Tinexta — Confirming FY23 guidance

Tinexta (MIL: TNXT)

Last close As at 17/07/2024

EUR17.07

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Research: TMT

Tinexta — Confirming FY23 guidance

Tinexta’s Q323 results showed continued strong underlying revenue and profit growth in what is typically a relatively small quarter from a revenue and profit perspective due to the inherent seasonality of its Cyber Security (CS) and Business Innovation (BI) divisions. Management’s reiteration of its previous financial guidance, albeit with different growth drivers than originally anticipated, is reassuring given the dependence of the full year results on the performance of the current, final quarter, in which more than 40% of annual profit is typically generated. Our DCF-based valuation of €30/share suggests significant upside from the current share price.

Russell Pointon

Written by

Russell Pointon

Director of Content, Consumer and Media

Tinexta_resized

TMT

Tinexta

Confirming FY23 guidance

Q323 results

Professional services

20 November 2023

Price

€17.29

Market cap

€816m

Net debt (€m) at 30 September 2023

91.5

Shares in issue

47.2m

Free float

42.1%

Code

TNXT

Primary exchange

Euronext STAR Milan

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

%

1m

3m

12m

Abs

8.4

(3.5)

(29.7)

Rel (local)

4.0

(6.1)

(40.2)

52-week high/low

€26.1

€14.6

Business description

Tinexta offers innovative solutions for the digital transformation and growth of companies, professionals and institutions. It has three divisions: Digital Trust, Business Innovation and Cyber Security.

Next events

FY23 results

March 2024

Analysts

Russell Pointon

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Max Hayes

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Tinexta is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

Tinexta’s Q323 results showed continued strong underlying revenue and profit growth in what is typically a relatively small quarter from a revenue and profit perspective due to the inherent seasonality of its Cyber Security (CS) and Business Innovation (BI) divisions. Management’s reiteration of its previous financial guidance, albeit with different growth drivers than originally anticipated, is reassuring given the dependence of the full year results on the performance of the current, final quarter, in which more than 40% of annual profit is typically generated. Our DCF-based valuation of €30/share suggests significant upside from the current share price.

Year end

Revenue (€m)

PBT*
(€m)

EPS*
(€)

DPS
(€)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/21

301.5

57.5

0.83

0.30

20.9

1.7

12/22

357.2

73.6

1.07

0.51

16.2

2.9

12/23e

411.0

81.1

1.06

0.47

16.3

2.7

12/24e

462.3

96.0

1.22

0.26

14.2

1.5

12/25e

507.6

111.8

1.45

0.35

11.9

2.0

Note: *PBT and EPS (fully diluted) are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments.

Q323 on track according to management

Tinexta reported strong underlying year-on-year revenue growth of 8.6% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 7.4% in Q323. Digital Trust (DT) and CS continued to enjoy strong double-digit revenue growth as they did through H123, but BI’s growth remained muted due to relatively weak end-markets, as well as its anticipated seasonality. The strong revenue growth of DT and CS translated into good operational gearing for both divisions, significantly so in the case of CS, but BI’s muted performance, and mix changes (ie CS’s profitability is much lower than the group average) dampened adjusted EBITDA growth relative to revenue growth.

FY23 EBITDA guidance unchanged

While management has reiterated its previous guidance for FY23 (underlying revenue growth of 11–15% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 8–12%), the divisional growth drivers are slightly different than previously anticipated. DT’s continued outperformance versus management’s initial guidance offsets our more cautious stance on the outlook for BI than we previously forecast, albeit management still expects the latter to demonstrate strong growth in the final quarter of the year, as it does typically.

Valuation: Very attractive relative to DCF

The share price has been weak year to date, declining by c 24%, with the greatest damage done in the first few months of the year. Our DCF-based valuation of €30/share continues to point to very attractive upside of c 74% from the current share price. Prospective EV/sales and EV/EBITDA multiples remain at a justified premium to historical multiples, given the change in the divisional portfolios and anticipated growth rates.

Management confident of meeting FY23 guidance

Income statement on track

Tinexta reported continued strong underlying revenue growth in Q323, which was complemented by a sequential (ie quarter-on-quarter) improvement in underlying growth in adjusted EBITDA (ie before non-recurring items). Revenue grew by c 11% to €87.1m, giving growth for the first nine months of FY23 (9M23) of c 9% and revenue of €269.5m, which took adjusted EBITDA to €19.0m for Q323 and €56.9m for 9M23. The acquisition of Ascertia contributed c 2% to Tinexta’s Q323 revenue growth but marginally diluted its adjusted EBITDA, by c 0.3%. As we show later (see Exhibit 3), the third quarter of Tinexta’s financial year is typically one of the smaller quarters for profit generation.

