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EMIS reported H121 results ahead of board expectations and is on track to meet the company’s FY21 expectations. After a period of investment to develop the EMIS-X platform, and at least a year of diverting resource to support customers’ COVID-19 efforts, EMIS is now in a position to execute its growth strategy. Our revenue and adjusted operating profit forecasts are unchanged, with revenue growth accelerating to the lower end of the targeted medium-term 5–9% range from FY22.
EMIS Group |
Commercialising recent investment |
H121 results |
Software & comp services |
14 September 2021 |
Share price performance
Business description
Next events
Analyst
EMIS Group is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited |
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EMIS reported H121 results ahead of board expectations and is on track to meet the company’s FY21 expectations. After a period of investment to develop the EMIS-X platform, and at least a year of diverting resource to support customers’ COVID-19 efforts, EMIS is now in a position to execute its growth strategy. Our revenue and adjusted operating profit forecasts are unchanged, with revenue growth accelerating to the lower end of the targeted medium-term 5–9% range from FY22.
Year end |
Revenue (£m) |
PBT* |
Diluted EPS* |
EMIS adj dil EPS** (p) |
DPS |
P/E |
12/19 |
159.5 |
41.0 |
53.5 |
51.1 |
31.2 |
25.6 |
12/20 |
159.5 |
43.4 |
56.4 |
50.4 |
32.0 |
24.3 |
12/21e |
164.1 |
42.2 |
53.7 |
52.8 |
35.2 |
25.5 |
12/22e |
172.7 |
46.7 |
59.5 |
57.1 |
36.0 |
23.0 |
Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments. **EMIS adjusted EPS – cash accounts for development costs and excludes exceptional items and amortisation of acquired intangibles.
H121: Solid performance
While continuing to support customers with COVID-19 related requirements, EMIS saw operations start to return to normal. H121 revenue increased 7% y-o-y and adjusted operating profit grew 13% y-o-y. EMIS Health revenue was marginally higher, with higher-margin revenue driving adjusted operating profit up 5% y-o-y. EMIS Enterprise revenue increased 21% y-o-y and adjusted operating profit was up 28% y-o-y. The group closed H121 with net cash of £48m and announced an interim dividend of 17.6p, up 10% y-o-y and ahead of our 17p forecast. Our revenue and adjusted operating profit forecasts are unchanged although we have revised our capex, depreciation and amortisation forecasts to reflect company guidance.
Well-positioned for post-COVID-19 healthcare market
The pandemic has accelerated digital adoption within healthcare and even once the worst of the pandemic is over, and the vaccination programme substantially complete, we believe this is a permanent structural shift. The importance of data to assess performance and improve preventative medicine has become more evident and at the same time, there is increased focus on combining health and social care. EMIS’s expertise in connected care puts it at the heart of this, with critical mass in primary, acute, pharmacy and community care, and EMIS-X analytics tools that are designed to work safely and securely with clinical data.
Valuation: At a discount to peers
Compared to a global group of healthcare software peers, EMIS trades at a discount on all valuation metrics. EMIS generates significantly higher operating profit margins but with slightly slower revenue growth, generates lower earnings growth. Its dividend yield is significantly ahead of the group. Key to closing the discount will be evidence that revenue growth is returning to the company’s medium-term goal of mid- to high-single digits, in turn driving stronger earnings growth. We note that EMIS has good visibility (recurring revenue was 79% in H121) and a strong balance sheet with no debt.
