Basilea Pharmaceutica — Prompt receipt of milestone payments for Cresemba

Basilea Pharmaceutica (SIX: BSLN)

Last close As at 20/06/2024

CHF40.60

−0.20 (−0.49%)

Market capitalisation

CHF535m

More on this equity

Research: Healthcare

Basilea Pharmaceutica — Prompt receipt of milestone payments for Cresemba

Basilea has announced receipt of two separate sales-related milestone payments totalling US$26.25m (CHF23.7m) from licensing partner Pfizer. The milestones relate to sales in Europe (ex-Nordic countries), as well as in China and 16 countries in the Asia-Pacific region where Pfizer is the licensing partner. The payments were tiggered by cumulative sales of its antifungal therapy Cresemba exceeding specific thresholds in the aforementioned regions, and we believe this indicates strong continued demand for the drug (13% global share and 34% in the US in best-in-class antifungals as of December 2022, according to IQVIA). As part of the agreement with Pfizer, Basilea is eligible to receive additional potential milestone payments of up to approximately CHF515m, as well as mid-teen royalties based on net sales. We will adjust our model to reflect receipt of these milestone payments slightly sooner than we expected, but overall, these have come within management guided milestones for 2023.

Soo Romanoff

Written by

Soo Romanoff

Managing Director - Head of Content, Healthcare

Healthcare

Basilea Pharmaceutica

Prompt receipt of milestone payments for Cresemba

Milestone update

Pharma and biotech

9 June 2023

Price

CHF45.3

Market cap

CHF541m

Net debt (CHFm) at 31 December 2022

46.7

Shares in issue (excluding 1.15m treasury shares)

11.95m

Free float

90%

Code

BSLN

Primary exchange

SIX

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

Business description

Basilea Pharmaceutica is focused on treating infectious diseases. Its marketed products are Cresemba (an antifungal) and Zevtera (an anti-MRSA broad-spectrum antibiotic). It plans to file for US approval for Zevtera in Q323.

Analysts

Soo Romanoff

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Jyoti Prakash, CFA

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Dr Arron Aatkar

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Basilea Pharmaceutica is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

Basilea has announced receipt of two separate sales-related milestone payments totalling US$26.25m (CHF23.7m) from licensing partner Pfizer. The milestones relate to sales in Europe (ex-Nordic countries), as well as in China and 16 countries in the Asia-Pacific region where Pfizer is the licensing partner. The payments were tiggered by cumulative sales of its antifungal therapy Cresemba exceeding specific thresholds in the aforementioned regions, and we believe this indicates strong continued demand for the drug (13% global share and 34% in the US in best-in-class antifungals as of December 2022, according to IQVIA). As part of the agreement with Pfizer, Basilea is eligible to receive additional potential milestone payments of up to approximately CHF515m, as well as mid-teen royalties based on net sales. We will adjust our model to reflect receipt of these milestone payments slightly sooner than we expected, but overall, these have come within management guided milestones for 2023.

Year
end

Revenue
(CHFm)

PBT*
(CHFm)

EPS*
(CHFc)

DPS
(CHFc)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/21

148.1

(6.6)

(56.9)

0.0

N/A

N/A

12/22

147.8

12.3

104.1

0.0

43.5

N/A

12/23e

156.7

40.9

312.6

0.0

14.5

N/A

12/24e

180.7

62.0

473.4

0.0

9.6

N/A

Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments.

As a reminder, Cresemba (or isavuconazole) is an intravenous and oral antifungal therapy used to treat life-threatening invasive mould infections. Cresemba holds US market exclusivity through to 2027, has been approved in 73 countries and is marketed in 67 countries, with orphan drug designation in the US, Europe and Australia. Cresemba continues to be important to Basilea, with sustained market appetite driving continued sales momentum. Royalty income from global Cresemba sales grew 22% y-o-y in FY22 to CHF65m with it reaching more than US$373m in global sales in the 12 months to December 2022 (+15% y-o-y). The US remains a key market, contributing over 55% of Cresemba’s in-market sales. However, we expect a material sales push for Cresemba to come from Japan and China in FY23 (which combined make up c 25% of the global market opportunity for Cresemba) following recent regulatory wins (launched in China and approved in Japan in 2022). We note that Basilea received a CHF20m sales-related milestone payment from US partner Astellas in January 2023 based on total US sales in 2022.

Beyond Cresemba, we see the upcoming new drug application (NDA) for Zevtera (antibiotic already launched in other countries) to the US FDA in Q323 as the next key milestone for Basilea. This regulatory decision is expected in Q224, and if successful, Zevtera may be launched by end-2024. The FDA has granted Qualified Infectious Disease Product designation to Zevtera, enabling a priority review following the filing of the NDA, and a 10-year market exclusivity period. Basilea hopes to sign a licensing partner prior to the regulatory decision, representing a potentially significant catalyst, in our view.

General disclaimer and copyright

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General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by Basilea Pharmaceutica and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by Basilea Pharmaceutica. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £60,000 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2023 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison).

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

London │ New York │ Frankfurt

20 Red Lion Street

London, WC1R 4PS

United Kingdom

London │ New York │ Frankfurt

20 Red Lion Street

London, WC1R 4PS

United Kingdom

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