Group organic revenue growth of 8.6% in Q323 was driven by continued strong growth by DT and CS, while growth in BI remained weak due to seasonality issues (typically, a high proportion of annual profit is reported in the fourth quarter of any year) and ongoing weakness in core markets. There was a slight pick-up in organic revenue growth in Q323 from 7.3% in Q223, but Q323 had a slightly easier comparative on Q322, when revenue grew by just over 3%, versus the more than 6% growth that the group reported for the whole of FY22.

A combination of lower margins in Q323 versus Q322 for the two most profitable divisions – DT, albeit this was due to the first-time consolidation of Ascertia, and BI – as well as a significant improvement in the profitability of the lowest-margin division, CS, contributed to a decline in the overall adjusted EBITDA margin from 22.5% in Q322 to 21.8% in Q323.

Exhibit 1: Divisional results

€m

Q122

Q222

Q322

9M22

Q422

FY22

Q123

Q223

Q323

9M23

Group revenue

78.2

89.9

78.7

246.7

110.5

357.2

86.1

96.4

87.1

269.5

Growth y-o-y

21.9%

18.8%

16.9%

19.1%

16.9%

18.4%

10.1%

7.3%

10.7%

9.3%

Organic y-o-y

N/D

6.2%

3.3%

6.4%

6.4%

6.4%

10.1%

7.3%

8.6%

8.6%

- Digital Trust

38.0

38.9

37.0

113.9

43.1

157.0

42.4

44.0

43.8

130.2

Organic y-o-y

7.7%

8.5%

12.8%

9.6%

9.3%

9.5%

11.6%

13.3%

13.9%

12.9%

- Cyber Security

18.0

18.8

18.0

54.7

22.8

77.5

20.7

21.9

20.2

62.7

Organic y-o-y

7.1%

5.4%

2.0%

4.8%

2.4%

4.1%

14.9%

16.6%

12.4%

14.7%

- Business Innovation

22.6

32.8

24.3

79.7

46.0

125.7

24.0

32.1

24.4

80.6

Organic y-o-y

19.4%

5.8%

(7.2%)

4.9%

7.9%

6.0%

6.4%

(2.1%)

0.5%

1.1%

Group adjusted EBITDA

14.5

22.6

17.7

54.8

40.0

94.8

15.0

23.0

19.0

56.9

Margin

18.6%

25.1%

22.5%

22.2%

36.2%

26.5%

17.4%

23.8%

21.8%

21.1%

Growth y-o-y

24.5%

18.2%

9.1%

16.6%

35.5%

23.9%

3.1%

1.8%

7.2%

3.9%

Organic y-o-y

N/D

0.1%

(14.7%)

(4.3%)

19.3%

4.8%

3.1%

1.8%

7.4%

4.0%

- Digital Trust

10.4

10.7

11.7

32.8

14.5

47.3

11.6

12.7

13.3

37.7

Margin

27.3%

27.6%

31.6%

28.8%

33.7%

30.1%

27.4%

28.9%

30.4%

28.9%

Organic y-o-y

19.4%

12.1%

14.5%

15.1%

12.7%

14.3%

12.3%

18.5%

14.0%

14.9%

- Cyber Security

1.2

1.8

1.8

4.8

5.5

10.3

2.1

2.7

3.2

8.0

Margin

6.5%

9.8%

9.8%

8.7%

24.3%

13.3%

10.2%

12.3%

15.7%

12.7%

Organic y-o-y

(39.4%)

18.8%

(24.7%)

(18.0%)

29.9%

2.3%

79.2%

45.6%

79.9%

66.8%

- Business Innovation

6.4

13.6

7.7

27.7

23.9

51.6

4.9

11.4

5.8

22.1

Margin

28.3%

41.5%

31.8%

34.8%

52.0%

41.1%

20.4%

35.5%

23.8%

27.5%

Organic y-o-y

14.2%

(5.8%)

(28.9%)

(9.2%)

41.4%

2.0%

(23.2%)

(16.3%)

(24.7%)

(20.2%)

- Other

(3.4)

(3.7)

(3.5)

(10.5)

(4.0)

(14.5)

(3.7)

(3.9)

(3.3)

(10.9)

Source: Tinexta accounts

DT’s underlying revenue growth of 13.9% in Q323 was complemented by the first-time contribution from Ascertia, which added a further 4.5% growth since being consolidated from the start of August 2023. DT’s underlying revenue growth through 9M23 has been consistently above management’s guidance from the start of year of 10% for FY23 and FY23–25, and management expects this outperformance to continue into Q423. Management’s commentary suggests strong growth across the board, domestically and internationally, with some contribution to revenue growth from price increases on off-the-shelf products that were implemented towards the end of 2022 to counter underlying cost inflation. Operational gearing from the strong revenue growth, as well as the growth of products and solutions with a high standard of innovation, contributed to a marginal increase in the underlying adjusted EBITDA margin from 31.6% in Q322 to 31.7% in Q323. The acquisition of Ascertia contributed a small EBITDA loss of c €30k in Q323, according to our estimate, which is equivalent to a margin of c -2% on its reported revenue in the period.

