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Research: Healthcare
Context Therapeutics’ April R&D webinar included takeaways from its poster presentation on CTIM-76 preclinical data at the AACR Annual Meeting in April 2023. The presentation highlighted the development of Context’s CLDN6 program and rationale for selecting CTIM-76 (a CLDN6xCD3 targeting bispecific antibody) as its new lead candidate (following the recent discontinuation of the ONA-XR program). We remind readers that while the therapeutic benefits of targeting CLDN6 (expressed on a variety of malignant tumor cells but rarely in healthy tissue) are well recognized, development hitherto has been hampered by a lack of selectivity and off target toxicities. Preclinical data presented by Context suggest that CTIM-76 selectively binds to CLDN6 with a potentially beneficial safety profile. The latest Phase I data in solid tumors from BioNTech’s CLDN6 CAR-T asset BNT211 (33% overall response rate, ORR; n=21) highlight the potential of a CLDN6-targeting therapy and are an encouraging read-across for this asset class, including CTIM-76.
Context Therapeutics |
R&D webinar highlights CTIM-76’s potential |
R&D update |
Pharma and biotech |
19 April 2023 |
Share price performance
Business description
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Analysts
Context Therapeutics is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited |
Context Therapeutics’ April R&D webinar included takeaways from its poster presentation on CTIM-76 preclinical data at the AACR Annual Meeting in April 2023. The presentation highlighted the development of Context’s CLDN6 program and rationale for selecting CTIM-76 (a CLDN6xCD3 targeting bispecific antibody) as its new lead candidate (following the recent discontinuation of the ONA-XR program). We remind readers that while the therapeutic benefits of targeting CLDN6 (expressed on a variety of malignant tumor cells but rarely in healthy tissue) are well recognized, development hitherto has been hampered by a lack of selectivity and off target toxicities. Preclinical data presented by Context suggest that CTIM-76 selectively binds to CLDN6 with a potentially beneficial safety profile. The latest Phase I data in solid tumors from BioNTech’s CLDN6 CAR-T asset BNT211 (33% overall response rate, ORR; n=21) highlight the potential of a CLDN6-targeting therapy and are an encouraging read-across for this asset class, including CTIM-76.
Year |
Revenue |
PBT* |
EPS* |
Operating cash flow ($m) |
P/E |
Yield |
12/21 |
0.0 |
(10.6) |
(3.74) |
(10.5) |
N/A |
N/A |
12/22 |
0.0 |
(14.8) |
(0.93) |
(15.4) |
N/A |
N/A |
Note: *PBT and EPS are normalized, excluding exceptional items.
CTIM-76 preclinical data encouraging
As part of its 17 April R&D webinar, Context presented the development pathway for its CLDN6 program and the rationale for selecting CTIM-76 as its lead candidate. The preclinical in vitro data presented highlighted CTIM-76’s high selectivity and specificity for CLDN6 and maximal T-cell induced lysis at low doses (vs other tested bispecific formats), without resulting in excessive cytokine production (suggesting a broad therapeutic window). Although early in its development journey, we believe CTIM-76’s competitive edge could come from its superior selectivity for CLND6 (>1,000x CLDN9) and ease of administration (vs CAR-Ts for example). Investigational new drug (IND) enabling studies are ongoing, with IND filing planned for Q124. We expect the initial clinical focus to be on ovarian and testicular cancer, given the high CLDN6 expression in these tumors.
CLDN6’s potential as a target externally validated
Encouraging Phase I/II follow-up data presented by category leader BioNTech on its CLDN6 CAR-T asset BNT211 in solid tumors in September 2022 (ORR of 33% for the 21-patient cohort and a higher 57% for a subset (n=7) of testicular cancer patients) provide early validation for CLDN6 as a promising target in certain malignant tumors. Market interest in the category has been growing, reflected in the April 2023 $158m Series B financing received by TORL BioTherapeutics for its claudin programs, which include TORL-1-23, an antibody drug conjugate (ADC) targeting CLDN6, currently in Phase I clinical trials.
