GB Group

LN: GBG

£1157.1m market cap

600p last close

GBG specialises in identity data intelligence. Its products/services enable customers to understand and verify clients and employees in fraud, risk management, compliance and customer on-boarding services. Based in the UK, it operates in 24 countries.

Investment summary

GB Group’s year-end trading update confirmed that the business saw strong trading in H219 to finish the year ahead of our and consensus expectations for revenue and adjusted operating profit. Net debt was also better than forecast, closing the year at £66.3m versus our £71.6m estimate. The recent acquisitions have integrated and performed well, providing much of the upside to forecasts. We have upgraded our FY19 normalised EPS forecast by 15.8% to reflect the better trading performance in H2 and reduced our net debt forecasts for FY20 and FY21.

Y/E Mar
Revenue (£m)
EBITDA (£m)
PBT (£m)
EPS (fd) (p)
P/E (x)
P/CF (x)
2017A 87.5 18.7 16.5 9.9 60.6 48.4
2018A 119.7 28.7 25.8 13.5 44.4 28.6
2019E 143.3 34.4 30.8 15.1 39.7 39.2
2020E 192.8 46.9 40.3 16.1 37.3 27.3
Last updated on 25/04/2019
Industry outlook

Globalisation and the growth in internet trading have also resulted in the need for higher compliance standards in light of the rising scope and financial impact of cybercrime. This, in turn, is driving the demand for more complex and comprehensive solutions for the verification of personal data.

Last updated on 25/04/2019
Sector
TMT
Share price graph
Balance sheet
Forecast net debt (£m) 66.3
Forecast gearing ratio (%) 20
Price performance
%
1m
3m
12m
Actual 27.7 28.8 16.5
Relative* 22.9 18.0 16.2
52-week high/low 630.0p/410.5p
*% relative to local index
Key management
David Rasche Chairman
Chris Clark CEO
Dave Wilson FD

Content on GB Group