Oxford BioMedica — Juno deal expands CAR-T revenue streams

Oxford Biomedica (LSE: OXB)

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Research: Healthcare

Oxford BioMedica — Juno deal expands CAR-T revenue streams

Following the 2017 commercial launch of partner Novartis’s Kymriah (a CD19-targeting CAR-T that is approved for pALL and DLBCL), Oxford Biomedica (OXB) is the only FDA-approved lentiviral vector manufacturer worldwide. Validation of its capabilities continues with the recent licence and clinical supply agreement (LSA) with Juno Therapeutics (part of BMS group), a pioneer in cell and gene therapy research. The LSA grants Juno a non-exclusive licence to OXB’s LentiVector platform for its application in a number of novel CAR-T and TCR-T programmes. This is a significant deal, albeit early stage, in terms of multiple programmes and further diversifies OXB’s revenue streams. As these assets move towards approval, commercial manufacturing supply provides further upside. Our valuation of OXB increases to £718m.

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Healthcare

Oxford Biomedica

Juno deal expands CAR-T revenue streams

Corporate update

Pharma & biotech

8 April 2020

Price

560p

Market cap

£431m

$:£0.82; €:£0.91; $:€0.91

Net cash (£m) at 31 December 2019

16

Shares in issue

76.9m

Free float

69%

Code

OXB

Primary exchange

LSE

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

%

1m

3m

12m

Abs

(4.6)

(16.4)

(24.4)

Rel (local)

9.4

12

(2.1)

52-week high/low

771p

400p

Business description

Oxford Biomedica’s (OXB’s) LentiVector® technology underpins the company’s strategy. OXB generates significant revenue from partners that use its technology, notably Novartis, Juno Therapeutics (BMS), Bioverativ (Sanofi), Orchard Therapeutics, Axovant and Santen. OXB is implementing significant capacity upgrades to enable more partnering/out-licensing agreements.

Next events

Preliminary FY19 results

23 April

OTL-101 BLA/MAA rolling submission

H120

Analysts

Dr Susie Jana

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

John Priestner

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Oxford Biomedica is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

Following the 2017 commercial launch of partner Novartis’s Kymriah (a CD19-targeting CAR-T that is approved for pALL and DLBCL), Oxford Biomedica (OXB) is the only FDA-approved lentiviral vector manufacturer worldwide. Validation of its capabilities continues with the recent licence and clinical supply agreement (LSA) with Juno Therapeutics (part of BMS group), a pioneer in cell and gene therapy research. The LSA grants Juno a non-exclusive licence to OXB’s LentiVector platform for its application in a number of novel CAR-T and TCR-T programmes. This is a significant deal, albeit early stage, in terms of multiple programmes and further diversifies OXB’s revenue streams. As these assets move towards approval, commercial manufacturing supply provides further upside. Our valuation of OXB increases to £718m.

Year end

Revenue (£m)

PBT*
(£m)

EPS*
(p)

DPS
(p)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/17

37.6

(13.1)

(16.7)

0.0

N/A

N/A

12/18

66.8

0.3

4.3

0.0

130.2

N/A

12/19e

65.4

(15.0)

(17.3)

0.0

N/A

N/A

12/20e

85.3

6.7

5.0

0.0

112.0

N/A

Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments.

Juno tie up is a big deal

In the field of cell and gene therapy, Kite (Gilead), bluebird bio, Novartis, and Juno are pioneers. OXB has a long-standing collaboration with Novartis, on Kymriah and five additional programmes. With the Juno deal, OXB has added yet another major cell therapy player to its list of established customers. The deal covers four products (targets are undisclosed by OXB) and based on Juno’s disclosed clinical pipeline, we assume the deal covers early clinical-stage assets as well as preclinical ones. Deal terms include a $10m upfront payment from Juno, up to $86m in potential development and regulatory milestones (spread across four assets and multiple indications), up to $131m in potential sales-related milestones plus an undisclosed royalty on net sales on products using its LentiVector platform.

OXB joins COVID-19 vaccine consortium

OXB has announced it has joined a consortium led by the Jenner institute within the University of Oxford to develop, scale up and manufacture a potential vaccination for COVID-19 known as ChAdOx1 nCov-19, which is expected to start clinical phase testing shortly. This vaccine relies on adenoviral vector technology, but OXB can leverage on its LVV expertise to provide adenoviral vectors. OXB can provide the technical expertise for mass-scale production (via its OxBox manufacturing facility) if the initial vaccine development work proves positive.

