Last close As at 05/08/2026
GBP2.62
▲ 3.60 (1.39%)
Market capitalisation
GBP662m
Research: Industrials
FY21 has started well both in underlying terms and for recent acquisitions, especially Adey. Genuit is strategically well positioned given regulatory and environmental drivers in its markets, and the proposed management transition is being well flagged in advance. A strong expected earnings recovery from a COVID-19 affected FY20 is being reflected in support for Genuit’s share price.
Written by
Genuit Group |
Positive trading momentum continues ytd |
AGM update
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Building & construction |
28 May 2021 |
Share price performance
Business description
Next events
Analyst
Genuit Group is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited |
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FY21 has started well both in underlying terms and for recent acquisitions, especially Adey. Genuit is strategically well positioned given regulatory and environmental drivers in its markets, and the proposed management transition is being well flagged in advance. A strong expected earnings recovery from a COVID-19 affected FY20 is being reflected in support for Genuit’s share price.
Year end |
Revenue (£m) |
PBT* |
EPS* |
DPS |
P/E |
Yield |
12/19 |
447.6 |
70.8 |
29.2 |
4.0 |
22.0 |
0.6 |
12/20 |
398.6 |
35.7 |
13.3 |
4.8 |
48.2 |
0.7 |
12/21e |
534.6 |
81.0 |
26.9 |
9.0 |
23.9 |
1.4 |
12/22e |
568.7 |
87.8 |
29.1 |
10.0 |
22.0 |
1.6 |
Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles and exceptional items. FY19 dividend represents the H1 payment only; no final dividend was declared.
Revenue growth and robust margins
The good momentum seen at the end of FY20 has continued into the new financial year and, compared to pre-pandemic FY19, like-for-like revenues (for the first four months to end April) are ahead by 13.5% (or +31.7% including acquisitions). Input cost pressures do not appear to have dented margins, which are broadly in line with management expectations, and this is partly attributable to forward buying by merchants ahead of price increases, notably in Residential Systems. Therefore, it seems that volume effects/operating efficiencies are largely offsetting optically dilutive margin effects arising from higher input costs and selling prices. Management notes ongoing challenges in the polymer input market, but these have been effectively managed to date with no disruption. Divisional revenue comments are at the headline level (vs FY19: Residential +c 44%, Commercial & Infrastructure +c 15%); both have benefited from acquisitions made in February – Nu-Heat and Adey in Residential, Plura in Commercial & Infrastructure – and the largest (Adey) is performing ahead of expectations, with the others in line.
Confident of progress, guidance raised
In a familiar sector refrain, outlook comments are confident regarding the remainder of H1, with a note of caution beyond this in FY21. In reality, H2 visibility is typically not strong for Genuit at this stage in the year anyway, but how the UK housing market performs once incentives step down and employment conditions begin to normalise adds additional uncertainty, as others have commented. Nevertheless, management retains its expectation of strong progress for the year, which is also evidenced by the upward guidance tweak, and our revised FY21 estimates are in line with this (ie EBIT of c £88m) with slightly smaller uplifts to subsequent years.
Valuation: Approaching all-time highs
Genuit’s share price has regained levels earlier in the year (prior to the February equity raise) and has recently attained an all-time high. Estimates have also increased (organically and via acquisitions) in FY21 and the net result is forward P/E and EV/EBITDA multiples of 23.9 and 14.5x respectively for the current year.
