Mytilineos is a leading industrial company with an international presence in all five continents. The company is active in Energy and Metals (integrated aluminium smelting). Its renewable energy business is growing strongly organically, with a pipeline of 13GW in solar capacity.
Mytilineos has a portfolio of low-cost energy and metals assets. Its power business benefits from access to relatively low-cost natural gas and its generating and aluminium smelting assets are highly efficient. H223 will see the full operation of the company’s gas plants and continued roll-out of renewables – the latter a key focus of Mytilineos’s €2bn plus capex programme over the next three years.
Industrials |
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Industrials |
Flash note
Industrials |
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Industrials |
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Evangelos Mytilineos
CEO and Chairman
Yiannis Kalafatas
CFO
Forecast net debt (€m)
1631
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | 3.5 | (3.8) | 106.2 |
Relative | (3.5) | 0.2 | 47.9 |
52 week high/low | €38.3/€17.9 |
Mytilineos (MYTIL) is continuing to deliver on its transformation into a simpler structure based on two pillars, Energy and Metals. Its strategy is focused on realising synergies in the group and building its renewable energy sources (RES) business, with its existing industrial assets providing a solid platform for growth. In our view, €1bn/year in EBITDA looks achievable in FY23 and would reset earnings at a higher level. We are increasing our valuation from €36/share to €45/share, in part due to the growth of its RES business, partly funded by its asset rotation strategy.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (€m) | EBITDA (€m) | PBT (€m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021A | 2664.0 | 359.0 | 239.0 | 132.73 | 27.4 | 17.8 |
2022A | 6306.0 | 823.0 | 635.0 | 341.81 | 10.6 | 5.2 |
2023E | 5425.0 | 1026.0 | 834.0 | 459.25 | 7.9 | 13.0 |
2024E | 7715.0 | 1117.0 | 876.0 | 483.20 | 7.5 | 3.8 |