceX dominates launch services and the Starlink network is extending its competitive lead, effectively making SpaceX a dual monopoly rather than an aerospace business, as the world’s dominant launch provider and a global connectivity utility with the potential for software-like margins. Although less newsworthy than launch services, the Starlink satellite communication division drives SpaceX’s valuation, with high-margin, predictable revenues and assets in orbit, which are difficult to replicate.
Other considerations include: the market is just beginning to price in the acquisition of Elon Musk’s startup xAI; in 2025, Starlink added more than 4.6m new active customers, reaching a total 9.0m and expanding into 35 additional countries; the acquisition of EchoStar’s wireless spectrum accelerated the move to allow standard smartphones to connect directly to Starlink satellites; and the US government has a growing dependence on SpaceX’s infrastructure for national security.
The managers are very bullish on SpaceX’s future potential, based on the convergence of the company’s capabilities with the constraints of AI. Electricity demand to power AI is growing exponentially, while supply is constrained. Orbital solar panels are up to 10x more effective than those on the ground. Progress to date suggests the economics of orbital compute infrastructure are shifting from speculative to compelling, which positions SpaceX at a unique intersection of launch, energy and AI that the managers believe will not be replicated.
As shown in Exhibit 4, at the end of May 2026, North America made up the greatest share of the portfolio (60.4%), which was 7.8pp higher year-on-year. This was largely offset by a 7.5pp reduction in European exposure.
Exhibit 5 shows SMT’s sector exposure at the end of FY26; unsurprisingly the largest weighting is technology stocks, which could be considered the go-to sector for growth investors. The industrial sector covers a very broad range of subsectors from high growth through to cyclical businesses.
Slater and Burns’ long-term approach is shown in Exhibit 6; at the end of FY26, more than two-thirds of the portfolio had been held for more than five years. Where the managers have high conviction about their differentiated view on a stock, the holding period is likely to be much longer than five years. Holding sizes are based on upside potential rather than market capitalisation.
We covered SMT’s H126 transactions in our initiation report; portfolio activity was relatively high as the managers took advantage of market volatility. There were five new holdings (three listed and two private companies) and two complete disposals. Alongside these, there were five additions to existing holdings, 17 reductions in the size of portfolio companies and 10 investments in private company follow-on rounds.
In H226, there were a further three new holdings: Loyal Animal Health (private), which develops veterinary medicines for dogs; MiniMax, which was purchased at the IPO and is a Chinese AI foundation model business, illustrating that world-class AI capability is not the preserve of the major US technology companies; and MongoDB, which is a database software developer. There were also two additions to and seven reductions in existing holdings, and another two investments in private company follow-on rounds.
Slater and Burns believe that we are in the early stages of the global rollout of AI, and that this is the most important structural change to the global economy since the emergence of the internet. The capex plans of the major cloud platforms such as Microsoft, Amazon and Google are enormous, with the largest above $100bn a year, which has led to an increase in spending by Chinese competitors. While the growth in capex will eventually moderate, the managers believe the absolute level of investment will not diminish for several years. Portfolio companies benefiting from AI infrastructure rollout include TSMC, ASML and NVIDIA. Other companies that are major beneficiaries of integrating AI into their operations include Meta, Amazon and Shopify.
The managers note that the companies at the infrastructure layer of the AI transition have been largely unaffected by geopolitical turbulence, while other businesses that have been negatively affected by disruption to global trade (including PDD, whose Temu platform is highly dependent on inexpensive Chinese cross-border shipping – position was decreased), consumer confidence (Wayfair, an online retail business – position was sold) or weak Chinese demand (including luxury goods makers such as Hermès, which is deemed a very high-quality company – position was increased) have experienced multiple compression. The managers are unsurprised by the adjustments to world order given imbalances in the global economy have been building for many years. However, the adjustment has been brought forward by the actions of the Trump administration, including the imposition of tariffs, the war in Iran and shutting the Strait of Hormuz.
China was SMT’s most difficult area in FY26 due to a lack of consumption growth, which saw well-capitalised businesses fighting for market share. Meituan’s share price weakness was the result of Alibaba and JD.co competing with its core food delivery service with aggressive consumer subsidies, which led to a combined loss of over $14bn for the three companies in just two quarters. This behaviour is well known in China, where people work harder for diminishing returns; the focus on volume may create world-class companies but can destroy industry-wide profits. As examples, solar manufacturers are losing billions of dollars despite record shipments and BYD’s average selling price is falling steadily despite new-launch technology upgrades.
SMT dominates the nine-strong AIC Global sector at around 2.5x the size of its largest peer and around 4.5x the sector average market cap. The trust’s NAV total return currently ranks first over the last one, three and 10 years; however, over the last five years it is below the mean as SMT has faced growth-style headwinds and valuation compression in a rising interest rate environment, particularly in 2022. The trust is currently trading at an above-average discount. SMT has a very competitive ongoing charges ratio of 0.33%, which is the lowest in the sector and around half the sector average; no performance fee is payable. The trust currently has the fourth-highest level of gearing and the second-lowest dividend yield, which is unsurprising given the focus on capital growth rather than income.
SMT’s relative returns are shown in Exhibit 11. During the last year, its shares enjoyed a substantial re-rating, which explains the major difference between the performance of the trust’s shares and its NAV over the 12 months to the end of May 2026. SMT’s five-year results continue to be negatively affected by a particularly tough period of performance between late 2021 and mid-2022, when the company faced growth-style headwinds and valuation compression in a rising interest rate environment. The trust continues to have a very commendable long-term outperformance record.
In FY26, SMT generated 27.4% and 26.8% NAV and share price total returns respectively, which was a notable outperformance versus the benchmark’s 18.0% total return.
The largest positive contributors to the trust’s results were: SpaceX – designs, manufactures and launches rockets and spacecraft (private, +14.9pp performance contribution and +178.6% absolute performance); TSMC – semiconductor manufacturing and design (listed, +3.6pp and +99.1%); and ASML – lithography (listed, +2.3pp and +94.2%).
On the other side of the ledger, the largest detractors were: Meituan Dianping – local services aggregator (held while private and now as a listed company, -1.8pp and -48.3%); Sea – consumer internet business (listed, 1.1pp and -37.9%); and The Brandtech Group – digital marketing (private, -1.0pp and -89.1%).
SMT’s current 9.3% share price discount to cum-income NAV compares to the five-year range of an 8.2% premium to a 22.7% discount. The trust traded at average discounts of 7.1%, 10.4%, 9.0% and 4.0% over the last one, three, five and 10 years respectively. SMT’s shares re-rated significantly, leading to meaningful share price outperformance versus NAV in 2026. Share issuance resumed in mid-April 2026, on days when the trust’s shares are trading at a premium to NAV. We note the recent widening in the discount as SMT’s share price has appreciated by less than its NAV.
| Exhibit 12: Discount over the last five years (%) |
| Source: LSEG Data & Analytics, Edison Investment Research |
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Research: Healthcare
ExpreS2ion’s latest Phase I update reinforces a story that suggests the company may advance on its own terms. In May 2026, ExpreS2ion reported that anti-HER2 antibody responses were observed in nine evaluable patients dosed with lead asset, ES2B-C001, with no safety signals identified even in the top-dose cohort. In our view, a key signal was the enriched translational data package and new long-term maintenance arm, both shaped by partner feedback, designed to widen the company’s options between an early licensing deal and a more independent path into Phase II.