Review of H121 results
Exhibit 1: H121 results highlights
£m |
H121 |
H120 |
y-o-y |
Revenues |
83.5 |
78.1 |
6.9% |
Gross margin |
90.3% |
85.3% |
5.0% |
EBITDA |
25.7 |
25.2 |
2.1% |
EBITDA margin |
30.8% |
32.2% |
(1.5%) |
Normalised EBIT |
20.4 |
20.4 |
0.1% |
EMIS adjusted EBIT |
20.0 |
17.8 |
12.6% |
Reported EBIT |
16.3 |
16.6 |
(1.9%) |
Normalised EBIT margin |
24.4% |
26.1% |
(1.7%) |
EMIS adjusted EBIT margin |
24.0% |
22.8% |
1.2% |
Reported EBIT margin |
19.5% |
21.3% |
(1.8%) |
Net interest income |
(0.2) |
(0.1) |
90.1% |
Reported PBT |
16.4 |
17.7 |
(7.2%) |
Tax |
(3.3) |
(3.4) |
(1.4%) |
Normalised net income |
16.5 |
17.1 |
(3.6%) |
Reported net income |
13.1 |
14.4 |
(9.0%) |
Normalised diluted EPS (p) |
26.0 |
27.1 |
(4.1%) |
EMIS adjusted diluted EPS (p) |
25.3 |
22.9 |
10.5% |
Reported basic EPS (p) |
20.8 |
22.9 |
(9.2%) |
Net cash |
48.0 |
44.1 |
8.9% |
Source: EMIS, Edison Investment Research
Exhibit 2: Divisional performance
£m |
H120 |
H220 |
H121 |
y-o-y |
h-o-h |
Revenues |
|||||
EMIS Health |
54.0 |
53.8 |
54.3 |
0.5% |
0.9% |
EMIS Enterprise |
24.1 |
27.6 |
29.3 |
21.3% |
6.1% |
Total |
78.1 |
81.3 |
83.5 |
6.9% |
2.7% |
Adjusted operating profit |
|||||
EMIS Health |
11.9 |
13.2 |
12.5 |
4.7% |
(5.1%) |
EMIS Enterprise |
6.5 |
9.2 |
8.4 |
28.3% |
(8.7%) |
Central costs |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
23.9% |
1.0% |
Total adjusted operating profit |
17.8 |
21.5 |
20.0 |
12.6% |
(6.9%) |
Reported operating profit |
|||||
EMIS Health |
13.1 |
10.7 |
10.6 |
(19.3%) |
(1.3%) |
EMIS Enterprise |
4.2 |
9.3 |
6.6 |
56.3% |
(29.0%) |
Central costs |
-0.7 |
-0.8 |
-0.8 |
23.9% |
1.0% |
Total reported operating profit |
16.6 |
19.1 |
16.3 |
(1.9%) |
(14.8%) |
Adjusted operating margin |
|||||
EMIS Health |
22.1% |
24.5% |
23.0% |
0.9% |
(1.5%) |
EMIS Enterprise |
27.0% |
33.3% |
28.6% |
1.6% |
(4.7%) |
Total adjusted operating margin |
22.8% |
26.4% |
24.0% |
1.2% |
(2.5%) |
Reported operating margin |
|||||
EMIS Health |
24.3% |
19.9% |
19.5% |
(4.8%) |
(0.4%) |
EMIS Enterprise |
17.4% |
33.6% |
22.5% |
5.0% |
(11.1%) |
Total reported operating margin |
21.3% |
23.5% |
19.5% |
(1.8%) |
(4.0%) |
Source: EMIS
While the company continues to support customers with their COVID-19 requirements, operational activities have broadly returned to business as usual. EMIS reported revenue growth of 7% y-o-y in H121, with recurring revenue growth of 4% y-o-y (79% of revenue). Adjusted operating profit increased 13% y-o-y and the adjusted operating margin increased 1.2pp to 24.0%. This was after the award to all staff of a one-off cash bonus to reward them for work during the pandemic. Adjusted EPS increased 11% y-o-y. Both revenue and adjusted operating profit were also ahead of H119 (ie pre COVID-19).
On a normalised basis, operating profit was flat and net income was 4% lower year-on-year, reflecting a much lower level of capitalised development costs (H121 £2.1m vs H120 £4.1m). Management noted that the R&D team had been more focused on customer experience during H1 and the criteria for capitalising costs had been tightened.
The company closed H121 with gross/net cash of £48.0m. Cash from operations of £17.0m was after making the deferred VAT payment of £7.3m and also reflected some overdue accounts receivable, which were received in July.
EMIS announced an interim dividend of 17.6p (+10% y-o-y), ahead of our 17p estimate.
