Alkane Resources (ASX: ALK)

Currency in AUD

Last close As at 09/06/2023

AUD0.71

−0.01 (−1.39%)

Market capitalisation

AUD427m

Alkane Resources has two main assets in Central West New South Wales: the Tomingley gold mine, where recent exploration has increased the mine life by at least eight years, from FY23 to FY31, and its Northern Molong Porphyry project, which is shaping up to be a tier 1 alkalic porphyry district.

Our valuation of Alkane continues to be underpinned by Tomingley (A$0.61/share). Liquid assets contribute a further A$0.03/share and Boda A$0.31/share. An additional A$0.12/share is added by the maiden resource at Kaiser and potentially up to a further A$0.56/share from exploration at Boda Two and Boda Three (also in the Northern Molong Porphyry Project). As such, we calculate that Alkane’s share price is 131% covered by the value of tangible assets. The rising gold price only serves to increase this further.

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Equity Analyst

Lord Ashbourne

Lord Ashbourne

Director, Energy & Resources

Key Management

  • Ian Chalmers

    Technical director

  • Ian Gandel

    Chairman

  • Nic Earner

    MD

Balance Sheet

Forecast net cash (A$m)

76.5

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

N/A

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual (18.4) 8.4 (26.0)
Relative (16.3) 11.6 (25.4)
52 week high/low A$0.9/A$0.5

Financials

Following its Q323 results, in which production reached 54,431oz year to date, Alkane expects to reach the upper end of its FY23 guidance range of 65,000–73,000oz at an anticipated all-in sustaining cost of A$1,550–1,800/oz. Following exploration, Tomingley’s mine life has been increased from CY23 to at least CY31; subsequent work has delineated a maiden resource at Boda of 10.1Moz gold equivalent (AuE) and identified an inferred mineral resource of 4.7Moz AuE at Kaiser.

Y/E Jun Revenue (A$m) EBITDA (A$m) PBT (A$m) EPS (fd) (c) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2021A 127.8 70.5 46.3 5.30 13.4 5.9
2022A 165.0 87.5 52.1 3.63 19.6 3.1
2023E 182.8 85.9 49.1 5.74 12.4 4.9
2024E 166.5 68.0 58.5 6.75 10.5 6.2

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