Valuation: Under review
Following Context’s decision (March 2023) to cease development of ONA-XR and focus its resources on CTIM-76, we have placed our estimates and valuation under review. We will present our revised forecasts and valuation in due course.
CLDN6: An exciting therapeutic target
CLDN6 is a member of the claudin family of tight junction proteins (27 members exist in humans), which play an important role in cell polarity, permeability and adhesion, and participate in the regulation of cell proliferation and differentiation. A unique aspect of CLDN6 is that it has been found to be upregulated in several malignant tumors such as endometrial, ovarian, lung and gastric cancers, but is rarely expressed in adult healthy tissue. However, expression appears to be heterogeneous across cancer subtypes and seems directly related to tumor grade (the higher the grade, the higher the CLDN6 enrichment). According to data presented by Context in its R&D webinar, CLDN6 expression can range from 2% to 95% across indications, with testicular and ovarian cancer reported to have the highest expression (95% and 54–55%, respectively). Importantly, studies have indicated that a higher level of CLDN6 expression leads to poorer prognosis in terms of overall survival and progression-free survival (Exhibit 1). A 2020 study assessing CLDN6 expression in endometrial cancer tissue resected from patients concluded that the five-year survival rate in the high CLDN6 expression group was 30%, compared to 90% for the low expression group. This makes CLDN6 an attractive therapeutic target for these indications, in our view.
Exhibit 1: High CLDN6 expression associated with poorer prognosis across a range of cancers |
Source: Context Therapeutics R&D webinar presentation, April 2023. Notes: 1. Kojima, Cancers, 2020; 2. Zhang, Front. Cell Dev. Biol., 2021; 3. Kohmoto, Gastric Cancer, 2020 |
While several pharmaceutical companies are developing CLDN6-targeting antibodies, most candidates are in early-stage clinical or preclinical development (Exhibit 2). Historically, development has been hampered by challenges in accurate selectivity due to CLDN6’s close resemblance to other claudins (such as CLDN9, CLDN4 and CLDN6), which are present in healthy cells. In particular, CLDN9, which differs from CLDN6 by only three amino acids in the extracellular domain, is crucial to maintaining normal hearing and a healthy gut, highlighting the importance of accurate targeting.
Exhibit 2: Ongoing Claudin 6 development programs
Company |
Program name |
Antibody format |
Development phase |
Indications |
Comments |
BioNTech |
BNT211 |
CLDN6 CAR-T |
Phase I/II |
Relapsed or refractory advanced solid tumors |
Initial data presented in April 2022 (American Association for Cancer Research (AACR)), with an update in September 2022 (ESMO). Received priority medicines (PRIME) designation from the EMA in June 2022 for testicular cancer. |
BioNTech |
BNT142 |
CLDN6xCD3 mRNA encoded bispecific antibody |
Phase I |
Multiple solid tumors |
Initiated Phase I development in mid-2022. |
Amgen |
AMG794 |
CLDN6xCD3 bispecific T-cell engager (BiTE) |
Phase I |
Non-small cell lung cancer, epithelial ovarian cancer |
Candidate first presented in April 2022 (AACR); Phase I development initiated in Q123 |
Guangzhou Medical University |
N/D |
CLDN6-CAR-NK |
Phase I |
Ovarian cancer, testicular cancer, endometrial cancer |
Engineered to express IL7/CCL19 and/or SCFVs against PD1/CTLA4/Lag3. Initiated Phase I trials in June 2022. |
Daiichi |
DS-9606a |
CLDN6 + CLDN9 antibody drug conjugate |
Phase I |
Advanced solid tumors |
Phase I trials initiated in mid-2022. |
Chugai |
SAIL66 |
CLDN6xCD3 bispecific antibody |
Phase I |
Advanced solid tumors |
Phase I trials initiated in February 2023 |
TORL BioTherapeutics |
TORL-1-23 |
CLDN6 antibody drug conjugate |