Valuation: £718m (£9.33 per share)

Our valuation has increased to £718m (£9.33 per share) from £692m (£9.02 per share). We have included JCAR018 (pALL, NHL) as an illustrative example only under the Juno deal, we have removed OXB-202 (discontinued in corneal graft rejection) and OXB-201, reflecting OXB-203 in wet AMD (preclinical) instead. We reflect net cash of £16m at end December 2019.

Juno deal strike two for OxBox investment

Over the last few years the global cell and gene therapy market has expanded rapidly as evidenced by the first approvals for both ex vivo (chimeric antigen receptor T-cells [CAR-Ts] Kymriah and Yescarta) and in vivo (Strimvelis for ADA-SCID and Luxturna for RPE65 inherited retinal disease) gene therapy products. OXB is a pioneer and global leader in the development and manufacture of commercial-scale lentiviral vectors (LVV), a critical component of cell and gene therapies. OXB’s expertise in lentiviral development means it continues to remain extremely attractive to future and existing partners. By end 2020 OXB’s commercial LVV production capacity will have increased via its investment in OxBox, an 84,000 sq ft state-of-the-art bioprocessing manufacturing facility. Extension of the Novartis (NOVN) commercial supply agreement (in December 2019) validated OXB’s foresight to invest for growth as vector manufacturing capacity remains constrained globally. Under the recently announced LSA, Juno Therapeutics will have access to manufacturing capacity at OxBox on the four undisclosed active projects but will also be able to initiate additional projects in the future.

Juno Therapeutics: A pioneer in CAR-T and TCR-T research

US-based Juno Therapeutics is one of the main pioneers in CAR-T development (alongside NOVN, and Kite/GILD. Juno has been developing a broad pipeline of CAR-T and T-cell receptor T-cell (TCR-T) programmes in oncology and other indications spanning preclinical, clinical trials and a biologics license application (BLA) filing for its most advanced asset (JCAR017). Recognising its unique and broad pipeline in cell and gene therapy, Celgene acquired Juno in 2018 for $9bn. The hunter became the hunted in 2019 as Bristol-Myers Squibb (BMS) acquired Celgene for $74bn. Juno is now nestled within the BMS group, and the rationale for the BMS-Celgene acquisition was to leverage on differing competencies in the immuno-oncology space (potential for combination approaches with check point inhibitors, eg Opdivo, with CAR-T cell therapies). We highlight that prior to the OXB-Juno deal announcement, OXB will have been active on development and validation work for Juno’s potential programmes and OXB will have received process development revenue). As such, the Juno/Celgene/BMS acquisition may have delayed deal timings.

Multiple value streams to the Juno deal which could grow further

Under the terms of the recently announced deal, OXB will receive an upfront payment of $10m in cash. OXB is eligible for up to $86m upon achievement of certain development and regulatory milestones spread across four undisclosed assets (we assume that these are focused on CAR-T or TCR-T assets in preclinical and clinical development and may include one of the CD22, WT1, L1CAM and MUC16 programmes) over multiple potential indications (discussed below). In addition, OXB is eligible to receive up to $131m in sales-related milestones plus an undisclosed royalty on the net sales of products sold by Juno utilising OXB’s LentiVector platform. OXB is working on four assets covering multiple indications (see below), this is a non-exclusive deal, thus OXB can supply LVV for these targets to others; in context, the licence with NOVN gives exclusivity to CD19.

We expect multiple revenue streams from the deal to include bioprocessing (the sale of vector batches) revenues and development milestones in addition to payments from process development and scale-up projects. If Juno’s pipeline progresses towards regulatory approvals and launch, then we expect this mix to alter as the royalty stream builds. This is an initial deal with Juno and as these assets progress towards commercial viability, we would expect additional deals to cover commercial manufacturing supply. However, our caveat remains that much of Juno’s pipeline is at the proof-of-concept stage. In terms of deals we illustrate how the original NOVN deal signed in October 2014 was a process and manufacturing deal (for CTL019) consisting of $90m over three years ($14m upfront including a $4.3m equity subscription, $76m in milestones over three years and undisclosed royalties). In June 2017 as CTL019 (Kymriah) moved towards commercialisation NOVN signed a new commercial supply agreement for CTL019 which included $10m upfront and in excess of $90m in additional revenue over the next three years. Kymriah received FDA approval for paediatric acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (pALL) in August 2017 and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) in May 2018. OXB is the only supplier to NOVN and, as its technology and manufacturing process was involved in the regulatory application of Kymriah, we believe it is extremely unlikely that NOVN will switch. If OXB’s LVV technology forms the basis of regulatory filings for Juno’s assets this will likely apply to Juno.

