ProCredit Holding (XETRA: PCZ)

Currency in EUR

Last close As at 26/01/2023

EUR5.22

0.18 (3.57%)

Market capitalisation

EUR297m

ProCredit Holding is a Germany-based group operating regional banks across South Eastern and Eastern Europe and Ecuador. The banks focus on SMEs and private middle-income and high earners.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has introduced macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty in the region and the World Bank expects a 45.1% GDP contraction in Ukraine this year. However, it also expects 2–4% GDP growth in 2022 and 2023 for most countries where PCB is active. PCB’s in-depth, impact-oriented relationships with SME borrowers (92% of the loan book at end-June 2022), prudent credit risk management and solid capital base (CET-1 ratio of 13.7% at end-June 2022) should help it weather the near-term turmoil. Longer term, PCB’s business should be assisted by the low banking sector penetration in the region.

Sector

Financials

Equity Analyst

Milosz Papst

Milosz Papst

Director, Financials

Key Management

  • Dr Gabriel Schor

    Management Board Member

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual 36.3 58.2 (24.6)
Relative 26.0 36.9 (24.4)
52 week high/low €7.6/€2.6

Financials

ProCredit Holding (PCB) remains profitable despite further loss allowances in Ukraine, with Q322 annualised ROE of 4.4% (2.7% in the first nine months of FY22; 9M22) and 9M22 ROE excluding Ukraine at a solid 9.0% (versus 7.3% in 9M21). The strong 21% y-o-y growth in operating income in 9M22 to €246.6m (15.0% y-o-y in Q322) allowed PCB to absorb recent cost inflation (including high wage pressure and one-time expenses related to the war in Ukraine). As a result, the 9M22 cost-income ratio (CIR) was 60.7% versus 62.4% in 9M21. PCB still guides to an FY22 ROE substantially below the FY21 level of 9.7%, while expecting 10% in the medium term (which we consider achievable). Its shares are trading at a very undemanding P/BV FY22e ratio of 0.24x.

Y/E Dec Revenue (€m) EBITDA (€m) PBT (€m) EPS (c) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2020A 201.6 N/A 52.1 70.0 7.5 N/A
2021A 222.0 N/A 94.5 135.0 3.9 N/A
2022E 260.6 N/A 22.5 37.5 13.9 N/A
2023E 278.3 N/A 100.1 144.5 3.6 N/A

More from our Financials team

Thematics

Subscribe to Edison

Get access to the very latest content matched to your personal investment style.

Sign up for free