Phase I |
Advanced solid tumors, ovarian cancer, endometrial cancer, non-small cell lung cancer |
Phase I trial initiated in November 2021. Received $158m in Series B financing in April 2023 to advance development pipeline. |
Preclinical |
|||||
Context Therapeutics |
CTIM-76 |
CLDN6xCD3 bispecific antibody |
Preclinical |
Ovarian cancer, testicular cancer |
IND submission planned for Q124. |
Xencor |
N/D |
CLDN6xCD3 bispecific antibody |
Preclinical |
Ovarian cancer |
Reported positive preclinical data at AACR conference in April 2021; IND filing expected in 2023. |
I-Mab |
TJ-C64B |
CLDN6x4IBB bispecific antibody |
Preclinical |
Ovarian cancer, other CLDN6 expressing tumors |
Initial data presented April 2021 (AACR). IND filing expected in H223. |
Source: Context Therapeutics, ClinicalTrials.gov, Edison Investment Research
CTIM-76: Shortlisted as clinical candidate for its high CLDN6 selectivity, potency and safety profile
Strong potency and safety…
As previously noted, Context’s partner Integral Molecular had tested a library of 54 CLDN6xCD3 bispecific formats and combinations with high CLDN6 specificity, of which four lead candidates were shortlisted for further testing, comprising two one-by-one formats, including CTIM-76 (one binding site each with CLDN6 and CD3), one two-by-two format (two binding sites each with CLDN6 and CD3) and one BiTE platform developed by Amgen (one binding site each with CLDN6 and CD3 but without the typical IgG scaffold), see Exhibit 3.
Exhibit 3: Integral Molecular CLND6 candidate selection process |
Source: Context Therapeutics R&D webinar presentation, April 2023 |
CTIM-76 was selected as the final candidate for future development, based on higher potency and lower levels of cytokine release versus other tested bispecific constructs. CTIM-76 demonstrated higher or similar activity versus the other bispecific formats in both high CLDN6 expressing (K562 CLDN6) and medium CLDN6 expressing (OV90) cell lines (Exhibit 4).
Exhibit 4: CTIM-76 demonstrated higher potency in cell death assays |
Source: Context Therapeutics R&D webinar presentation, April 2023 |
Importantly, data presented by Context demonstrated that this level of activity can be achieved at extremely low concentrations (picomolar) based on CNDL6 expression levels (tEC50 value of 0.0004nM for the high CNDL6 expressing line). This meant that in a cytokine release profiling test (Exhibit 5), CTIM-76 was able to induce cytotoxic T-cell activation without drastically increasing cytokine production compared to a BiTE molecule with identical binder arms, indicating a potentially broad therapeutic window. Cytokine release syndrome (CRS) is an adverse side-effect experienced in some patients in response to immunotherapy. Therefore, in our view, the lower selected therapeutic dose may potentially reduce the risk of CRS, although this will need to be confirmed in clinical trials.
Exhibit 5: CTIM-76 offers a broad therapeutic window |
Source: Context Therapeutics R&D webinar presentation, April 2023 |
…combined with class-leading CLDN6 specificity
As highlighted previously, development of CLDN6-targeting therapies has been hampered due to CLDN6’s strong resemblance to other claudins, resulting in off-target effects and toxicities (Astellas’ ASAP1650/Ganymed’s IMAB027 is a case in point where Phase II development was terminated due to the drug’s high affinity for CLDN9). In contrast, CTIM-76 has shown meaningfully high specificity and cytotoxicity for CLDN6 at various doses in cell lines expressing different claudins (Exhibit 6). Management had earlier indicated that CTIM-76 is more than 1,000x more selective for CLDN6 than CLDN9. To our knowledge, this is higher than other drugs under development and should provide Context with a key competitive advantage if the results are reproduced in larger studies.