EMIS Health: Steady performance
The division saw revenue growth of 0.5% y-o-y, while a lower proportion of lower-margin hardware sales compared to last year resulted in adjusted operating profit growth of 4.7%.
The company noted that there had been no material changes to market shares. The business continues to deliver on the requirements of the GP IT Futures contract within primary care and support ongoing requirements relating to COVID-19. EMIS’s online test results system, Keystone, was scaled up to manage the sending of up to 10 million test results per day into GP records. EMIS also released new technology to support GPs through the vaccination programme and helped NHS England with its daily COVID-19 reporting requirements.
EMIS Health continues to support its Welsh customers; no end users have moved away from EMIS since the framework was changed in 2018. EMIS is awaiting the outcome of the new Digital Health and Care Wales primary care framework tender process.
The business began to use EMIS-X analytics internally to analyse reporting trends and spot potential problems at an earlier stage.
EMIS Enterprise: Shifting from investment to growth
Boosted by the use of Pinnacle’s Outcomes4Health software to support the COVID-19 vaccine rollout in England, the division saw revenue growth of 21% y-o-y and adjusted operating profit growth of 28% y-o-y (margin 28.6%).
The company noted that Pinnacle contributed £3.3m to revenue in H121, compared to £0.7m in H120, with the majority of revenue in H121 coming from projects to set up and scale up the system for the vaccination programme. 66m vaccinations have been recorded in the software to date. These are transferred through interoperability to the National Immunisation Management System and from there to GP clinical systems the next day. This enables patients to access the data via the NHS App or Patient Access. EMIS expects that Outcomes4Health software will be used for COVID-19 booster vaccinations and flu vaccinations. Integration of Pinnacle software with GP and community pharmacy software is ongoing.
The division’s focus is on growth in the following areas:
■
Patient-facing digital services: Patient Access had 13 million registered users at the end of H121, up from 11.7 million at the end of FY20. 11.5 million repeat prescriptions were ordered in H121 compared to 11.7 million in H120. The pilot version of a new service, Smart Pharmacy, was launched, which allows patients to order, track and opt for home delivery of their medications from their local pharmacy.
■
Developing the life sciences market with EMIS-X Analytics (EXA): since its launch in October 2020, EXA has been used in several pilot projects. During H121, two pilots were converted to commercial contracts.
■
Pharmacy: community pharmacy appointment bookings are growing, with the booking service now live in 1,600 branches of 248 pharmacies. A new solution was launched to support the national Discharge Medicines Service in England, supporting the transfer of clinical information when a patient is discharged from hospital to their chosen community pharmacy.
■
Partner programmes: this has evolved into two types of partner. Elite partners offer strategically important core capabilities (eg document management, video consulting, referral functionality), which plug-in to EMIS technology to provide a complete solution. Resale partners offer a wide range of products and services that interoperate and exchange data with EMIS clinical systems, including clinical devices such as spirometry and ECG devices. EMIS noted that more than 20% of revenue in H121 was generated from partner programmes across both divisions.
The company also noted the many current and potential uses for EMIS-X. Examples include care pathways (identify patients who may require additional clinical care and assess outcomes of this care), analysing vaccine adverse events and early identification of undetected conditions1.
See page 40 Enterprise adoption of AI.
Connected care: The future of healthcare
The NHS is working towards integrated care systems (ICS) that bring together health and social care. Access to and use of data (both clinical and operational) will be a key part of this, providing the ability to assess performance, analyse patient cohorts and improve preventative medicine. EMIS’s investment in the EMIS-X platform, including the soon to be deployed FHIR (fast healthcare interoperability resource) layer, combined with its connected care capabilities across primary, acute, community and pharmacy settings position it well for this next phase.
OpenSAFELY: An example of trusted research environment for data
A key concern for individuals regarding the use of their clinical data by third parties is that they are unsure what the information is being used for and they have no control over where it goes. NHS England has tried to introduce the GPDPR (general practice data for planning and research) service, which extracts clinical data from patient records that can then be used by approved third parties. Controversy over the anonymity (or otherwise) of the data led to many patient opt-outs and the project was paused. The government is looking to make various improvements to the programme, including the development and implementation of a trusted research environment in NHS Digital.
