The smart contract revolution
The appeal of blockchains (such as Ethereum, Solana, Tron and Avalanche) is underpinned
by their revolutionary ability to host so-called smart contracts. These are agreements
with terms that are directly embedded within the code and that are automatically executed
on the blockchain without the need to involve intermediaries. To run these smart contracts,
users need to pay a fee in the respective blockchain’s native token (eg ETH in the
case of Ethereum). Therefore, the value proposition of these utility tokens goes beyond
a simple means of exchange or store of value. The greater the usage of the smart contracts
hosted on a blockchain, the greater demand for these utility tokens and, potentially,
the higher their price (especially if tokens used to pay fees on the network are ‘burned’,
meaning removed from circulation). Therefore, one can think of them as ‘digital oil’.
However, valuation of these utility tokens is less straightforward than this relationship
suggests, as it may also depend on other factors, such as token circulation velocity,
as well as the popularity of so-called Layer 2 networks that sit ‘on top of’ the base
blockchain network.
Smart contracts have a plethora of potential use cases across, among others:
- DeFi,
- NFTs as digital representations of unique items (in-game items, fine art, digital
identity),
- decentralised autonomous organisations (DAOs) allowing for decentralised governance,
- oracles (ie data feeds acting as bridges between blockchains and the physical world),
- prediction markets and betting, with Polymarket recently attracting a $2bn investment
from NYSE-owner International Exchange,
- supply chain and provenance tracking,
- the Metaverse,
- privacy and compliance layers, and
- DePINs (see below).
DeFi: An open alternative to traditional finance
DeFi applications form part of a global, open alternative to the existing financial
system, granting all users free access to financial products (such as borrowing, lending,
saving, trading, insurance and payments) without the need for traditional intermediaries
and in a 24/7 set-up. While DeFi is still a relatively nascent sector and yet to reach
mass adoption, it has already attracted significant capital with a total value locked
(TVL) in all DeFi applications across all public blockchains of close to $100bn as
of 9 February 2026, according to DefiLlama, compared to c $1bn five years ago.
So far, most of the demand for DeFi has come from ‘crypto-native’ activity, which
is investments and trading in cryptocurrencies and NFTs and the associated fiat on-
and off-ramps and leverage. This has provided traction for major DeFi projects like
decentralised lending protocols (eg Aave, Compound), which let users supply and borrow
digital assets, and decentralised exchanges (eg Uniswap, Sushi Swap) on which investors
can either trade for a fee or earn income from acting as liquidity providers. It has
also provided traction for stablecoins, both centralised (eg Circle Internet’s USDC
and Tether’s USDT) and decentralised (eg Sky), which are cryptocurrencies whose value
is pegged to a traditional (fiat) currency (primarily the US dollar) and that can
be used as a means of payment, deposited or lent out, or provided as collateral in
the DeFi ecosystem.
ABAG’s portfolio offers exposure to the DeFi theme via several early-stage projects,
such as:
- The decentralised, instant-settlement, perpetual options trading platform Panoptic. It allows users to trade put and call options 24/7 directly on-chain, without the
need for intermediaries such as brokerage firms or banks. Its first version was launched
on Ethereum in December 2024 but was then subject to a ‘whitehat hack’ led by the
Panoptic team in late August 2025 to rescue user funds from an exposed protocol vulnerability.
The team is planning to launch the second version of the platform in Q126 and expects
all funds previously deployed by users in the first version to return to the protocol.
- Contango, which operates across multiple chains, and allows automated looping (ie a trading
strategy involving repeated borrowing against digital assets already borrowed to increase
leverage and maximise potential returns). The current open interest on its platform
stands at c $326m, and protocol fees reached $720k in the first nine months of 2025
(after including preliminary figures for Q325).
- Pendulum, which aims to bridge the DeFi and fiat ecosystems through fiat-optimised smart contracts
and in turn enable on‐chain FX swaps, yield opportunities for fiat token holders and
currency trading based on automated market makers (AMMs, a concept used by major decentralised
exchanges). Pendulum can execute smart contracts that can be connected to other networks
(eg Stellar).
In addition, ABAG aims to generate income from its digital asset treasury using DeFi
protocols, such as lending platforms, liquidity pools and other protocols (which may
involve re-staking and liquid staking).
Asset tokenisation: Reshaping financial markets
More recently, asset tokenisation, an important emerging use case for blockchains
hosting smart contracts, has started gaining traction. Asset tokenisation is the creation
of digital representations of RWAs, which can then be hosted and freely moved on the
blockchain.
Tokenisation has the potential to fundamentally reshape global financial markets.
It allows investors to easily access securities anywhere in the world on a 24/7 basis
(though this may be subject to KYC/AML and other whitelisting rules) and facilitates
secondary liquidity for asset classes that are normally illiquid or less liquid, such
as private equity and real estate. It supports asset fractionalisation, reduces administrative
burdens and lowers barriers to entry. It facilitates better composability, enabling
the efficient re-use of collateral. It also promises significant cost savings in clearing,
settlement, custody and asset servicing thanks to real-time (instant or near-instant)
settlement, smart contract automation and reduction of intermediaries.
It allows for the introduction of more flexible and customer-centric custody models,
providing end users with greater control over their assets. Finally, it offers the
prospects of lowering risk surcharges and improving refinancing conditions due to
better transparency and risk reduction in the settlement process. McKinsey forecast
in its June 2024 publication that total tokenised market capitalisation could reach
$2tn by 2030 (excluding stablecoins and other cryptocurrencies), or $4tn in a bullish
scenario.