CS’s year-on-year revenue growth of 12.4% to €20.2m in Q323 continues the double-digit revenue growth that the division had already reported through H123. Management’s commentary emphasised that the growth was broad-based across all three of the division’s subsidiaries, which has been enhanced by CS’s cooperation with DT. A combination of operational gearing on the strong revenue growth, as well as better profitability achieved on its proprietary offering, led to a sequential (ie quarter-on-quarter) improvement in the adjusted EBITDA margin through 9M23, such that Q323’s margin of 15.7% was significantly higher than Q322’s margin of 9.8%. We note that the drop-through of incremental revenue to adjusted EBITDA for CS was c 80% in Q323 and c 67% for 9M23, demonstrating a high level of operational gearing. We note that management guided to 30% organic revenue growth for FY23 at the start of the year, which requires growth of c 67% in Q4.

BI’s revenue grew by less than 1% y-o-y to €24.4m in Q323. In addition to the typical seasonality of its revenue streams, BI’s two key subsidiaries continue to demonstrate limited growth/underlying weakness. The revenue of the most significant subsidiary, Warrant Hub (WH), is affected by the lower rates of deductibility offered by the government on investment made by WH’s clients, and the delayed ‘enactment’ of a decree that was proposed by the Italian government in June, which management expects to strengthen WH’s competitive position in the market. The revenue of Co.Mark, a subsidiary that provides consulting services to help companies grow their businesses overseas, continues to suffer from a lack of financial support by the Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs and International Cooperation. Limited revenue growth, mix changes (towards lower-margin services) and higher personnel costs ahead of expected seasonally higher revenues in Q423 led to a significant reduction in the adjusted EBITDA margin to 23.8% in Q323 from 31.8% in Q322. At the start of the year, management guided to 15% organic revenue growth for BI in FY23, which would require c 26% y-o-y revenue growth in Q423, a significant step-up from the growth reported for 9M23 of c 1%.

Cash flow and balance sheet

On a reported basis, cumulative free cash for 9M23 of c €22m was below the comparable figure of c €37m for 9M22. However, this includes the effects of discontinued operations. For continuing activities, free cash flow generation was much healthier at €40.3m, more than 11% greater than the 9M22 comparative of €36.2m. Tinexta’s free cash flow generation therefore improved at a greater rate than revenue growth of c 9% and reported EBITDA growth of c 5% in 9M23.

By the end of Q323, Tinexta’s net debt position had increased to €91.5m from €52.6m at the end of H123, partly due to the completion of the acquisition of Ascertia.

Management updated its guidance for the group’s year-end expected net debt position. The new guidance for net financial debt/adjusted EBITDA at the end of FY23 is 0.7–0.8x. This has increased from 0.2–0.3x at the time of the H123 results and expected cash positive prior to then. The new guidance updates for the acquisitions that have taken place, specifically Ascertia, and now includes the assumption of lower proceeds from the postponement of the exercise of matured stock options.

Management confirmed previous FY23 financial guidance

Based on the group’s 9M23 performance and anticipating the typical seasonality of profits in the financial year (see below), management reiterated its FY23 guidance for year-on-year revenue growth of 11–15% and adjusted EBITDA growth of 8–12% on an underlying basis (ie before any M&A undertaken in FY23). However, the mix of growth is different from that anticipated at the start of the year.

Management’s commentary on the conference call that DT’s organic revenue growth rate through 9M23 was above the guidance for FY23, and is expected to continue into Q423, implies that growth elsewhere is likely to be below the reiterated group guidance. We have therefore increased our estimates for DT to reflect the better expectations for growth, applied some caution to our estimates for BI and left our estimates for CS unchanged given management’s positive commentary about its progress. This means our overall adjusted EBITDA estimates for FY23 are unchanged.

