Mutares — Capturing the opportunities

Mutares (DB: MUX)

Currency in -

Last close As at 20/09/2023

-22.45

−0.75 (−3.23%)

Market capitalisation

464m

Research: Industrials

Mutares — Capturing the opportunities

Mutares (MUX) reported an exceptional year in terms of portfolio expansion, ending 2020 with 20 platform investments (vs 13 in FY19). These companies generate €2.2bn revenues annually and MUX’s income from management and consulting increased 61% y-o-y to €66.5m. The proceeds from the recent record-quick exit from Nexive (closed in January 2021) allowed management to propose a 50% higher year-on-year dividend, which implies a 6.5% yield on the current share price.

Milosz Papst

Written by

Milosz Papst

Director, Financials

Industrials

Mutares

Capturing the opportunities

Industrials

Scale research report - Update

22 April 2021

Price

€23.00

Market cap

€358m

Share price graph

Share details

Code

MUX

Listing

Deutsche Börse Scale

Shares outstanding*
*Including 0.5m in treasury shares

15.0m

Last reported net debt at end-FY20

€33.9m*

*Edison calculation including long-term financial liabilities.

Business description

Founded in 2008, Mutares acquires companies in special situations that are underperforming and can be turned around through financial and operational restructuring. It currently owns multiple companies across three segments.

Bull

Exposure to a portfolio of potentially high-growth recovery companies actively managed by experienced industry professionals.

Prospect of high dividends following exits.

Company specialises in underperforming companies and thus benefits from the downturn.

Bear

Exposure to industrial sector, which is experiencing headwinds from the economic slowdown.

Turnaround investments are inherently risky.

Above-average number of ongoing restructurings creates higher execution risk.

Analyst

Milosz Papst

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Mutares (MUX) reported an exceptional year in terms of portfolio expansion, ending 2020 with 20 platform investments (vs 13 in FY19). These companies generate €2.2bn revenues annually and MUX’s income from management and consulting increased 61% y-o-y to €66.5m. The proceeds from the recent record-quick exit from Nexive (closed in January 2021) allowed management to propose a 50% higher year-on-year dividend, which implies a 6.5% yield on the current share price.

Mutares accelerates its M&A activity

The COVID-19 crisis has generated an attractive deal flow for MUX, which concentrates on distressed assets. In FY20, MUX acquired 11 new companies (including add-ons to existing platforms) and announced five further transactions after the reporting date. Consequently, its portfolio is relatively young, as more than half of MUX’s platform investments at end-FY20 were in realignment phase. The rapid expansion is funded with exit proceeds and external financing, and also encouraged management to double the headcount at holding level.

Healthy financial results in FY20

In FY20 MUX’s standalone net income amounted to €33.4m (+48% y-o-y), which stemmed from 58% higher year-on-year distributions from underlying companies. MUX generates substantial income from consulting fees during the realignment process, as well as distributions from turned around companies. Meanwhile, as the portfolio is focused on industrial companies, it suffered from the COVID-19 induced slowdown and organic revenues decreased in each segment in FY20. Profitability decreased mostly due to newly acquired businesses (ie pre-restructuring), with a group adjusted EBITDA loss of €29m (vs a €7.5m profit in FY19).

Valuation: High dividend yield

MUX’s shares have been on a clear upward trend since November 2020, fuelled by favourable newsflow from the company and supported by the broad market rally. Currently the shares trade 117% higher than at end-October 2020. Meanwhile, the announced dividend (subject to AGM approval on 20 May) is 50% higher year-on-year and still implies an attractive 6.5% dividend yield. Based on Refinitiv consensus, MUX trades on a 2021e P/E of 6.1x, yet we need to underline that MUX’s results as well as dividend capacity are highly dependent on the timing of new investments and exits, and current analyst estimates differ widely.

Consensus estimates

Year
end

Revenue
(€m)

PBT
(€m)

EPS
(€)

DPS
(€)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/19

1,015.9

16.7

1.37

1.00

16.8

4.3

12/20

1,583.9

16.9

1.78

1.50

12.9

6.5

12/21e

2,733.9

40.5

3.62

1.25

6.1

5.2

12/22e

2,893.6

(74.5)

(2.94)

1.17

N/A

4.3

Source: Refinitiv, 20 April 2021

Edison Investment Research provides qualitative research coverage on companies in the Deutsche Börse Scale segment in accordance with section 36 subsection 3 of the General Terms and Conditions of Deutsche Börse AG for the Regulated Unofficial Market (Freiverkehr) on Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse (as of 1 March 2017). Two to three research reports will be produced per year. Research reports do not contain Edison analyst financial forecasts.

