Snakk Media — Update 6 June 2016

Snakk Media — Update 6 June 2016

Snakk Media

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Snakk Media

Demonstrating strong fiscal management

Media

NXT Company Spotlight

2 June 2016

Price

NZ$0.60

Market cap

NZ$9m

Net cash (NZ$m) at 31 March 2016

2.9

Share price graph

Share details

Code

SNK

Listing

NXT

Shares in issue

15.7m

Business description

Mobile advertising technology company Snakk Media offers a full suite of mobile creative, content and technology services, empowering the world's leading brands and agencies to accurately reach and engage with consumers on their mobile devices.

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Bull

Strong management team and board.

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No legacy advertising systems.

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Targeting high-growth Asian markets.

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Bear

High currency exposure to US dollar.

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Low barriers to entry.

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IP risk tied up with talent.

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Analysts

Finola Burke

+61 (0)2 9258 1161

Moira Daw

+61 (0)2 9258 1161

Snakk Media (SNK) has reported a net loss of NZ$0.58m for FY16, down from NZ$4.0m year-on-year. The company delivered a 14.9% increase in revenues y-o-y to NZ$10.5m. Excluding non-cash expensing of staff options, net cash usage for the year was -NZ$0.4m, while net assets increased 66% y-o-y to NZ$4.2m. SNK ended the year with NZ$2.9m in net cash. It has also announced its FY17 key operating milestones (KOMs) and is targeting a gross margin of 62%, a click-through rate of 1.00%, a staff turnover rate of 24% and compensation ratio of 42%.

FY16 results

SNK reduced its losses by 86% year-on-year to NZ$0.58m in FY16, demonstrating strong fiscal management, in our view. Revenues rose 14.9% y-o-y to NZ$10.5m, while direct media costs were significantly reduced to enable SNK to produce a 70.9% y-o-y increase in gross profit to NZ$6.6m. Employee costs increased just 1.2% to NZ$4.4m while other operating expenses fell 21.6% to NZ$2.8m. The company reported its strongest revenue growth from South-East Asia, which increased 165% y-o-y. SNK noted that more than 30% of its revenues are now generated outside Australia, compared with 4% in FY14. The company announced that it expected continued growth from its traditional ANZ and emerging Asian markets. Cash usage was also tight. Net operating cash flow for the year was NZ$1.7m, down from NZ$4m in FY15. Net cash at year end was NZ$2.9m, an increase of N$0.4m. SNK also strengthened its balance sheet, with a 66% increase in net assets to NZ$4.2m, in part attributable to a reduction in trade payables.

FY17 key operating milestones

SNK has also announced its KOMs for FY17. It continues to target staff turnover of 24% and a compensation ratio (being salaries to revenue) of 42%. The company is now targeting a gross margin of 62% for FY17, having delivered 63% in FY16 against its target of 55%. It is also targeting a click-through rate of 1.00%, up from its FY16 target of 0.95%. SNK will report its Q1 KOMs on 28 July.

Valuation: Trading at a steep discount to peers

Even with its small size and early-stage development, both of which could attract a discount, at 0.6x FY16 EV/sales, SNK is trading at a c 60% discount to a median multiple for the broad global peer group of quoted mobile solutions and digital advertising companies (see Exhibit 5).

Historical financials

Year
end

Revenue
(NZ$m)

Gross profit
(NZ$m)

PBT
(NZ$m)

EPS*
(c)

EV/Gross
profit (x)

EV/Sales
(x)

03/13

3.7

1.9

(0.9)

(5.7)

3.2

1.6

03/14

7.1

2.9

(1.9)

(12.0)

2.1

0.9

03/15

9.2

3.9

(4.0)

(25.6)

1.6

0.7

03/16

10.5

6.6

(0.6)

(3.7)

0.9

0.6

Source: Snakk Media. Note: *EPS in prior years recalculated for share consolidation.

FY16 earnings analysis

Snakk Media delivered an 86% reduction in net losses to NZ$0.58m in FY16, with the H216 net loss of NZ$0.34m significantly down on the NZ$1.8m reported in H215. The company’s gross margin for the year was 63% with the second half margin of 59% well up y-o-y, as Exhibit 1 demonstrates.

