Snakk Media — Update 1 August 2016

Snakk Media — Update 1 August 2016

Snakk Media

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Snakk Media

Gross margin expands in Q117

Media

NXT Company Spotlight

1 August 2016

Price

NZ$0.60

Market cap

NZ$9m

Net cash (NZ$m) at 31 March 2016

2.9

Share price graph

Share details

Code

SNK

Listing

NXT

Shares in issue

15.7m

Business description

Mobile advertising technology company Snakk Media offers a full suite of mobile creative, content and technology services, empowering the world's leading brands and agencies to accurately reach and engage with consumers on their mobile devices.

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Bull

Strong management team and board.

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No legacy advertising systems.

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Targeting high-growth Australasian markets.

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Bear

High currency exposure to US dollar.

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Low barriers to entry.

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IP risk tied up with talent.

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Analysts

Finola Burke

+61 (0)2 9258 1161

Moira Daw

+61 (0)2 9258 1161

Snakk Media (SNK), which connects brands to mobile audiences, has announced that its Q117 gross margin was 67%, its highest ever result and well ahead of the annual target for 62%. The gross margin measure is one of four key operating milestones (KOMs) released on a quarterly basis. In addition, at just 12% in Q117, Snakk said it was comfortably inside its full year staff turnover target of 24%. However, the reported compensation to revenue ratio of 46% is higher than the full year target of 42% and the click-through rate of 0.95% for Q1 was a little below the full year target of 1.00%.

Q117 KOMs

Snakk Media’s gross margin of 67% in Q117 was its highest ever quarterly result and well ahead of the 63% achieved in FY16 and the 62% target set for FY17. The company said its strategy for maintaining and growing gross margin included using sophisticated and efficient technologies to purchase advertising inventory cost effectively and maintaining premium product pricing. The company also delivered a lower than target staff turnover rate of 12%, which is well below the industry average of 33%. The compensation to revenue ratio for Q117 was 46%, which is above the full year target for 42% and due to staff hiring in Q1 to meet demand. The click-through rate of 0.95% in Q1 was above that achieved in FY16 (0.90%), but below the full year target for 1.00%. The company said this was well within the acceptable range of the full year target.

Exposed to fast growing markets

Snakk is exposed to some of the fastest growing markets for mobile advertising. The recently released IAB/PWC online advertising expenditure report found that Australia and New Zealand were the fastest growing English speaking markets globally for mobile advertising with respective growth rates of 81% and 122% in CY2015. The report also found that mobile advertising now accounts for c 50% of digital’s general display advertising and, in Australia, it had passed the A$500m mark in the March 2016 quarter.

Valuation: Trading at a steep discount to peers

Even allowing for its small size and early stage, Snakk is trading at a significant discount to its listed global peer group of quoted mobile solutions and digital advertising companies. At 0.6x FY16 EV/sales, Snakk is trading at a c 67% discount to the median consensus peer group multiple of 1.8x (see Exhibit 2).

Historical financials

Year
end

Revenue
(NZ$m)

Gross profit
(NZ$m)

PBT
(NZ$m)

EPS*
(c)

EV/gross
profit (x)

EV/sales
(x)

03/13

3.7

1.9

(0.9)

(5.7)

3.3

1.7

03/14

7.1

2.9

(1.9)

(12.0)

2.2

0.9

03/15

9.2

3.9

(4.0)

(25.6)

1.6

0.7

03/16

10.5

6.6

(0.6)

(3.7)

1.0

0.6

Source: Snakk Media. Note: *EPS in prior years recalculated for share consolidation.

Q1 key operating milestones

Snakk announced its Q117 KOMs, demonstrating strong growth in gross margin and lower than target staff turnover. The company also announced that its compensation to revenue ratio for Q1 was a little ahead of the annual target due to staff hirings in the quarter to meet demand, and the click-through rate achieved on its campaigns was a little below the target for the full year.

Snakk set higher targets for FY17 after delivering better than target gross margin and lower than target staff turnover in FY16. Exhibit 1 sets out the Q117 KOMs achieved and the company’s targets for FY17.

Snakk is due to report its Q2 KOMs on 28 October.

Exhibit 1: Key operating milestones, Q117 actual and 2017 target

Q117 actual (%)

2017 target (%)

Click-through rate

0.95

1.00

Gross margin

67

62

Compensation ratio

46

42

Staff turnover

12

24

Source: Snakk Media

Peer comparison

Even allowing for its small size and early stage, Snakk is trading at a significant discount to its listed peers. At 0.6x FY16 EV/sales, Snakk is trading at a c 67% discount to the median consensus peer group multiple of 1.8x, as Exhibit 2 demonstrates. Excluding Opera, which is trading on a high multiple, the median is still 1.2x, which still represents a c 50% premium to Snakk’s multiple.

If we were to apply the median EV/sales multiple of 1.8x to Snakk’s FY16 sales, we would arrive at an enterprise value of NZ$19m, well ahead of the company’s current EV of NZ$6.5m.

Exhibit 2: Listed peer comparison

Company

Code

Currency

Market cap
(m)

EV
(m)

EV/sales
(x)

EV/gross
profit (x)

Gross margin (%)

EV/EBITDA
(x)

Cheetah Mobile

CMCM.US

US$

1,426

neg.

N/A

N/A

77.1

N/A

Criteo

CRTO:NASDAQ

US$

2,777

2,434

1.8

5.2

35.7

27.2

Mobile Embrace

MBE.AX

A$

155

145

4.4

5.4

82.4

36.5

Opera

OPERA:OSLO

NOK

7,772

7,836

12.7

21.3

59.7

73.5

Sizmek

SZMK:NASDAQ

US$

79

37

0.2

0.3

61.2

2.8

Telenav

TNAV:NASDAQ

US$

217

97

0.6

1.2

50.8

3.0

Median

1.8

5.2

60.5

27.2

Source: Bloomberg, Software Equity Group. Note: Prices as at 29 July 2016.


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Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Edison, the investment intelligence firm, is the future of investor interaction with corporates. Our team of over 100 analysts and investment professionals work with leading companies, fund managers and investment banks worldwide to support their capital markets activity. We provide services to more than 400 retained corporate and investor clients from our offices in London, New York, Frankfurt, Sydney and Wellington. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison and is not regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
This report has been commissioned by NZX Limited (“NZX”) and prepared and issued by Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (“Edison”). This report has been prepared independently of NZX and does not represent the opinions of NZX. NZX makes no representation in relation to acquiring, disposing of or otherwise dealing in the securities referred to in this report.

All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however neither NZX nor Edison guarantees the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in this report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Australia and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act. This research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is not registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison US does not offer or provide personalised advice. This research is distributed in New Zealand by Edison). Edison is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison Investment Research Limited. Edison is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. The distribution of this document in New Zealand is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the New Zealand Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. Edison publishes information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested, for informational purposes only, and this information reflects our sincere opinions. This report is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, this report should not be construed as a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities referred to in this report. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, estimates of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. To the maximum extent permitted by law, NZX, Edison, either of their affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Neovacs — Update 1 August 2016

Neovacs

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