Financials: 48% y-o-y increase in holding’s net income

The growing scale of MUX’s portfolio has led to a substantial increase in fees earned by the company, with total revenues at the holding level increasing by 61% y-o-y to €66.5m. This was driven both by consulting revenues (charged mostly in the initial realignment phase – €19.2m out of the total €31.9m consulting revenues in FY20) and by distributions from companies in the optimisation and harvesting stages. The holding company’s net income was €33.4m (+48% y-o-y), which was slightly ahead of management’s target at 2% of total portfolio revenues (2.1% in FY20).

Exhibit 1: Financial highlights at holding level

2020

2019

y-o-y

Management fees

66.5

41.3

61%

o/w Consulting revenues

31.9

19.3

65%

Net income

33.4

22.5

48%

Source: Mutares

We note that Mutares consolidates its portfolio companies in full, and thus its group financials resemble the results of an industrial conglomerate. At the consolidated level, Mutares reached €1.6bn in revenues in FY20 (+56% y-o-y), on the back of newly acquired entities yet organic sales decreased c 11% y-o-y. A higher share of young investments as well as the COVID-19 induced macroeconomic slowdown translated into lower operating results with an adjusted EBITDA loss of €28.8m (FY19: €7.5m profit). Net income increased 30% y-o-y to €27.1m, but this was largely assisted by the recognition of high bargain purchase income (€208m in FY20, +103% y-o-y), which reflects the consolidation effect of new companies acquired significantly below their book value (which is a standard practice of Mutares).

Exhibit 2: FY20 financial highlights at group level

€m unless otherwise stated

FY20

FY19

y-o-y (%)

Revenues

1,583.9

1,015.9

56%

EBITDA

142.7

79.2

80%

o/w Income from bargain purchases

207.8

102.6

103%

o/w Restructuring and other non-recurring expenses

(41.1)

(31.0)

33%

o/w Deconsolidation effects

4.9

0.0

N/A

Adjusted EBITDA

(28.8)

7.5

N/A

D&A

(101.5)

(53.0)

92%

Net financial income

(24.3)

(9.5)

156%

Pre-tax profit

16.9

16.7

1%

Income taxes

2.8

0.0

N/A

Minority adjustment

7.4

4.1

80%

Group share of consolidated income

27.1

20.8

30%

EPS (€)

1.78

1.37

30%

Source: Mutares accounts

Mutares recognises three stages its portfolio companies go through during the holding period: realignment, optimisation and harvesting. As its investment activity was strong in 2020 (11 new investments including add-ons to existing portfolio companies), 12 out of 20 portfolio companies at end-FY20, representing 37% of FY20 total reported revenues, were in realignment phase. We also note that the optimisation bucket reported a negative adjusted EBITDA (while normally generating positive earnings), mostly due to the COVID-19 impact on Balcke-Dürr.

Exhibit 3: Portfolio breakdown by phase at end-FY20 (€m)

Phase

Companies

Revenues

Adjusted EBITDA

FY20

FY19

y-o-y

FY20

FY19

y-o-y

Realignment

BEXity, iinovis, KICO, Lacroix + Kress, Nexive*, PrimoTECS, Royal de Boer and Japy, SABO, SFC Solutions, Terranor, TréfilUnion

586.2

51.9

1,029%

(39.6)

(11.0)

260%

Optimisation

Balcke-Dürr, Cenpa, keeeper, Plati

274.3

236.2

16%

(13.0)

3.7

N/A

Harvesting

Donges, Elastomer, Eupec, Gemini Rail, STS*

720.5

716.9

1%

29.6

22.3

33%

Source: Mutares. Note: *Post-reporting date disposals.

