Entertainment One
Written by
Entertainment One |
eOne partners with Spielberg’s Amblin |
Strategic output deal |
Media |
17 December 2015 |
Share price performance
Business description
Next events
Analysts
Entertainment One is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited |
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The success of eOne’s strategy to partner with top content creators is demonstrated by today’s announcement of its involvement with Steven Spielberg’s new venture, Amblin Partners. It extends eOne’s existing output deal into new territories, but more importantly brings a close relationship and small equity stake in a new business with a promising raft of upcoming titles such as The BFG. We continue to see excellent upside in eOne’s share rating, as highlighted in our recent Outlook report.
Year end |
Revenue (£m) |
EBITDA* |
PBT* |
EPS* |
DPS |
P/E |
Yield |
03/14 |
823 |
92.8 |
78.4 |
18.4 |
1.0 |
9.6 |
0.6 |
03/15 |
786 |
107.3 |
88.8 |
20.8 |
1.1 |
8.5 |
0.6 |
03/16e |
765 |
129.5 |
104.0 |
19.8 |
1.2 |
8.9 |
0.7 |
03/17e |
839 |
153.8 |
125.6 |
20.5 |
1.3 |
8.6 |
0.7 |
03/18e |
906 |
169.1 |
141.7 |
23.1 |
1.4 |
7.7 |
0.8 |
Note: *Normalised, excluding one-off items, share-based payments and amortisation of acquired intangibles. Historic EPS restated for bonus element of October 2015 rights issue.
eOne and Spielberg in Amblin Partners
Amblin Partners is a new content creation company formed by Spielberg’s DreamWorks Studios, Participant Media, Reliance Entertainment and eOne. It will combine the DreamWorks Studios and Participant film slates, including projects such as The BFG and The Light Between Oceans. It also has some TV content, such as HBO’s forthcoming All The Way. It has raised $500m of new debt. Press reports (Wall Street Journal, Hollywood Reporter) suggest that Participant has invested $200m of equity and Reliance, Spielberg and eOne a further $100m. However this has not been confirmed by management and eOne’s “small equity stake” has not been disclosed (but is not thought to be material).
Important strategic film output deal for eOne
eOne has had a relationship with Steven Spielberg for some years, with a film distribution output deal with DreamWorks Studios covering the UK and Benelux since 2013. This new deal adds Australia, New Zealand and Spain (with Universal being Amblin’s main distributor in other territories). We are not making any changes to our profit or cash flow forecasts as we already forecast a material increase in content investment in FY17. However, the deal reinforces our confidence in the high quality of eOne’s forthcoming content, further strengthening its broad portfolio of film and TV titles.
Valuation: Share price fall overdone
eOne shares have recovered somewhat since our Outlook report dated 11 December, and reacted favourably to today’s announcement. However, at 177p, the FY16e P/E of 8.9x is well below both the peer group and eOne’s historic average, while the adjusted EV/EBITDA is only 8.8x, suggesting plenty of scope for further upside. If eOne can double EBITDA by 2020 as targeted, our DCF returns a value of 284p/share.
Exhibit 1: Financial summary
£m |
2014 |
2015 |
2016e |
2017e |
2018e |
||
Year end 31 March |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
IFRS |
||
PROFIT & LOSS |
|||||||
Revenue |
823.0 |
785.8 |
765.0 |
839.2 |
905.8 |
||
Cost of Sales |
(642.3) |
(578.0) |
(581.4) |
(637.8) |
(688.4) |
||
Gross Profit |
180.7 |
207.8 |
183.6 |
201.4 |
217.4 |
||
EBITDA |
92.8 |
107.3 |
129.5 |
153.8 |
169.1 |
||
Operating Profit |
90.2 |
103.6 |
124.0 |
147.8 |
162.6 |
||
Amortisation of intangibles |
(36.0) |
(22.2) |
(25.0) |
(25.0) |
(25.0) |
||
Exceptional items |
(22.1) |
(17.9) |
(10.5) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Share based payment charge |
