Global Dominion is a global company providing services and end-to-end (design to completion) project solutions, where increasing complexity is driving the requirement for external expertise. It has a strong track record reflecting operational excellence and stringent financial controls (EBIT CAGR 23% in 2015–19). COVID-19 has primarily affected operational/project delivery. End markets remain robust, reflecting the critical nature and payback of such investment, suggesting profit recovery should be swift, potentially enabling a return to the targeted growth plan of doubling 2018 net income by 2023. Uncertainties remain over the timing of recovery. The balance sheet is strong in a net cash position.
Global Dominion |
Optimising corporate infrastructure
|
Industrials |
Deutsches Eigenkapitalforum 2020
9 November 2020 |
Share price graph
Share details
Business description
Bull
Bear
Analyst
|
Global Dominion is a global company providing services and end-to-end (design to completion) project solutions, where increasing complexity is driving the requirement for external expertise. It has a strong track record reflecting operational excellence and stringent financial controls (EBIT CAGR 23% in 2015–19). COVID-19 has primarily affected operational/project delivery. End markets remain robust, reflecting the critical nature and payback of such investment, suggesting profit recovery should be swift, potentially enabling a return to the targeted growth plan of doubling 2018 net income by 2023. Uncertainties remain over the timing of recovery. The balance sheet is strong in a net cash position.
Dominion’s core USP
Dominion adds value through bringing a comprehensive service offering, including digital transformation and sector expertise to enhance customer process productivity. Technical expertise is supported by financial discipline and breadth of sector and geographic experience. Large projects range from turnkey installations (eg 50MW solar plant in the Dominican Republic) to technology integration (medical equipment, communications & systems design, installation and operation & maintenance for a hospital in Chile). Services extend through to maintenance and upgrades providing positive ‘base load’ activity. The business operates in the technology & telecoms, industry and energy sectors. Dominion has operations in 35 countries. Risk is mitigated by the largest customer/project accounting for less than 5% of group turnover. GD has a consumer business in Spain providing household services (including electricity & gas supply and telco services) for the smart home.
Consensus estimates for solid recovery
H1 was affected by COVID-19. The services business is recovering, while the project business remained positive and order book resilient (order backlog -4%). A return to operational normality should see a swift recovery and supports management confidence for a better H2 and market expectations of a return to 2019 profits in 2021. A global ‘second wave’ could affect the timing of recovery even though the prospects for the company for Q4 remain positive.
Valuation: Visible earnings recovery in FY21
Management remains committed to its target of doubling 2018 net income by 2023 (>10% organic growth) and 75% EBITA cash conversion. Assuming that the company returns to the outlined growth plan and achieves its targets, the stock trades on a FY23e P/E of c 10x. Based on consensus estimates, which reflect a visible recovery in earnings in FY21, the stock is trading on a FY21e P/E of 13.9x.
|
Consensus estimates
Source: Refinitiv |
EDISON QUICKVIEWS ARE NORMALLY ONE-OFF PUBLICATIONS WITH NO COMMITMENT TO WRITING ANY FOLLOW UP. QUICKVIEW NOTES USE CONSENSUS EARNINGS ESTIMATES.
|
||||||||
|
||||||||
Research: Investment Companies
Murray International Trust (MYI) provides investors with a diversified portfolio of global equities and fixed income securities. Lead manager Bruce Stout aims to generate an above-average dividend yield, with long-term growth in dividends and capital ahead of inflation. While there have been unprecedented pressures on dividends globally, and many businesses have suffered due to the current healthcare crisis, the overall focus of the portfolio remains on companies with robust cash generation, under-leveraged balance sheets and exposure to growth areas such as emerging markets. The manager and his colleagues in the global equity team at Aberdeen Standard Investments (ASI) have taken the opportunity following the stock market pullback earlier this year to introduce a selection of new high-quality names into the portfolio.