EMIS is working with Ben Goldacre, a prominent data scientist and doctor, on the OpenSAFELY project. This allows researchers to make requests to use specific patient data; using software tools provided by OpenSAFELY the data are anonymised and analysed in situ, never leaving the platform on which they reside, and the results returned to the researchers. EMIS supports the OpenSAFELY COVID-19 project, which allows researchers to analyse data from 35 million patient records on the EMIS platform to gain insights into both the short- and long-term effects of COVID19.
ESG strategy under development
The company is currently developing its ESG proposition, pulling together a number of existing initiatives. The board has approved the plan and will shortly create a committee to strengthen and develop its ESG strategy.
Outlook and changes to forecasts
Management noted that it has ‘a clear line of sight to meet Board expectations for H2’ and noted that it was moving from a development phase to a growth phase, reiterating the medium-term revenue growth target of 5–9%. Our FY22 revenue growth forecast of 5.3% and FY23 forecast of 5.6% are in line with this plan. The company also noted that future growth is likely to come from the combination of smaller new business wins across its whole product portfolio rather than from one specific area.
As the company capitalised a lower amount of development costs in H121 than we expected, we have reduced our forecast for the year and for related amortisation. We have also reduced our FY21 depreciation forecast to reflect the amount reported in H121. We have increased our dividend forecasts for all three years. Forecasts on an EMIS-adjusted basis (ie before accounting for capitalisation of development costs) are unchanged at the operating profit and net income level. We have slightly increased our dilutive share count forecasts, which results in a small cut to our diluted adjusted EPS forecasts.
Exhibit 3: Changes to estimates
£'000s |
FY21e |
FY21e |
Change |
y-o-y |
FY22e |
FY22e |
Change |
y-o-y |
FY23e |
FY23e |
Change |
y-o-y |
Old |
New |
Old |
New |
Old |
New |
|||||||
Revenues |
164,139 |
164,113 |
(0.0%) |
2.9% |
172,741 |
172,741 |
0.0% |
5.3% |
182,448 |
182,448 |
0.0% |
5.6% |
Normalised operating profit |
43,440 |
41,792 |
(3.8%) |
(2.9%) |
46,169 |
46,329 |
0.3% |
10.9% |
49,038 |
49,198 |
0.3% |
6.2% |
Normalised operating margin |
26.5% |
25.5% |
(1.0%) |
26.7% |
26.8% |
0.1% |
26.9% |
27.0% |
0.1% |
|||
Reported operating profit |
36,443 |
33,636 |
(7.7%) |
(6.0%) |
40,918 |
40,429 |
(1.2%) |
20.2% |
44,330 |
44,330 |
0.0% |
9.7% |
EMIS adjusted operating profit |
41,100 |
41,092 |
(0.0%) |
4.6% |
44,429 |
44,429 |
0.0% |
8.1% |
47,298 |
47,298 |
0.0% |
6.5% |
Adjusted operating margin |
25.0% |
25.0% |
(0.0%) |
25.7% |
25.7% |
0.0% |
25.9% |
25.9% |
0.0% |
|||
Normalised diluted EPS (p) |
56.2 |
53.7 |
(4.4%) |
(4.7%) |
59.7 |
59.5 |
(0.3%) |
10.8% |
63.3 |
63.1 |
(0.3%) |
6.1% |
Reported EPS (p) |
47.3 |
43.7 |
(7.6%) |
(9.1%) |
53.1 |
52.5 |
(1.2%) |
20.0% |
54.3 |
54.3 |
0.0% |
3.5% |
EMIS diluted adjusted EPS (p) |
53.2 |
52.8 |
(0.6%) |
4.7% |
57.4 |
57.1 |
(0.6%) |
8.1% |
57.7 |
57.3 |
(0.6%) |
0.5% |
Dividend per share (p) |
34.0 |
35.2 |
3.5% |
10.0% |
35.0 |
36.0 |
2.9% |
2.3% |
36.0 |
37.0 |
2.8% |
2.8% |
Net cash |
53,763 |
55,322 |
2.9% |
4.4% |
68,435 |
68,045 |
(0.6%) |
23.0% |
84,939 |
84,175 |
(0.9%) |
23.7% |
Source: Edison Investment Research
Valuation
Our peer group includes companies involved in clinical, healthcare analytics and medicines management software. The tables below show how EMIS compares in terms of financial performance (Exhibit 4) and valuation metrics (Exhibit 5). EMIS is at the top of its peer group in terms of EBIT margins but is at the lower end in terms of revenue growth and consequently earnings growth. It trades at a discount to the peer group average/median on all metrics, with a dividend yield at the top end of the group. Reacceleration of growth post COVID-19 will be a key driver of upside. We note that EMIS has £48m in net cash plus further credit lines (£15m undrawn bank facility plus £15m accordion) available to invest in growth if suitable M&A opportunities present themselves.