As the macroeconomic conditions in 2020 presented plenty of opportunities for distressed asset investors, Mutares obtained external capital to fuel its portfolio development. In 2020, it issued a €70m senior secured bond, which has a four-year maturity and pays a coupon at three-month Euribor +6.0%. In February 2021 it issued another €10m via a tap issue. MUX calculates its net cash at end-FY20 at €81.9m (FY19: €22.2m) as it ended the year with €145.3m in gross cash, and the financial liabilities due within a year stood at €63.4m (out of total short-term financial liabilities of €109.7m). We calculate that, including long-term financial liabilities, net debt stood at €33.9m at end-2020 (FY19: net cash €1.9m). We note that both figures do not include lease liabilities, which amounted to €148.5m (FY19: €118.9m).

Management reiterated its mid-term guidance of €3.0bn in consolidated revenues by 2023 (currently in excess of €2.2bn annualised expected for FY21 based on the existing portfolio). At the holding level, Mutares aims to keep net income at or above 2% of consolidated revenue, which translates into more than €60m by 2023 (generated on c €100m holding revenue). The high number of simultaneous restructuring processes called for an increase in headcount at corporate level to the current 70 (FY19: 35) and management expects to increase it to 100 by the end of FY21.

High investment activity and notable exits

Mutares focuses on three broad segments (see Exhibit 4) and performed acquisitions in each of them during 2020: 11 in total, three of which were add-ons. At the same time, it fully divested KLANN Packaging (for a symbolic price with possible earn-out) and performed partial disposals from BEXity and Balcke-Dürr (two transactions, one of which closed in January 2021). Transaction activity remained robust after the reporting date with Mutares acquiring five further businesses and selling Nexive and STS (STS has not been closed yet), expecting further exits in 12–18 months. MUX seeks investment opportunities among companies with €50–500m in annual revenues.

Exhibit 4: Segment details

 

Revenues (€m)

Adjusted EBITDA (€m)

Segment

FY20

FY19

y-o-y

FY20

FY19

y-o-y

Automotive & Mobility

602.4

450.4

34%

(13.3)

15.6

(185%)

Engineering & Technology

534.7

482.0

11%

7.6

4.7

62%

Goods & Services

446.7

83.5

435%

(17.0)

(7.3)

133%

Corporate consolidation

-

-

-

(6.1)

(5.5)

13%

Source: Mutares accounts

MUX’s portfolio remains skewed towards industrials and was operationally strongly affected by COVID-19 induced lockdowns during 2020. The Automotive & Mobility segment is undergoing significant changes as Mutares is in the process of divesting its largest company STS, which made up 51% of segment revenues in FY20. In Q420, STS sold its acoustics division (over €100m in annual revenues) to Adler Pelzer Group, which led to a €3.9m deconsolidation gain in MUX’s results. Moreover, in March 2021, Adler Pelzer agreed to purchase Mutares’ 73.25% stake in STS. The transaction is expected to close in H121 and Mutares expects to receive a €33m consideration. The return on invested capital (ROIC) on this investment (initially acquired in 2013) is within MUX’s 7–10x target range, according to the company.

The segment remained the main revenue driver of Mutares in FY20 (38% share), with the organic revenue decline of c 10.5% y-o-y more than offset by new investments leading to a 34% y-o-y top-line increase. The new investments include SFC Solutions and PrimoTECS (described in our earlier notes in April and August, respectively), as well as the engineering services company iinovis acquired in November 2020 (c €40m in annual sales). Mutares highlights that since Q320 the sector has experienced a strong recovery, but overall weak macro and new additions during 2020 resulted in a €13.3m adjusted EBITDA loss compared to a €15.6m profit in FY19. Nevertheless, management highlighted that diversification across industries, countries and original equipment manufacturers helped mitigate the COVID-19 impact.

