Lepidico (ASX: LPD)

Last close As at 18/04/2024

AUD0.00

0.00 (0.00%)

Market capitalisation

AUD29m

Via its Karibib project in Namibia and unique IP, Lepidico is a vertically integrated lithium development business that has produced both lithium carbonate and lithium hydroxide from non-traditional hard rock lithium-bearing minerals using its registered L-Max and LOH-Max processes.

In the light of its updated DFS, we conservatively value Lepidico at 5.39c/share, plus a further 0.68–1.66c/share for a significantly risk-adjusted full-scale, 20,000tpa lithium carbonate equivalent Phase 2 plant. However, if Benchmark Mineral Intelligence’s lithium hydroxide price forecasts are used in our model (rather than our own), this valuation almost doubles to 10.17c/share.

Latest Insights

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Metals & Mining | Update

Lepidico — Development plan evolves

Metals & Mining | Update

Lepidico — Everything moving all at once

Metals & Mining | Update

Lepidico — Quantifying exploration’s dividends

Metals & Mining | Flash note

Lepidico — Materially extended Phase 1 opportunity

Equity Analyst

Lord Ashbourne

Lord Ashbourne

Director of Content, Mining

Key Management

  • Joe Walsh

    CEO

  • Shontel Norgate

    CFO

Balance Sheet

Forecast net debt (A$m)

34.4

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

42

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual (36.8) (54.9) (71.3)
Relative (36.3) (56.3) (72.3)
52 week high/low A$0.0/A$0.0

Financials

Lepidico’s patented technologies produce lithium hydroxide (plus by-products) in an environmentally friendly way, sourced from less contested minerals such as lepidolite. On 30 October, it released updated economics in relation to its 2020 DFS for an integrated lithium hydroxide mine and chemical plan, which indicated an NPV (8%) of US$457m or c A$697m (9.4 Australian cents per share) on a pre-funding basis. Based on our previous research, this would imply a pre-funding valuation for Lepidico of 2.9c/share, to which its shares are currently trading at a substantial discount.

Y/E Jun Revenue (A$m) EBITDA (A$m) PBT (A$m) EPS (fd) (c) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2022A 0.0 (4.8) (7.9) 0.0 N/A N/A
2023A 6.4 (1.2) (3.0) 0.0 N/A N/A
2024E 0.0 (3.1) (3.7) 0.0 N/A N/A
2025E 0.0 (3.1) (6.9) 0.0 N/A N/A

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Enter the US government

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Valuation update post-feasibility study

edison tv

Metals & Mining

Lepidico – executive interview

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Developing to the (L-)Max

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Valuation update pending feasibility study

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Caesing the opportunity

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Valuation update

edison tv

Metals & Mining

Executive interview – Lepidico

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Acquisition, rights offer and Gulf Fluor alliance

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Alvarrões resource increases 290%

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — LiOH production beckons

Outlook

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Piloting its way through

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Forges Galaxy relationship

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Alvarrões continues to deliver

Update

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Drilling tees up Q3/Q4 mineral resource estimates

Initiation

Metals & Mining

Lepidico — Masterful metallurgy