Exhibit 4: Peer financial metrics (%)
Company |
EBIT margin |
EBITDA margin |
Rev growth |
EPS growth |
||||||||
CY |
NY |
NY+1 |
CY |
NY |
NY+1 |
CY |
NY |
NY+1 |
CY |
NY |
NY+1 |
|
EMIS |
25.5 |
26.8 |
27.0 |
32.2 |
34.3 |
34.0 |
2.9 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
-4.7 |
10.8 |
6.1 |
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions |
9.4 |
10.4 |
10.9 |
18.0 |
18.5 |
18.9 |
-8.4 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
6.6 |
6.2 |
3.1 |
Cegedim |
7.8 |
8.1 |
8.4 |
21.2 |
21.3 |
21.7 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
107.5 |
12.7 |
11.8 |
Cerner Corp |
21.4 |
22.2 |
23.2 |
32.7 |
33.8 |
34.6 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
14.7 |
9.9 |
15.3 |
Computer Programs & Systems |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
18.7 |
20.1 |
22.4 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
8.9 |
21.8 |
11.6 |
22.2 |
Craneware |
27.9 |
26.1 |
27.3 |
35.1 |
44.1 |
43.0 |
5.5 |
6.8 |
9.3 |
3.8 |
10.6 |
8.5 |
CompuGroup |
13.3 |
14.7 |
16.0 |
21.6 |
22.8 |
23.8 |
22.2 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
8.4 |
15.2 |
11.2 |
Health Catalyst |
-25.8 |
-17.1 |
-14.6 |
-4.5 |
0.3 |
4.7 |
26.4 |
21.5 |
21.7 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
Inovalon Holdings |
27.3 |
28.9 |
N/A |
34.9 |
35.9 |
36.7 |
15.7 |
12.5 |
11.8 |
21.2 |
22.4 |
20.7 |
Nexus |
12.6 |
14.3 |
15.7 |
21.9 |
22.9 |
23.9 |
16.6 |
13.8 |
9.5 |
31.6 |
26.1 |
19.2 |
NextGen Healthcare |
13.8 |
14.2 |
11.0 |
18.4 |
19.2 |
20.2 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
-5.6 |
8.4 |
9.7 |
Omnicell |
16.9 |
17.8 |
17.2 |
21.2 |
22.5 |
23.6 |
24.6 |
13.9 |
13.7 |
46.1 |
11.2 |
12.3 |
OPTIMIZERx Corp |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
15.7 |
19.7 |
20.9 |
40.2 |
28.6 |
22.4 |
161.3 |
59.3 |
27.3 |
Pharmagest Interactive |
27.3 |
27.4 |
27.6 |
31.5 |
32.2 |
32.4 |
11.9 |
11.3 |
10.0 |
21.9 |
15.0 |
12.9 |
Tabula Rasa HealthCare |
-11.0 |
-7.9 |
-7.3 |
8.1 |
10.2 |
12.5 |
15.2 |
15.6 |
13.0 |
N/A |
352.7 |
80.7 |
Average |
11.7 |
13.3 |
12.3 |
21.0 |
23.1 |
24.2 |
13.5 |
10.9 |
10.0 |
36.6 |
43.2 |
19.6 |
Median |
13.5 |
14.5 |
15.7 |
21.2 |
21.9 |
23.0 |
13.6 |
9.1 |
9.4 |
21.5 |
12.7 |
12.9 |
Source: Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv (as at 13 September)
Exhibit 5: Peer valuation metrics
Share price |
Market cap m |
EV/sales |
EV/EBITDA |
EV/EBIT |
P/E |
Div yield |
||||||
CY |
NY |
CY |
NY |
CY |
NY |
CY |
NY |
CY |
NY |
|||
EMIS |
£13.68 |
866 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
15.5 |
13.8 |
19.6 |
17.7 |
25.5 |
23.0 |
2.6% |
2.6% |
EMIS - adjusted profitability |
5.0 |
4.7 |
15.5 |
13.8 |
19.9 |
18.4 |
25.9 |
24.0 |
2.6% |
2.6% |
||