Juno deal: Four assets spanning multiple indications

The OXB-Juno deal covers four CAR-T and TCR-T candidates. The targets are undisclosed by OXB. Currently approved CAR-T therapies, Kymriah (NOVN) and Yescarta (Kite/GILD), target the CD19 antigen and are focused on the lymphoid haematological segment, mainly ALL and DLBCL. We note that under a previous agreement, OXB granted exclusivity for CD19-related manufacturing to NOVN; Juno’s pipeline contains three CD19-targeting CAR-T assets (JCAR017, JCAR014 and JCARH125) that we assume are not included in the LSA with OXB.

CAR-Ts are individual treatments that are personalised to a patient (autologous) by the removal and isolation of their T-cells (leukapheresis) and the modification of these cells to express the relevant chimeric antigen receptors (CARs). This is followed by incubation with a viral vector (such as OXB’s LVV), expansion of these cells and then reinfusion into the patient. The combination of a cancer-recognising element with the cell-killing ability of T-cells makes for an effective therapeutic combination. OXB’s lentiviral technology is used to insert genetic material into a patient’s isolated T-cells, which enables the cell to make and present cancer-targeting receptors (CARs). However, while many companies have adequate R&D facilities, OXB is one of a few globally that can manufacture LVVs on the commercial scale needed for use in these therapies.

The holy grail in CAR-T therapy is targeting solid cancers, an elusive area but a potentially huge market for a successful CAR-T. To be effective with low side effects requires the identification of a cell surface protein that is overexpressed in malignant tumours and not healthy cells. This is a very rare set of attributes that have only been validated for haematological cancers with CD19, and more recently CD22, though not yet for solid tumours. TCR-T therapies target peptide fragments expressed on the cell’s surface that can be from proteins expressed either inside the cell or on the cell’s surface. This potentially allows TCR-Ts to successfully target a broader range of tumours, including solid cancers.

Further challenges posed to CAR-T therapies by solid cancers include finding, infiltrating and surviving the tumour microenvironment. Many solid cancers have seen minimal progress in patient survival rates for decades, with old and ineffective therapies still being used extensively.

Juno’s pipeline covers several antigens and a range of haematological and solid cancers. The assets covered are undisclosed under the terms of the deal, and are likely to be a mixture of preclinical and early clinical-stage assets. For illustrative purposes we discuss JCAR018 in detail and include it in our valuation to contextualise the impact. Exhibit 1 highlights the clinical-stage assets presented on the Juno website; preclinical assets are not listed. We have not included CD19-targeting therapies given the exclusivity to CD19 that OXB has under its deal terms with Novartis.

JCAR018 (CAR-T) Phase I in pALL & NHL

CD22, much like antigen target CD19, is widely expressed on B lymphocytes and is expressed by the majority of B-cell malignancies including ALL, chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) and non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). CD19 expression still remains more common in these cancers, however we note that 6090% of B-cell malignancies express CD22 and when expressed, CD22 is expressed throughout a tumour. Importantly, like CD19, CD22 is not known to be expressed on any other healthy tissue, or more specifically, hematopoietic stem cells.

In the relapse and refractory setting, the uptake of CD19-targeting therapies has led to the emergence of CD19-negative cancer cells, with significantly reduced levels of CD19 expression, in some patients. These cells retain CD22 expression and therefore a CD22-targeting CAR-T could be an important potential treatment. There is also an opportunity for combination therapies that target both CD19/CD20 to provide enhanced efficacy and duration of response.

JCAR018 is being evaluated in a Phase I study in paediatric and young adult patients with relapse/refractory ALL (NCT02315612). In August 2019, JCAR018 was granted breakthrough therapy designation by the FDA for this indication based on preliminary data from the study. The five-year survival rate for paediatrics with ALL has greatly increased over recent years, with only 15% of patients relapsing after treatment. This is largely due to advances in the treatment armament which include CD19 CAR-T’s (Kymriah and Yescarta), Blincyto (CD19 BiTE) and Besponsa (CD22 antibody). Future treatment modalities are likely to use combination therapies; several clinical studies are currently investigating various combinations.

