Last close As at 31/08/2026
EUR13.50
▲ −0.32 (−2.32%)
Market capitalisation
EUR10,892m
Research: Consumer
Allwyn’s Q226 results showed a good underlying improvement in adjusted EBITDA and a material improvement in cash generation, and management maintained its overall FY26 guidance. The main areas of focus in the short term are likely to be the pace of the recovery in the UK and the near-term trajectory of PrizePicks, where increased marketing dampened profitability in Q226 and management anticipates payback in the coming quarters as new seasons for key sports in North America commence.
| Year end | Net revenue (€m) | EBITDA (adj) (€m) | EPS (€) | DPS (€) | P/E (x) | Yield (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/25 | 4,112.0 | 1,584.0 | - | - | ||
| 12/26e | 5,189.0 | 1,916.0 | 0.96 | 1.00 | 14.1 | 7.4 |
| 12/27e | 5,566.0 | 2,103.0 | 1.10 | 1.05 | 12.3 | 7.8 |
Allwyn reported net revenue growth of 27% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 29% in Q226. On an underlying basis, net revenue increased by 5% while adjusted EBITDA growth grew by 9%, slightly below Q126’s 11% growth, indicating an increase in the margin to 36.8%. There was an encouraging improvement in free cash generation, helped by better working capital, which can vary between quarters, a significant reduction in capex following completion of the UK’s technology investment, higher dividends from equity investments and some one-off effects.
Continental Europe remained resilient, with net revenue up 4%, or 6% before the impact of an increase in Austrian taxes in FY25. Sports Betting and iGaming were particularly strong, increasing by 12% and 24%, respectively, while lottery revenue declined by 5% due to tough comparatives from favourable jackpots.
The UK showed a notable improvement in profitability and cash flow as the technology transformation was completed in Q126. However, gaming revenue remains weak with a constant-currency gross-gaming-revenue decline of 14%, reflecting the strong comparative and impacts from the re-platforming in Q1. A new CEO has been appointed, and management now expects the UK’s FY26 net revenue to be below the mid-to-high-single-digit growth initially guided. While it is early days for the recent new game launches, including Powerball, management highlighted cannibalisation of the core games was in line with expectations.
In North America, where net revenue grew by 6% at constant currency, PrizePicks net revenue grew by 3%, partly reflecting favourable operator sports results in Q225. Operational KPIs were strong with combined Daily Fantasy Sports entry fees and prediction market volumes growing by more than 35% y-o-y, prediction market volumes increased by more than 30% q-o-q and the active player base exited Q226 18% higher. Higher tactical marketing spend around the FIFA World Cup and higher variable costs affected profitability.
Betano enjoyed a strong quarter with 26% constant-currency revenue growth and 24% growth in operating EBITDA.
Management reiterated its FY26 guidance for net revenue growth in the mid-to-high 20s, before c €60m of previously identified one-off effects and an adjusted EBITDA margin of 37%. This implies comfort in the performance of the other divisions given the reduced outlook for the UK’s growth. Shareholder returns remain supportive with the announcement of a €0.20 per share interim distribution and the company had completed almost 60% of the €150m share buyback by 21 August.
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United Kingdom
Research: Industrials
Heidelberger Druckmaschinen Q127 revenue fell 13% to €404m, order intake fell 4% to €537m and adjusted EBITDA margin fell to 0.2% from 4.4%, producing a €32m net loss. Management reiterated FY27 guidance for broadly stable revenue of c €2.3bn and a noticeably higher adjusted EBITDA margin, supported by cost actions and a shift towards less cyclical, higher-margin activities. Successful execution is key to delivering H127 results on 12 November that better align with full-year guidance.