Exhibit 1: Financial summary
£m |
2016 |
2016* |
2017* |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021e |
2022e |
2023e |
||
December |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
||
PROFIT & LOSS |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Revenue |
|
|
436.9 |
387.2 |
411.7 |
433.2 |
447.6 |
398.6 |
534.6 |
568.7 |
592.7 |
Cost of Sales |
|
|
(256.8) |
(219.1) |
(236.0) |
(251.9) |
(255.2) |
(242.5) |
(315.4) |
(335.5) |
(349.7) |
Gross Profit |
|
|
180.1 |
168.1 |
175.7 |
181.4 |
192.4 |
156.1 |
219.2 |
233.1 |
243.0 |
EBITDA |
|
|
86.4 |
84.5 |
88.3 |
90.6 |
99.1 |
63.4 |
113.0 |
120.1 |
125.8 |
Operating Profit (underlying) |
|
|
70.4 |
69.5 |
73.4 |
75.0 |
79.3 |
43.6 |
89.6 |
96.3 |
101.7 |
SBP |
|
|
(1.0) |
(1.0) |
(0.8) |
(1.0) |
(1.2) |
(1.4) |
(1.4) |
(1.4) |
(1.4) |
Operating Profit (reported) |
|
|
69.4 |
68.5 |
72.6 |
74.0 |
78.1 |
42.2 |
88.2 |
94.9 |
100.3 |
Net Interest |
|
|
(6.6) |
(6.6) |
(5.8) |
(5.8) |
(6.2) |
(4.2) |
(6.5) |
(6.4) |
(6.1) |
Other finance |
|
|
(1.0) |
(1.0) |
(1.1) |
(1.1) |
(1.1) |
(2.3) |
(0.7) |
(0.7) |
(0.7) |
Intangible Amortisation |
|
|
(6.8) |
(6.8) |
(5.5) |
(5.9) |
(7.5) |
(7.8) |
(7.8) |
(7.8) |
(7.8) |
Exceptionals |
|
|
(0.6) |
(0.6) |
(4.6) |
(2.7) |
(3.2) |
(4.1) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Profit Before Tax (norm) |
|
|
61.8 |
60.9 |
65.7 |
67.1 |
70.8 |
35.7 |
81.0 |
87.8 |
93.5 |
Profit Before Tax (statutory) |
|
|
54.4 |
53.5 |
55.6 |
58.5 |
60.1 |
23.8 |
73.2 |
80.0 |
85.7 |
Tax |
|
|
(11.8) |
(10.1) |
(11.8) |
(10.5) |
(11.9) |
(6.3) |
(14.6) |
(15.8) |
(16.8) |
Profit After Tax (norm) |
|
|
50.0 |
49.2 |
53.9 |
56.5 |
58.9 |
29.4 |
66.4 |
72.0 |
76.7 |
Profit After Tax (statutory) |
|
|
42.6 |
43.4 |
43.8 |
49.1 |
49.6 |
18.5 |
60.0 |
65.6 |
70.3 |
Average Number of Shares Outstanding (m) |
|
198.9 |
198.9 |
198.4 |
199.0 |
199.3 |
218.1 |
244.5 |
244.5 |
244.5 |
|
EPS - normalised (p) |
|
|
25.0 |
24.6 |
26.9 |
28.1 |
29.2 |
13.3 |
26.9 |
29.1 |
31.0 |
EPS - statutory (p) |
|
|
21.4 |
22.2 |
22.1 |
24.7 |
24.9 |
8.5 |
24.5 |
26.8 |
28.7 |
Dividend per share (p) |
|
|
10.1 |
10.1 |
11.1 |
11.6 |
4.0 |
4.8 |
9.0 |
10.0 |
10.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross Margin (%) |
|
|
41.2 |
43.4 |
42.7 |
41.9 |
43.0 |
39.2 |
41.0 |
41.0 |
41.0 |
EBITDA Margin (%) |
|
|
19.8 |
21.8 |
21.4 |
20.9 |
22.1 |
15.9 |
21.1 |
21.1 |
21.2 |
Operating Margin (underlying) (%) |
|
16.1 |
17.9 |
17.8 |
17.3 |
17.7 |
10.9 |
16.8 |
16.9 |
17.2 |
|
BALANCE SHEET |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed Assets |
|
|
472.6 |
|
455.1 |
520.3 |
542.4 |
540.9 |
780.2 |
783.2 |
785.8 |
Intangible Assets |
|
|
371.6 |
|
356.5 |
401.9 |
401.8 |
393.8 |
623.0 |
615.2 |
607.4 |
Tangible Assets |
|
|
101.0 |
|
98.6 |
118.4 |
140.6 |
147.1 |
157.2 |
168.0 |
178.4 |
Investments |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Current Assets |
|
|
119.5 |
|
147.7 |
141.7 |
148.2 |
158.9 |
179.7 |
225.1 |
271.0 |
Stocks |
|
|
52.2 |
|
53.5 |
58.1 |
59.7 |
52.6 |
68.5 |
72.8 |
75.9 |
Debtors |
|
|
38.9 |
|
32.6 |
37.2 |