Allscripts Healthcare Solutions |
$14.31 |
1,789 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
7.3 |
7.0 |
14.0 |
12.4 |
17.7 |
16.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Cegedim |
€28.15 |
394 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
15.7 |
14.6 |
17.0 |
15.1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Cerner Corp |
$74.45 |
22,006 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
12.1 |
11.2 |
18.5 |
16.9 |
22.8 |
20.8 |
1.1% |
1.0% |
Computer Programs & Systems |
$36.35 |
532 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
12.0 |
10.5 |
N/A |
N/A |
13.5 |
12.1 |
4.4% |
4.4% |
Craneware |
£24.70 |
878 |
15.5 |
14.5 |
44.1 |
32.9 |
55.4 |
55.5 |
51.1 |
46.2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
CompuGroup |
€82.30 |
4,426 |
4.9 |
4.7 |
22.7 |
20.4 |
36.9 |
31.7 |
40.4 |
35.0 |
0.7% |
0.7% |
Health Catalyst |
$55.96 |
2,794 |
11.3 |
9.3 |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
N/A |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Inovalon Holdings |
$40.45 |
6,324 |
9.2 |
8.2 |
26.4 |
22.8 |
33.7 |
28.3 |
53.8 |
44.0 |
N/A |
N/A |
Nexus |
€74.40 |
1,172 |
6.2 |
5.4 |
28.2 |
23.6 |
48.9 |
38.0 |
59.5 |
47.2 |
0.3% |
0.3% |
NextGen Healthcare |
$15.00 |
1,009 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
11.7 |
10.9 |
16.2 |
15.0 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Omnicell |
$159.67 |
6,942 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
28.9 |
23.8 |
36.2 |
30.2 |
43.0 |
38.7 |
N/A |
N/A |
OPTIMIZERx Corp |
$68.85 |
1,213 |
18.6 |
14.5 |
118.3 |
73.4 |
N/A |
N/A |
131.8 |
82.7 |
N/A |
N/A |
Pharmagest Interactive |
€97.70 |
1,484 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
24.7 |
21.7 |
28.5 |
25.5 |
39.3 |
34.2 |
1.2% |
1.3% |
Tabula Rasa HealthCare |
$28.79 |
720 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
38.0 |
26.1 |
N/A |
N/A |
311.2 |
68.8 |
N/A |
N/A |
Average |
6.6 |
5.8 |
29.0 |
22.1 |
30.0 |
26.4 |
62.9 |
36.6 |
0.8% |
0.8% |
||
Median |
5.5 |
5.0 |
24.7 |
21.7 |
31.1 |
26.9 |
40.4 |
35.0 |
0.1% |
0.1% |
||
Source: Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv (as at 13 September)
Exhibit 6: Financial summary
£'000s |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021e |
2022e |
2023e |
||
Year end 31 December |
||||||||||
PROFIT & LOSS |
||||||||||
Revenue |
|
|
158,712 |
160,354 |
149,710 |
159,507 |
159,453 |
164,113 |
172,741 |
182,448 |
Cost of Sales |
(14,151) |
(14,674) |
(14,236) |
(15,407) |
(20,335) |
(15,382) |
(16,751) |
(18,549) |
||
Gross Profit |
144,561 |
145,680 |
135,474 |
144,100 |
139,118 |
148,731 |
155,990 |
163,899 |
||
EBITDA |
|
|
52,288 |
49,222 |
48,919 |
55,632 |
53,536 |
52,892 |
59,229 |
62,098 |