(2.7) |
(3.4) |
(4.0) |
(4.0) |
(4.0) |
||
JV tax, finance costs, dep'n |
0.0 |
0.1 |
(2.1) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Operating Profit |
29.4 |
60.2 |
82.4 |
118.8 |
133.6 |
||
Net Interest |
(11.8) |
(14.8) |
(20.0) |
(22.1) |
(20.9) |
||
Exceptional finance items |
3.9 |
(1.4) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Profit Before Tax (norm) |
78.4 |
88.8 |
104.0 |
125.6 |
141.7 |
||
Profit Before Tax (FRS 3) |
21.5 |
43.9 |
64.5 |
96.6 |
112.7 |
||
Tax (reported) |
(1.5) |
(2.7) |
(12.5) |
(19.3) |
(22.5) |
||
Tax (adjustment for normalised earnings) |
|
(18.4) |
(16.8) |
(10.9) |
(8.9) |
(9.3) |
|
Profit After Tax (before non-controlling interests) (norm) |
58.5 |
69.3 |
80.6 |
97.4 |
109.9 |
||
Profit After Tax (before non-controlling interests) (FRS3) |
20.0 |
41.2 |
52.0 |
77.3 |
90.2 |
||
Non-controlling interests |
0.0 |
0.0 |
(5.9) |
(9.8) |
(10.6) |
||
Average Number of Shares, Diluted (m) |
318.7 |
333.4 |
377.3 |
427.3 |
429.4 |
||
EPS - normalised (p) |
18.4 |
20.8 |
19.8 |
20.5 |
23.1 |
||
EPS - FRS 3 (p) |
5.5 |
11.0 |
11.8 |
16.0 |
18.8 |
||
Dividend per share (p) |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
||
Gross Margin (%) |
22.0 |
26.4 |
24.0 |
24.0 |
24.0 |
||
EBITDA Margin (%) |
11.3 |
13.7 |
16.9 |
18.3 |
18.7 |
||
Operating Margin (before GW and except) (%) |
11.0 |
13.2 |
16.2 |
17.6 |
18.0 |
||
BALANCE SHEET |
|||||||
Non-current Assets |
366.0 |
538.4 |
695.2 |
709.7 |
722.5 |
||
Intangible Assets (incl Investment in programmes) |
343.1 |
473.9 |
540.9 |
557.3 |
572.3 |
||
Tangible Assets |
5.5 |
6.1 |
54.9 |
57.8 |
60.7 |
||
Deferred tax/Investments |
17.4 |
58.4 |
99.4 |
94.5 |
89.5 |
||
Current Assets |
559.9 |
634.3 |
595.6 |
660.5 |
704.3 |
||
Stocks |
47.2 |
52.0 |
52.0 |
52.0 |
52.0 |
||
Investment in content rights |
230.1 |
221.1 |
211.1 |
225.1 |
225.1 |
||
Debtors |
243.7 |
289.9 |
282.5 |
333.4 |
377.2 |
||
Cash |
38.9 |
71.3 |
50.0 |
50.0 |
50.0 |
||
Current Liabilities |
(449.2) |
(488.3) |
(457.5) |
(476.4) |
(486.9) |
||
Creditors |
(401.1) |
(398.7) |
(367.9) |
(386.8) |
(397.3) |
||
Short term borrowings |
(48.1) |
(89.6) |
(89.6) |
(89.6) |
(89.6) |
||
Long Term Liabilities |
(168.6) |
(319.6) |
(238.6) |
(228.0) |
(191.0) |
||
Long term borrowings |
(155.9) |
(295.9) |
(214.9) |
(204.3) |
(167.3) |
||
Other long term liabilities |
(12.7) |
(23.7) |
(23.7) |
(23.7) |
(23.7) |
||
Net Assets |
308.1 |
364.8 |
594.7 |
665.8 |
748.9 |
||
CASH FLOW |
|||||||
Operating Cash Flow |
264.2 |
271.9 |
314.0 |
406.4 |
475.8 |
||
Net Interest |
(10.7) |
(13.4) |
(20.0) |
(22.1) |
(20.9) |
||
Tax |
(5.9) |
(10.8) |
(12.5) |
(19.3) |
(22.5) |
||
Capex |
(4.2) |
(4.8) |
(8.5) |
(8.9) |
(9.4) |
||
Acquisitions/disposals |
(6.1) |
(104.3) |
(143.0) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Investment in content rights and TV programmes |
(281.4) |
(280.8) |
(260.0) |
(340.0) |
(380.0) |
||
Proceeds on issue of shares |
0.0 |
0.0 |
193.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Dividends |
0.0 |
(2.9) |
(3.3) |
(5.3) |
(6.0) |
||
Net Cash Flow |
(44.1) |
(145.1) |
59.7 |
10.6 |
37.0 |
||
Opening net debt/(cash) |
144.5 |
165.1 |
314.2 |
254.5 |
243.9 |
||
Movements in exchangeable notes |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Other including forex |
23.5 |
(4.0) |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
||
Closing net debt/(cash) |
165.1 |
314.2 |
254.5 |
243.9 |
206.9 |
||
ANALYSIS OF NET DEBT |
|||||||
Total debt |
165.1 |
314.2 |
254.5 |
243.9 |
206.9 |
||
Net production finance |
54.0 |
89.3 |
95.0 |
115.0 |
135.0 |
||
Adjusted net debt |
111.1 |
224.9 |
159.5 |
128.9 |
71.9 |
||
Source: Entertainment One (historics), Edison Investment Research (forecasts)
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