After strong acquisition activity in the Engineering & Technology segment (especially in FY19), Mutares focused on profitability initiatives, which led to a 62% adjusted EBITDA growth to €7.6m in FY20. The improved profitability reflects completed restructuring at Donges Group, which was partially offset by negative contributions from Balcke-Dürr and Eupec, which were strongly affected by lockdowns. Organic revenues decreased by 13% y-o-y, which was more than offset by new additions (mainly full-year consolidation of FY19 acquisitions). During FY20, Mutares bought two new platform investments. Lacroix + Kress manufactures copper drawing and wires, and was acquired as complementary business to Plati, which produces cable harnesses for various industries. Royal de Boer and Japy Tech were acquired in December 2020 and will form one integrated platform with annual revenues of €45m. The companies have complementary business models, as Royal de Boer manufactures barn equipment and Japy Tech produces cooling tanks used predominantly in the milk industry. The acquisitions represent typical Mutares deals as these companies are close to insolvency and all three were acquired for a negligible price, while presenting operational improvement potential. After the reporting date, Mutares performed three further acquisitions in the segment. It acquired French supplier of high-end steel processing line solutions Clecim (annual revenues of c €55m), as well as French packaging manufacturer La Rochette, which has a strong presence in the European market. The details of the transaction have not been disclosed yet, but we note La Rochette is profitable (with a high single-digit operating margin) and generates c €120m in revenues. The third transaction is Alan Dick Communications, which has a highly complementary business to Gemini Rail Group.

In FY20, Mutares was most active in its Goods & Services segment, increasing the segment revenues fourfold through new acquisitions as organic revenues were down by c 3% y-o-y. It acquired three new platform investments and a significant add-on to keeeper. The adjusted EBITDA figure decreased substantially to a €17m loss (FY19: €7.3m loss), but the decrease is attributable to new businesses as management highlighted the good operational developments in the existing companies (except for the still loss-making TréfilUnion). The new businesses are SABO and Nexive (described in our earlier notes), as well as Terranor, a new platform created from road services companies acquired in Scandinavia. Mutares paid €0.7m for the Terranor business – more than the usual symbolic price, yet significantly below the book value of the business (€7.2m). Interestingly, Nexive has already been sold, in January 2021, marking the fastest exit in MUX’s history (seven months) at an impressive ROIC in excess of 15x. After the reporting date, Mutares has acquired two additional platforms in the segment: EXI, a service provider of information and communication technology; and Carglass Maison, a provider of repair and emergency services.

Valuation: Share price rally

MUX uses shareholder returns as its main performance indicator. During FY20, the price performance of MUX stock in total return terms was 31.3% (which includes the €1 dividend per share paid in May 2020). Since end-2020, MUX shares have rallied a further 46%, which still implies an attractive 6.5% yield based on the recent management-proposed dividend.

We also examine MUX’s book value per share (BVPS) performance, which delivered a solid 12% total return over 2020 (despite a weak H120 with a 6.1% decrease), resulting in a five-year average annual return of 20%. The recent rally has driven its P/BV multiple to 1.82x (vs 0.99x in our previous report). The market likely discounts the latest exit activity as Mutares has realised a ROIC multiple of 7–10x or above on six recent disposals (of which four have closed and two are signed), significantly above its historical average. As at end-H120 (latest available data), the ROIC on realised past investments stood at 1.9x (which is lowered due to some insolvencies) and the current portfolio money multiple was 4.8x (representing the return from held investments from fees, distributions and partial disposals over invested capital). We note that STS (MUX’s largest exit performed so far), while being executed at an attractive ROIC, is being sold below its last book value (MUX has been consolidating the business using the full method).

General disclaimer and copyright

Any Information, data, analysis and opinions contained in this report do not constitute investment advice by Deutsche Börse AG or the Frankfurter Wertpapierbörse. Any investment decision should be solely based on a securities offering document or another document containing all information required to make such an investment decision, including risk factors. This report has been commissioned by Deutsche Börse AG and prepared and issued by Edison for publication globally.

Edison Investment Research standard fees are £49,500 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2021 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison).

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

More on Mutares

View All

Industrials

Mutares — Thinking bigger

Industrials

Mutares — Capturing the opportunities

Industrials

Mutares — Rapidly expanding portfolio

Latest from the Industrials sector

View All Industrials content

Research: TMT

GB Group — Impressive cash generation in FY21

GB Group (GBG) expects to report revenue, adjusted operating profit and net cash ahead of consensus for FY21, with strength in the Identity and Location businesses outweighing slower business for the Fraud division. We have upgraded our FY21 forecasts to reflect this and revised our FY22 and FY23 forecasts to reflect the disposal of Employ & Comply at the start of FY22.

Continue Reading

Subscribe to Edison

Get access to the very latest content matched to your personal investment style.

Sign up for free