JCAR018 is also being evaluated in relapse/refractory NHL in the same study (NCT02315612). First-line treatment is with R-CHOP, a combination of Rituxan (CD20 antibody) and four chemotherapy drugs (CHOP) that have been the standard of care for more than 25 years. However, treatment in the relapse/refractory setting has been revolutionised by the approval of the CD19 CAR-T therapies, Kymriah and Yescarta, although resistance is an issue for a fraction of patients; If approved, JCAR018 could offer a potential treatment for these CD19-resistant patients (18% of initial non-responders and 38% that relapse within a year of CD19 treatment).

Exhibit 1: Juno assets

Asset

Modality

Target

Indication

Clinical trial

Notes

JCAR018

CAR-T

CD22

pALL

Phase I (NCT02315612)

CD22 expressing relapsed and refractory patients under 30

NHL

Phase I (NCT02315612)

CD22 expressing relapsed and refractory patients under 30

JTCR016

TCR-T

WT1

AML

Phase I/II (NCT01640301)

Relapsed patients after treatment with donor stem cell transplant

NSCLC (mesothelioma)

Phase I/II (NCT02408016)

Patients with stage III–IV malignancies

JCAR023

CAR-T

L1CAM

Neuroblastoma

Phase I (NCT02311621)

Refractory and relapsed patients after conventional chemotherapy under 26

JCAR020

CAR-T

MUC16

Ovarian

(solid tumours)

Phase I (NCT02498912)

Relapsed and refractory patients that have progressed after chemotherapy

JCAR024

CAR-T

ROR1

NSCLC/breast

Phase I (NCT02706392)

ROR1+ stage IV NSCLC or metastatic triple negative breast cancer patients

Undisclosed

CAR-T

LeY

Lung

Phase I (NA)

Originally developed by the Peter MacCallum Cancer Centre

Source: Company website, Edison Investment Research

Trading update: Strong H219

OXB provided an unaudited trading update on its FY19 numbers and post period end review on 18 March 2020 and expects to announce preliminary results on 23 April. Financial highlights are as follows.

Strong H219 vs H119 as expected in terms of growth in underlying bioprocessing and commercial development business revenues. FY19 double-digit revenue growth across both despite capacity constraints. A decline of c 36% is expected in reported FY19 revenues from milestones, licenses and royalties despite the £11.5m ($15m) milestone payment from Axovant and the strongly growing royalty stream. FY18 benefited from the upfront payments related to the Axovant and Bioverativ signings. Thus OXB expects FY19 total revenues of c £65m, representing a small decline y-o-y.

OXB expects an operating EBITDA loss in the single-digit range in H219; we note the H119 EBITDA loss was £1.4m. We have adjusted our FY19 forecasts to assume a £2.4m EBITDA loss. We forecast profitability in 2020 at the EBITDA, operating and net income levels.

OXB reported cash and cash equivalents of £16m at 31 December 2019. Operating cash outflow for FY19 was c £7m reflecting the continued capex on the new OxBox bioprocessing facility.

Strengthening of the balance sheet – Novo Holdings’ equity investment (£53.5m) in May has enabled OXB to fully repay its costly revolving debt facility ($55m Oaktree loan), leading to a much-improved debt-free balance sheet.

We await the FY19 audited results; however, we have reduced our forecast revenue for FY19 by £10m to £65m and EBITDA loss to £2.4m. Our cash flow forecasts for FY19 reflect £7m cash from operations (CFO) and a net cash position of £16m at year end.

Pipeline update: OXB has completed a review of its internal pipeline; work on OXB-201 (wet age-related macular degeneration [AMD]) and OXB-202 (corneal graft rejection) have been discontinued. OXB-203 takes over from its predecessor OXB-201 for wet AMD. OXB-302 (CAR-T 5T4) remains the priority candidate in preparation to enter clinical-stage testing. Furthermore, preclinical work on OXB-204 (LCA10) and OXB-103 (ALS) are continuing and a new preclinical programme, OXB-401 (liver indication), has been initiated. Management is targeting the spin out/out-license of one in-house product candidate during 2020.

We have highlighted the main operational highlights achieved in FY19 in our note published in February 2020 OxBox investment to aid future growth.

We also note that long-standing chairman of the group, Dr Lorenzo Tallarigo, has announced his retirement from the OXB board. A replacement is yet to be announced.

COVID-19: Potential impact

We note that BMS has suspended many of its clinical trials. This comes as no surprise as global hospital capacity is overrun with COVID-19 patients, many of whom are in a critical condition and the majority of resources are directed towards the pandemic. While we anticipate a delay in clinical trials in the short term, we expect OXB to continue to manufacture and supply the viral vectors required for products in clinical trials for all its partners. OXB has stated ‘so far, the Group has not experienced any and does not currently expect to experience significant supply issues or any changes in customer demand.’ OXB has 18 programmes in development, of which 14 are in commercial development at the vector construct stage and as such will not be affected by clinical trial delays. The second Novartis and Axovant products could potentially be affected by clinical trial delays. However, OXB has said it has seen no change in demand from customers.