Operating Profit (before amort. of acq. intang, SBP and except.) |
38,897 |
34,895 |
32,991 |
40,794 |
43,020 |
41,792 |
46,329 |
49,198 |
||
EMIS adjusted operating profit |
|
|
38,753 |
37,406 |
35,890 |
39,273 |
39,266 |
41,092 |
44,429 |
47,298 |
Amortisation of acquired intangibles |
(6,639) |
(6,717) |
(6,202) |
(7,317) |
(6,824) |
(6,555) |
(4,301) |
(3,268) |
||
Exceptionals |
(6,714) |
(16,988) |
1,657 |
(5,360) |
1,802 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Share-based payments |
(473) |
(550) |
(766) |
(1,290) |
(1,440) |
(1,600) |
(1,600) |
(1,600) |
||
Operating Profit |
25,071 |
10,640 |
27,680 |
26,827 |
36,558 |
33,636 |
40,429 |
44,330 |
||
Net Interest |
(237) |
(299) |
(180) |
(498) |
(501) |
(500) |
(500) |
(500) |
||
Profit Before Tax (norm) |
|
|
39,159 |
35,192 |
33,426 |
41,038 |
43,377 |
42,150 |
46,687 |
49,556 |
Profit Before Tax (FRS 3) |
|
|
25,333 |
10,937 |
28,115 |
27,071 |
36,915 |
33,994 |
40,787 |
44,688 |
Tax |
(5,208) |
(2,074) |
(5,355) |
(5,022) |
(6,794) |
(6,459) |
(7,749) |
(10,502) |
||
Profit After Tax (norm) |
32,175 |
27,989 |
26,447 |
33,697 |
35,658 |
34,141 |
37,817 |
40,140 |
||
Profit After Tax (FRS3) |
20,125 |
8,863 |
22,760 |
22,049 |
30,121 |
27,535 |
33,037 |
34,186 |
||
Average Number of Shares Outstanding (m) |
62.8 |
62.9 |
63.0 |
62.9 |
62.9 |
63.0 |
63.0 |
63.0 |
||
EPS - normalised & diluted (p) |
|
|
49.4 |
43.1 |
40.4 |
53.5 |
56.4 |
53.7 |
59.5 |
63.1 |
EPS - EMIS adjusted & diluted (p) |
|
|
49.2 |
47.0 |
45.0 |
51.1 |
50.4 |
52.8 |
57.1 |
57.3 |
EPS - FRS 3 (p) |
|
|
30.4 |
12.8 |
36.1 |
36.0 |
48.1 |
43.7 |
52.5 |
54.3 |
Dividend (p) |
23.4 |
25.8 |
28.4 |
31.2 |
32.0 |
35.2 |
36.0 |
37.0 |
||
Gross Margin (%) |
91.1% |
90.8% |
90.5% |
90.3% |
87.2% |
90.6% |
90.3% |
89.8% |
||
EBITDA Margin (%) |
32.9% |
30.7% |
32.7% |
34.9% |
33.6% |
32.2% |
34.3% |
34.0% |
||
Operating Margin (before GW and except.) (%) |
24.5% |
21.8% |
22.0% |
25.6% |
27.0% |
25.5% |
26.8% |
27.0% |
||
BALANCE SHEET |
||||||||||
Fixed Assets |
|
|
133,292 |
122,979 |
117,920 |
101,089 |
105,518 |
97,721 |
94,178 |
92,168 |
Intangible Assets |
110,953 |
100,844 |
96,807 |
82,345 |
85,295 |
77,440 |
73,039 |
69,671 |
||
Tangible Assets |
22,187 |
22,037 |
21,000 |
18,399 |
19,870 |
19,070 |
19,070 |
19,570 |
||
Other fixed assets |
152 |
98 |
113 |
345 |
353 |
1,211 |
2,069 |
2,927 |
||
Current Assets |
|
|
46,088 |
56,900 |
53,107 |
67,278 |
87,170 |
93,213 |
107,709 |
125,833 |
Stocks |
1,815 |
1,633 |
1,264 |
657 |
613 |
613 |
613 |
613 |
||
Debtors |
39,970 |
40,148 |
36,223 |
33,047 |
29,993 |
33,722 |
35,495 |
37,489 |
||
Cash |
4,303 |
13,991 |
15,620 |
31,099 |
53,008 |
55,322 |
68,045 |
84,175 |
||
Current Liabilities |
|