Exhibit 1: Operating performance by half year and full year

NZ$m

H114

H214

FY14

H115

H215

FY15

H116

H216

FY16

Net revenue

3.020

4.036

7.056

3.962

5.196

9.158

4.580

5.942

10.522

COGS

1.644

2.531

4.176

2.598

2.702

5.300

1.510

2.417

3.927

Gross margin

1.376

1.505

2.880

1.364

2.494

3.858

3.070

3.524

6.594

Gross margin %

46%

37%

41%

34%

48%

42%

67%

59%

63%

Loss after taxation

(0.838)

(1.054)

(1.891)

(2.191)

(1.834)

(4.024)

(0.240)

(0.340)

(0.581)

Source: Snakk Media

The company reported its strongest revenue growth from South-East Asia, which increased 165% y-o-y to NZ$1.8m, overtaking its New Zealand operations in size. As Exhibit 2 demonstrates, the growth in revenues in South-East Asia underpinned the group’s y-o-y revenue growth.

Exhibit 2: Revenues by region by financial year

Source: Snakk Media

Operating cash flow was also tightly managed. The company reported that operating cash flow for the second half declined to NZ$0.5m, well down on the first half and previous corresponding period, as Exhibit 3 highlights.

Exhibit 3: Operating cash flow by half year

Source: Snakk Media


Key operating milestones

SNK announced its FY17 KOMs, increasing its targets for click-through rate and gross margin. It is now targeting a click-through rate of 1.00%, up from the FY16 target of 0.95%, despite delivering a lower rate of 0.90% for FY16. The lower click-through rate in FY16 was due to the emphasis placed on a significant video campaign in South-East Asia in Q416, in which the key metric was completed video views rather than click-through rates.

SNK has also increased its target gross margin for FY17 to 62%, up from 55% in FY16, after delivering a better than target gross margin of 0.63%, as Exhibit 4 highlights.

Exhibit 4: Key operating milestones, actual and 2017 target

Year ended March

2014 actual

2015 actual

2016 actual

2017 target

Click-through rate

0.70%

0.90%

0.90%

1.00%

Gross margin

40%

42%

63%

62%

Compensation ratio

39%

43%

47%

42%

Staff turnover

14%

19%

16%

24%

Source: Snakk Media

Peer comparison

Even allowing for its small size and early-stage, SNK is trading at a significant discount to its listed peers. At 0.6x FY16 EV/Sales, SNK is trading at a c 60% discount to the media 1.5x multiple of its peer group, as Exhibit 5 demonstrates.

Exhibit 5: Listed peer comparison

Company

Code

Currency

Market cap
(m)

EV (m)

EV/Sales
(x)

EV/Gross
profit (x)

Gross margin (%)

EV/EBITDA
(x)

Cheetah Mobile

CMCM.US

USD

1,570

-128

-0.5

-0.6

77.1

-2.9

Criteo

CRTO:NASDAQ

USD

2,797

2,454

1.9

5.2

35.7

27.4

Mobile Embrace

MBE.AX

AUD

137

127

3.9

4.7

82.4

32.0

MOKO Social Media

MKB.AX/MOKO:NASDAQ

AUD

17

10

1.5

56.3

2.7

-0.5

Opera

OPERA:OSLO

NOK

9,715

9,779

15.9

26.6

59.7

91.7

Sizmek

SZMK:NASDAQ

USD

71

29

0.2

0.3

61.2

2.2

Telenav

TNAV:NASDAQ

USD

202

82

0.5

1.0

50.8

2.6

Median

 

 

1.5

4.7

59.7

2.6

Source: Bloomberg, Software Equity Group. Note: Prices as at 27 May 2016.

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Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Edison, the investment intelligence firm, is the future of investor interaction with corporates. Our team of over 100 analysts and investment professionals work with leading companies, fund managers and investment banks worldwide to support their capital markets activity. We provide services to more than 400 retained corporate and investor clients from our offices in London, New York, Frankfurt, Sydney and Wellington. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (www.fsa.gov.uk/register/firmBasicDetails.do?sid=181584). Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison and is not regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
This report has been commissioned by NZX Limited (“NZX”) and prepared and issued by Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (“Edison”). This report has been prepared independently of NZX and does not represent the opinions of NZX. NZX makes no representation in relation to acquiring, disposing of or otherwise dealing in the securities referred to in this report.

All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however neither NZX nor Edison guarantees the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in this report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Australia and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act. This research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is not registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison US does not offer or provide personalised advice. This research is distributed in New Zealand by Edison). Edison is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison Investment Research Limited. Edison is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. The distribution of this document in New Zealand is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the New Zealand Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. Edison publishes information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested, for informational purposes only, and this information reflects our sincere opinions. This report is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, this report should not be construed as a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities referred to in this report. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, estimates of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. To the maximum extent permitted by law, NZX, Edison, either of their affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

GFT Group — Update 6 June 2016

GFT Group

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