Following the Novo Holdings equity investment, OXB has a strong balance sheet to fund its operations. Furthermore, as it is approaching profitability we believe OXB is in a strong position to weather this global pandemic and related economic downturn.

Valuation

We value OXB at £718m (£9.33 per share) vs £692m (£9.02 per share) previously. The uplift stems largely from our inclusion of the Juno deal netting off the impact of the removal of OXB-202 from our valuation. Additionally, we roll our model forward and update for exchange rates and net cash of £16m at 31 December 2019. For the Juno partnership we have modelled the opportunity for JCAR018 only for illustrative purposes, given the assets are undisclosed. At present we do not have sufficient visibility on the assets, indications and Juno’s timeline for progression, but we will revisit our assumptions as we gain more visibility as time progresses. We have applied a low (20%) probability of success for JCAR018 for pALL and NHL. We have also removed OXB-201, replacing it with OXB-203 in wet AMD (preclinical) instead. The impact here is longer timelines for development given it is a preclinical asset.

In all partnerships except Sanofi, we value the royalty, milestone and bioprocessing (manufacturing) revenues; with Sanofi we only value potential future royalties and milestones. We forecast that all internal assets are out-licensed post Phase II data. We value all partnerships to 2040 and, due to an expanding and evolving long-term revenue stream, we include a terminal value (10% discount rate, 1% growth) for OXB, which contributes £2.40/share to our valuation. We forecast that OXB will receive bioprocessing manufacturing revenue from partners throughout the collaborations and not just on commercial launch. We assume our standard 12.5% discount rate for assets, with a 10.0% discount rate for manufacturing revenues. We note that pricing of gene therapies remains a key sensitivity and, as the market evolves and these dynamics change, we assume pricing of $475,000 for rare diseases and $300,000–350,000 for more common indications.

Exhibit 2: Valuation summary

Product/partner/indication/status

Estimated launch year

Peak royalties (£m)

Peak manufacturing revenue (£m)

Probability of success

NPV
(£m)

rNPV
(£m)

rNPV per share (p/share)

Kymriah/Novartis/ r/r pALL/approved in US and EU

Launched

4

2

100%

40

40

52.05

Kymriah/ Novartis/ DLBCL/approved in US and EU

Launched

24

13

100%

96

96

124.86

2nd CAR-T/Novartis/Cancers/Phase I/II

2022

27

33

20%

111

22

28.52

OTL-101/ Orchard/ADA-SCID/Phase II/III

2020

0

1

70%

7

5

6.25

OTL-201/Orchard/Sanf A synd/pre-clinical

2025

13

11

5%

37

6

7.72

OXB Orchard stake

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

10

10

12.76

Factor VIII/Bioverativ/Haemophilia A/preclinical

2025

499

119

5%

949

52

67.51

Factor IX/Bioverativ/Haemophilia B/preclinical

2025

125

30

5%

252

18

22.77

SAR422459/Sanofi/Stargardt/Phase II

2025

36

N/A

25%

65

18

22.86

SAR421869/Sanofi/Usher/Phase I/II

2026

29

N/A

20%

46

10

12.96

AXO-LENTI-PD/Axovant/Parkinson's/Phase I/II

2022

83

17

30%

501

177

230.48

OXB-302/NA/cancer/preclinical

2025

64

64

5%

106

5

6.33

OXB-203/NA/wet AMD/preclinical

2027

134

15

20%

171

34

44.74

Juno collaboration

2025 onwards

20%

66

17

22.51

Total pipeline and partnership value

 

 

 

 

509

662.34

Terminal value

192

250.10

Net cash

16

20.81

Total

718

933.25

Source: Edison Investment Research

Exhibit 3: Financial summary

Accounts: IFRS, year end 31 December (£000s)

 

2016

2017

2018

2019e

2020e

Income statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

Total revenues

 

27,776

37,590

66,778

65,447

85,296

Cost of sales

 

(11,835)

(18,442)

(22,763)

(24,312)

(31,448)

Gross profit

 

15,941

19,148

44,015

41,134

53,847

Administrative expenses

 

(5,957)

(7,276)

(7,433)

(10,035)

(13,547)

R&D and bioprocessing costs

 

(24,299)

(21,611)

(29,714)