Exhibit 6: CTIM-76 cytotoxicity strongly preferential for CLDN6 |
Source: Context Therapeutics R&D webinar presentation, April 2023 |
Growing market interest in CLDN6’s commercial potential
In September 2022, BioNTech, which we believe is the current leader in this category, presented encouraging follow-up data on its CLDN6 CAR-T asset BNT211 from its ongoing Phase I/II study, in patients with relapsed or refractory advanced solid tumors. Data were presented for 21 evaluable patients (testicular, ovarian and endometrial, as well as sarcoma, fallopian tube and gastric cancer), who were treated across two dose levels (dose 1: 1x107 CAR-T cells, n=7; and dose 2: 1x108 CAR-T cells, n=15) alone or combined with CARVac (a vaccine designed to enhance T-cell activity and persistence through periodic infusions following CAR-T treatment). The overall response rate (ORR) for the cohort was 33%, with a disease control rate (DCR) of 67%, with one complete response, six partial responses and seven patients with stable disease. The results in patients with testicular cancer treated with dose 2 following lymphodepletion (n=7) were even more pronounced: an ORR of 57% and DCR of 85%, with one complete response, three partial responses and two with stable disease. More importantly, adverse events, including CRS and dose-limiting toxicities were manageable, a key issue in the development of this class of therapeutics in the past. We believe that the promising efficacy data, particularly in patients with testicular cancer (and an acceptable safety profile) presented by BioNTech have increased market interest in this novel therapeutic target, which bodes well for new and potentially improved assets under development. Context asserts that CTIM-76’s easier manufacturability and administration versus CAR-Ts also offers a competitive advantage.
A key indicator of rising market interest in CLDN6 was the recent $158m fund-raising by TORL BioTherapeutics to advance its development pipeline, including the Phase I asset TORL-1-23, an ADC targeting CLDN6. Interestingly, Bristol Myers Squibb is one of the investors in the Series B financing, potentially indicating big pharma interest in the target.
CTIM-76 development pathway
Context has initiated IND-enabling studies with CTIM-76 and has indicated that it is on track for an IND application in Q124. Lonza is undertaking manufacturing of the drug substance and drug product following an agreement signed in November 2022. While target indications for clinical studies have not been officially communicated, we expect the initial areas of interest will be ovarian cancer, testicular cancer and non-small cell lung cancer, all indications with high CLDN6 prevalence (Exhibit 7). We note that there are more clinically advanced CLDN6xCD3 bispecific antibodies in development, notably BioNTech’s BNT142 and Amgen’s AMG 794, which are currently undergoing Phase I studies. However, Context argues that the structure and design of its candidate allows superior activity and binding to CLDN6 (more than 1,000x versus c 7x and c 630x for BNT142 and AMG 794, respectively) which, if proved in clinical studies, could offer market differentiation.
Exhibit 7: Potential target indications for CTIM-76 |
Source: Context Therapeutics R&D webinar presentation, April 2023 |
The discontinuation of the ONA-XR program, as per management guidance should allow Context to extend its cash runway late FY24 (FY22 cash burn of $14.2m; y/e cash balance of $35.5m), which we expect to be sufficient to initiate the Phase I clinical trial for CTIM-76. However, additional funding would be required to progress the asset further through the clinic and management has communicated that it will explore all options, including external fund raising, partnership(s) or asset sale.
Valuation
Our forecast and valuation for Context are currently on hold, following the company’s recent decision to cease development of its ONA-XR program and focus exclusively on CTIM-76. We will present our revised forecasts and valuation in due course.