|
(56,158) |
(65,131) |
(60,169) |
(55,700) |
(63,370) |
(59,813) |
(60,800) |
(64,161) |
Creditors |
(51,425) |
(65,131) |
(60,169) |
(55,060) |
(62,380) |
(58,823) |
(59,810) |
(63,171) |
||
Lease liabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
(640) |
(990) |
(990) |
(990) |
(990) |
||
Short term borrowings |
(4,733) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Long Term Liabilities |
|
|
(9,080) |
(6,734) |
(8,199) |
(8,469) |
(10,180) |
(6,119) |
(4,487) |
(5,062) |
Long term borrowings |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Lease liabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
(3,294) |
(5,891) |
(5,380) |
(4,869) |
(4,358) |
||
Other long term liabilities |
(9,080) |
(6,734) |
(8,199) |
(5,175) |
(4,289) |
(739) |
382 |
(704) |
||
Net Assets |
|
|
114,142 |
108,014 |
102,659 |
104,198 |
119,138 |
125,001 |
136,600 |
148,777 |
CASH FLOW |
||||||||||
Operating Cash Flow |
|
|
43,657 |
48,834 |
49,873 |
50,059 |
64,138 |
45,606 |
60,444 |
63,464 |
Net Interest |
(324) |
(356) |
(214) |
(93) |
(54) |
(500) |
(500) |
(500) |
||
Tax |
(7,655) |
(8,139) |
(5,830) |
(4,466) |
(11,684) |
(8,008) |
(8,871) |
(9,416) |
||
Capex |
(12,084) |
(11,342) |
(12,767) |
(13,119) |
(9,491) |
(8,000) |
(11,800) |
(12,300) |
||
Acquisitions/disposals |
(1,790) |
329 |
(9,269) |
5,152 |
(953) |
(2,000) |
(2,000) |
0 |
||
Financing |
881 |
571 |
906 |
(2,369) |
1,324 |
(2,000) |
(500) |
(500) |
||
Dividends |
(14,006) |
(15,476) |
(21,070) |
(18,745) |
(19,860) |
(21,272) |
(22,539) |
(23,109) |
||
Net Cash Flow |
8,679 |
14,421 |
1,629 |
16,419 |
23,420 |
3,825 |
14,235 |
17,640 |
||
Opening net debt/(cash) |
|
|
9,109 |
430 |
(13,991) |
(15,620) |
(31,099) |
(53,008) |
(55,322) |
(68,045) |
Finance leases initiated |
0 |
0 |
0 |
(940) |
(1,511) |
(1,511) |
(1,511) |
(1,511) |
||
Other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Closing net debt/(cash) |
|
|
430 |
(13,991) |
(15,620) |
(31,099) |
(53,008) |
(55,322) |
(68,045) |
(84,175) |
Source: EMIS Group, Edison Investment Research
|
|
Research: Investment Companies
Georgia Capital (GCAP) posted a 13.2% NAV total return (TR) in local currency terms in H121 (15.2% in sterling), driven by an improved operating performance across its private holdings (assisted by Georgia’s 12.7% y-o-y real GDP rebound in H121), a c 10% rise in the Bank of Georgia’s share price and appreciation of the Georgian lari versus the US dollar. GCAP continues to focus its new investments on the education and renewable energy sectors. It recently announced a school acquisition and the opening of another campus in the affordable education segment, which will expand its capacity from 3,500 to 5,300 learners from September 2021.