(39,925)

(47,000)

Other income/(expense)

 

3,002

1,774

1,064

0

0

Exceptionals and adjustments

 

0

2,297

5,983

(1,411)

0

Operating profit/(loss)

 

(11,313)

(5,668)

13,915

(10,236)

(6,700)

Finance income/(expense)

 

(8,994)

(6,093)

(8,901)

(6,197)

31

Reported PBT

 

(20,307)

(11,761)

5,014

(16,433)

(6,668)

Income tax expense (includes exceptionals)

 

3,666

2,744

2,527

2,653

2,786

Reported net income

 

(16,641)

(9,017)

7,541

(13,780)

(3,882)

Basic average number of shares (m)

 

56

62

65

72

77

Basic EPS (p)

 

(29.9)

(14.6)

11.6

(19.3)

(5.0)

 

 

 

 

 

 

Adjusted EBITDA

 

(6,773)

(2,645)

13,535

(1,861)

1,255

Adjusted EBIT

 

(10,448)

(7,020)

9,178

(8,825)

(6,700)

Adjusted PBT

 

(19,442)

(13,113)

277

(15,022)

(6,668)

Adjusted EPS (p)

 

(28.4)

(16.7)

4.3

(17.3)

(5.0)

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Balance sheet

 

 

 

 

 

 

Property, plant and equipment

 

27,514

25,370

31,791

51,119

58,422

Intangible assets

 

1,330

97

117

113

109

Other non-current assets

 

657

2,954

10,966

0

0

Total non-current assets

 

29,501

28,421

42,874

51,232

58,532

Cash and equivalents

 

15,335

14,329

32,244

16,588

6,280

Inventories

 

2,202

3,332

4,251

4,330

5,600

Trade and other receivables

 

6,904

17,088

30,585

22,951

25,706

Other current assets

 

3,000

2,232

2,446

13,619

13,752

Total current assets

 

27,441

36,981

69,526

57,488

51,338

Non-current loans and borrowings

 

34,389

36,864

41,153

0

0

Contract liabilities and deferred income

 

0

0

6,434

6,434

6,434

Other non-current liabilities

 

622

630

1,566

9,735

9,735

Total non-current liabilities

 

35,011

37,494

49,153

16,169

16,169

Trade and other payables

 

6,003

8,690

11,422

12,199

17,232

Contract liabilities and deferred income

 

3,313

13,072

17,084

17,084

17,084

Total current liabilities

 

9,316

21,762

28,506

29,283

34,316

Equity attributable to company

 

12,615

6,146

34,741

63,267

59,385

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Cash flow statement

 

 

 

 

 

 

Operating profit/(loss)

 

(11,313)

(5,668)

13,915

(10,236)

(6,700)

Depreciation and amortisation

 

3,675

4,375

4,357

6,964

7,955

Share based payments

 

865

945

1,246

0

0

Other adjustments

 

(579)

(1,326)

(8,012)

0

0

Movements in working capital

 

1,423

141

(2,292)

8,333

1,007

Income taxes paid

 

4,081

4,512

3,654

2,446

2,653

Cash from operations (CFO)

 

(1,848)

2,979

12,868

7,507

4,916

Capex

 

(6,458)

(1,969)

(10,148)

(26,288)

(15,255)

Other investing activities

 

47

38

52

83

31

Cash used in investing activities (CFIA)

 

(6,411)

(1,931)

(10,096)

(26,205)

(15,224)

Net proceeds from issue of shares

 

17,497

385

19,808

50,475

0

Movements in debt

 

0

8,361

0

(41,153)

0

Interest paid

 

(3,258)

(10,800)

(4,665)

(6,280)

0

Other financing activities

 

0

0

0

0

0

Cash from financing activities (CFF)

 

14,239

(2,054)

15,143

3,042

0

Increase/(decrease) in cash and equivalents

 

5,980

(1,006)

17,915

(15,656)

(10,308)

Currency translation differences and other

 

0

0

0

0

0

Cash and equivalents at beginning of period

 

9,355

15,335

14,329

32,244

16,588

Cash and equivalents at end of period

 

15,335

14,329

32,244

16,588

6,280

Net (debt) cash

 

(19,054)

(22,535)

(8,909)

16,588

6,280

Source: Oxford Biomedica, Edison Investment Research

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Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

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60325 Frankfurt

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London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1,185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

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General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by Oxford Biomedica and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by Oxford Biomedica. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £49,500 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2020 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison). All rights reserved FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2020. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

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Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1,185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1,185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

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