Exhibit 8: Financial summary
$000s |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
||
31-December |
US GAAP |
US GAAP |
US GAAP |
||
INCOME STATEMENT |
|||||
Revenue |
|
|
0 |
0 |
0 |
Cost of Sales |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Gross Profit |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Research and Development Expenses |
(1,642) |
(6,893) |
(7,591) |
||
Sales, General and Administrative Expenses |
(931) |
(3,633) |
(7,790) |
||
EBITDA |
|
|
(2,572) |
(10,526) |
(15,381) |
Operating profit (before amort. and excepts.) |
|
(2,572) |
(10,526) |
(15,381) |
|
Amortisation of acquired intangibles |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Exceptionals |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Share-based payments |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Reported operating profit |
(2,572) |
(10,526) |
(15,381) |
||
Net Interest |
(661) |
(64) |
547 |
||
Joint ventures & associates (post tax) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Exceptionals |
9,878 |
133 |
(2) |
||
Profit Before Tax (norm) |
|
|
(3,233) |
(10,590) |
(14,834) |
Profit Before Tax (reported) |
|
|
6,644 |
(10,457) |
(14,836) |
Reported tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Profit After Tax (norm) |
(3,233) |
(10,590) |
(14,834) |
||
Profit After Tax (reported) |
6,644 |
(10,457) |
(14,836) |
||
Minority interests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Discontinued operations |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Net income (normalised) |
(3,233) |
(10,590) |
(14,834) |
||
Net income (reported) |
6,644 |
(10,457) |
(14,836) |
||
Average Number of Shares Outstanding (m) |
0 |
3 |
16 |
||
EPS - basic normalised ($) |
|
|
(9.28) |
(3.74) |
(0.93) |
EPS - normalised fully diluted ($) |
|
|
(9.28) |
(3.74) |
(0.93) |
EPS - basic reported ($) |
|
|
19.07 |
(3.69) |
(0.93) |
Dividend ($) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
BALANCE SHEET |
|||||
Fixed Assets |
|
|
118 |
0 |
112 |
Intangible Assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Tangible Assets |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Investments & other |
118 |
0 |
112 |
||
Current Assets |
|
|
350 |
51,306 |
37,854 |
Stocks |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Debtors |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Cash & cash equivalents |
341 |
49,686 |
35,497 |
||
Other |
9 |
1,620 |
2,356 |
||
Current Liabilities |
|
|
(9,548) |
(3,033) |
(3,208) |
Creditors |
(2,708) |
(1,826) |
(936) |
||
Tax and social security |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Short term borrowings |
(5,884) |
0 |
0 |
||
Other |
(956) |
(1,207) |
(2,271) |
||
Long Term Liabilities |
|
|
(69) |
0 |
102 |
Long term borrowings |
(69) |
0 |
102 |
||
Other long-term liabilities |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Net Assets |
|
|
(9,150) |
48,272 |
34,860 |
Convertible preferred stock |
(7,771) |
0 |
0 |
||
Minority interests |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Shareholders' equity |
|
|
(16,921) |
48,272 |
34,860 |
CASH FLOW |
|||||
Operating Cash Flow |
(2,572) |
(10,526) |
(15,381) |
||
Working capital |
1,318 |
(2,225) |
(278) |
||
Exceptional & other |
219 |
3,951 |
2,031 |
||
Tax |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Net operating cash flow |
|
|
(1,035) |
(8,799) |
(13,628) |
Capex |
0 |
(250) |
(537) |
||
Acquisitions/disposals |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Net interest |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Equity financing |
0 |
58,394 |
0 |
||
Dividends |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Other |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Net Cash Flow |
(1,035) |
49,345 |
(14,165) |
||
Opening net debt/(cash) |
|
|
21,742 |
13,384 |
(49,686) |
FX |
0 |
0 |
0 |
||
Other non-cash movements |
9,393 |
13,725 |
0 |
||
Closing net debt/(cash) |
|
|
13,384 |
(49,686) |
(35,521) |
Source: Company reports, Edison Investment Research
|
|
Research: TMT
Esker reported 17% y-o-y revenue growth for Q123, with 21% y-o-y growth in SaaS revenue (83% of group revenue) on an organic constant currency (cc) basis. Strong order momentum was maintained in the quarter, providing good support for our growth forecasts. With volumes processed by the Esker platform reverting to normal levels after a brief period of weakness at the end of FY22, the company revised up its FY23 revenue guidance. We maintain our forecasts, which are at the mid-point of the new revenue guidance and continue to be at the lower end of operating margin guidance.
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