Total RWA (excluding stablecoins) hosted on-chain reached $23.9bn as of 9 February
2026 versus c $6.0bn a year ago, according to RWA.xyz. Good examples are security
tokens, such as tokenised money-market funds like the BlackRock USD Institutional
Digital Liquidity Fund, which currently has a market capitalisation of approximately
$1.8bn, and the Franklin OnChain US Government Money Fund with a market capitalisation
of close to $900m. Another group of tokenised assets are digital assets backed by
physical gold (eg Tether Gold, Pax Gold). Centrifuge (c $1.4bn TVL) allows institutions
to borrow against tokenised real-world assets, while Goldfinch acts as a bridge between
DeFi and traditional asset managers to offer on-chain private credit funds run by
institutions such as Apollo, Ares and KKR.
Stablecoins: The bridge to mainstream adoption
Centralised stablecoins can also be considered part of the asset tokenisation trend
as many of them (including USDT and USDC, the two largest by issued value) are mostly
backed by a combination of traditional financial products, such as US Treasuries,
money market funds, bank deposits, loans/corporate bonds and cash, among others.
We have recently witnessed a considerable expansion of monthly stablecoin transaction
volumes globally to $1.14tn in January 2026, versus approximately $0.7tn in January
2025 and just $0.01tn in January 2020, according to Visa Onchain Analytics. This was
accompanied by a similarly strong increase in average stablecoin supply to $271bn
in January 2026 versus $192bn in January 2025 and c $4bn in January 2020.
Interestingly, the value of stablecoins had already reached the equivalent of 1.02%
of total US money supply by Q225, according to Circle Internet Group citing data from
the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors. The solid traction of stablecoins in the
US has been supported by regulatory clarity brought by the above-mentioned GENIUS
Act.
We also note the significant interest in stablecoins from paytechs (eg PayPal, Stripe,
Mercado Libre), card networks and financial institutions, which are also exploring
tokenised deposits. Swift recently launched a blockchain platform in response to the
strong traction of stablecoins. Citi forecasts the global stablecoin market size (issuance
volumes) to reach $1.9tn in its base case and $4.0tn in its bull case by 2030.
DePINs: Decentralising and democratising access to real-world infrastructure
DePINs are an emerging group of projects that leverage blockchain and token incentives
to crowdsource the deployment and maintenance of real-world infrastructure, and in
turn drive DePINs’ mission of ‘democratising’ physical resources. They can provide
either physical resources (such as wireless connectivity, data from IoT sensors or
geolocation data) or digital resources (such as data storage, computing power or data).
Messari classifies DePIN projects into six groups depending on the use-case: compute
(store and manipulate data), wireless (move data between locations), sensors (capture
data), identity (capture identity and reputation), energy (generate and store electricity)
and logistics (move physical assets between locations). The total number of DePIN
projects reached 1,170 by 2024, according to Messari, and the space attracted total
investment of $703m in 2024, according to Advanced Blockchain citing Messari. Importantly,
there were more than 13m daily active nodes (ie devices) across all DePIN projects
globally (with 20 DePINs having more than 100k active nodes each), according to Messari
data as of December 2024. For instance, Helium, which provides a decentralised wireless
network, currently has around 124.5k hotspots (almost exclusively across the US).
Messari therefore believes that there is good supply-side momentum in the sector,
and the main challenge for major DePIN projects will be driving the demand side (revenue)
and then profitability. Helium currently has around 2.5m active daily users transferring
close to 103TB of data per day. Given the low-single-digit share in the total number
of projects and investments across the digital asset sector, DePIN can be considered
a nascent, niche part of the digital asset ecosystem, but with high disruptive potential.
ABAG’s portfolio provides exposure to the DePIN theme through the key asset in its
investment portfolio, the native tokens of the peaq network. These, together with
the native tokens of Krest (the test-and-simulation network of the peaq ecosystem),
made up c 46% of ABAG’s end-June 2025 portfolio value. Peaq (founded by ABAG’s ex-employees)
operates as a Polkadot parachain, but it is also fully compatible with the Ethereum
Virtual Machine (EVM) and has an ERC-20 representation on Ethereum, which allows users
to move assets between peaq and Ethereum or other EVM-compatible chains. Its mainnet
was launched, and its native token floated, in November 2024, activating more than
50 DePINs hosted on the network as of December 2024, with over 2m devices participating
in these projects. In Q225, the network crossed 5m on-chain addresses and more than
14m transactions processed since launch.
The network has attracted several high-profile enterprises as partners, which are
participating in the network in multiple ways, including:
- running validator nodes and participating in the protocol’s governance (eg Deutsche
Telekom, Lufthansa) – ABAG also runs its own validator node;
- exploring decentralised digital identity infrastructure for mobility in Europe via
the moveID consortium, which includes, among others, peaq, Bosch, Continental and
Airbus; and
- facilitating the path to integration with traditional finance – Mastercard selected
peaq for its Start Path programme, thereby providing it with access to its network
of partners, mentors and resources.
Within the automobile use case, we note peaq’s integration with Bosch’s modular sensor
kit, which allows the on-chain recording and monetisation of telematics data such
as mileage and environmental readings. In this context, we note that peaq became a
member of the German Association of the Automobile Industry in April 2021.