40.5 |
54.8 |
61.2 |
64.8 |
67.3 |
Cash |
|
|
26.5 |
|
35.7 |
46.2 |
47.7 |
44.1 |
41.1 |
76.8 |
115.5 |
Current Liabilities |
|
|
(104.5) |
|
(108.8) |
(108.7) |
(108.1) |
(119.1) |
(145.6) |
(151.3) |
(154.9) |
Creditors |
|
|
(104.5) |
|
(108.8) |
(108.7) |
(108.1) |
(119.1) |
(145.6) |
(151.3) |
(154.9) |
Short term borrowings |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Long Term Liabilities |
|
|
(200.2) |
|
(192.0) |
(222.1) |
(221.1) |
(79.8) |
(181.2) |
(182.6) |
(184.0) |
Long term borrowings |
|
|
(190.8) |
|
(184.1) |
(210.4) |
(197.7) |
(58.9) |
(164.9) |
(164.9) |
(164.9) |
Other long term liabilities |
|
(9.4) |
|
(7.9) |
(11.7) |
(23.4) |
(20.9) |
(16.3) |
(17.7) |
(19.1) |
|
Net Assets |
|
|
287.4 |
|
302.0 |
331.2 |
361.4 |
500.9 |
633.1 |
674.3 |
717.9 |
CASH FLOW |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Operating Cash Flow |
|
|
86.5 |
|
79.2 |
90.0 |
89.4 |
61.5 |
102.6 |
116.5 |
122.6 |
Net Interest |
|
|
(7.3) |
|
(6.6) |
(6.1) |
(7.4) |
(5.4) |
(6.9) |
(6.8) |
(6.5) |
Tax |
|
|
(10.1) |
|
(12.6) |
(11.2) |
(12.4) |
(8.2) |
(6.0) |
(14.6) |
(15.8) |
Capex |
|
|
(18.7) |
|
(22.0) |
(23.2) |
(18.0) |
(24.5) |
(30.0) |
(31.0) |
(31.0) |
Acquisitions/disposals |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
(42.5) |
(12.2) |
(1.8) |
(237.0) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Financing |
|
|
(2.9) |
|
(0.7) |
0.3 |
2.4 |
118.5 |
91.5 |
(1.5) |
(1.5) |
Dividends |
|
|
(17.1) |
|
(21.0) |
(22.3) |
(23.7) |
0.0 |
(19.2) |
(22.9) |
(25.2) |
Net Cash Flow |
|
|
30.5 |
|
16.3 |
(15.1) |
18.1 |
140.1 |
(105.0) |
39.7 |
42.7 |
Opening net debt/(cash) |
|
|
194.3 |
|
164.3 |
148.4 |
164.2 |
150.0 |
14.8 |
123.8 |
88.1 |
Finance leases initiated |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
(1.6) |
(3.5) |
(4.0) |
(4.0) |
(4.0) |
(4.0) |
Other |
|
|
(0.5) |
|
(0.4) |
0.8 |
(0.4) |
(0.9) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Closing net debt/(cash) |
|
|
164.3 |
|
148.4 |
164.2 |
150.0 |
14.8 |
123.8 |
88.1 |
49.4 |
Lease finance (under IFRS 16) |
|
|
|
|
|
14.8 |
12.9 |
12.9 |
12.9 |
12.9 |
|
|
Source: Company accounts, Edison Investment Research. Note: *Continuing operations. |
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Research: Metals & Mining
Endeavour’s Q121 financial results exceeded our expectations and were towards the top end of the range of analysts’ forecasts. In summary, Endeavour produced c 20% more gold than we expected during the quarter and sold c 30% more. This (positive) variance was then partially offset by a fractionally higher (negative) variance in operating expenses (albeit these were artificially inflated by US$22.6m of non-cash operating expenses) to give rise to a positive variance in adjusted net earnings attributable to shareholders from continuing operations of 16.6% relative to our prior expectations (see Exhibit 1). Perhaps more significantly, the results demonstrate that the integration of the Teranga assets into Endeavour’s portfolio is progressing smoothly (as expected) ahead of the latter’s London listing next month.