Exhibit 2: Changes to estimates

€m

FY22

FY23e
new

FY24e
new

FY25e
new

FY23e
old

FY24e
old

FY25e
old

FY23e
change (%)

FY24e
change (%)

FY25e
change (%)

Group revenue

357.2

411.0

462.3

507.6

410.4

456.7

501.5

0.1%

1.2%

1.2%

Growth y-o-y

18.4%

15.1%

12.5%

9.8%

14.9%

11.3%

9.8%

- Digital Trust

157.0

179.6

202.8

223.0

172.7

190.0

208.9

4.0%

6.7%

6.7%

Growth y-o-y

19.5%

14.4%

12.9%

10.0%

10%

10%

10%

- Cyber Security

77.5

100.8

111.8

124.1

100.8

111.8

124.1

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Growth y-o-y

6.4%

30.0%

11.0%

11.0%

30%

11%

11%

- Business Innovation

125.7

138.2

156.2

173.4

144.5

163.3

181.3

(4.3%)

(4.3%)

(4.3%)

Growth y-o-y

27.8%

10.0%

13.0%

11.0%

15%

13%

11%

- Intra-group

(3.0)

(7.5)

(8.5)

(13.0)

(7.5)

(8.4)

(12.9)

0.1%

1.2%

1.2%

Group adjusted EBITDA

94.8

104.1

120.7

137.8

104.1

119.8

136.7

0.1%

0.8%

0.8%

Margin

26.5%

25.3%

26.1%

27.1%

25.4%

26.2%

27.2%

Growth y-o-y

23.9%

9.9%

15.9%

14.2%

9.8%

15.1%

14.1%

- Digital Trust

47.3

53.6

62.5

72.5

52.5

60.4

70.0

2.1%

3.5%

3.5%

Margin

30.1%

29.9%

30.8%

32.5%

30.4%

31.8%

33.5%

Growth y-o-y

30.0%

13.3%

16.6%

16.0%

11.0%

15.0%

16.0%

- Cyber Security

10.3

14.7

18.4

21.2

14.7

18.4

21.2

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Margin

13.3%

14.6%

16.5%

17.1%

14.6%

16.5%

17.1%

Growth y-o-y

2.1%

43.0%

25.0%

15.0%

43.0%

25.0%

15.0%

- Business Innovation

51.6

53.2

60.6

69.1

54.2

61.8

70.5

(1.9%)

(1.9%)

(1.9%)

Margin

41.1%

38.5%

38.8%

39.9%

37.5%

37.9%

38.9%

Growth y-o-y

23.3%

3.0%

14.0%

14.0%

5.0%

14.0%

14.0%

- Other

(14.5)

(17.4)

(20.9)

(25.1)

(17.4)

(20.9)

(25.1)

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

Growth y-o-y

21.9%

20.0%

20.0%

20.0%

20.0%

20.0%

20.0%

Source: Tinexta accounts, Edison Investment Research

Our new forecasts imply strong year-on-year growth for revenue and adjusted EBITDA in Q423 of c 28% and c 18% respectively.

To demonstrate the seasonality of Tinexta’s profitability, in Exhibit 3 we show the proportion of group annual profit (adjusted EBITDA before central costs) that was generated in FY22 and is expected to be generated in FY23 by division and for the company as a whole in each financial quarter of the year. The FY22 figures are based on reported figures for the year, while the estimated Q423 contribution is based on our updated forecasts for FY23.

Exhibit 3: Annual group profit* by division

Source: Tinexta accounts, Edison Investment Research. Note: *Group profit is adjusted EBITDA before central costs.

Exhibit 3 demonstrates a number of key points:

Tinexta’s group adjusted EBITDA is clearly skewed to higher profit generation in the second and fourth quarters of the financial year; 24% and 40% of FY22 profit was earned in those periods.

DT’s relative contribution to group profit is quite consistent through the year, albeit with a modest bias towards greater absolute profit as the year progresses, and its strong underlying growth provides some operating leverage.

While still in the early days of ownership, CS’s relative profit generation appears to be skewed towards the latter part of the year, although we highlight that the FY22 results were affected by restructuring and investment following the division’s creation. As its profitability grows according to management’s medium-term guidance, it should come to represent a greater share of group profit. The skewing of CS’s profit generation to the latter part of a financial year is consistent with ‘budget flush’ or the ‘spend-it-or-lose-it’ nature of many IT projects.

BI’s profitability is demonstrably skewed towards the fourth quarter of any financial year. In the case of WH, this is explained by a similar ‘spend-it-or-lose-it’ mentality with respect to investment by clients before the year-end in order to claim tax deductions. For Co.Mark, seasonality reflects lower general economic activity in the summer months.

Our new forecasts for FY23 are consistent with a similar skewing in profitability to Q4, albeit there is a greater dependence on the period in FY23 than the prior year due to strong growth still anticipated by BI and CS’s expected higher profitability. We believe the expected strong performance of BI in Q423 is more likely to be due to growth from WH than Co.Mark.

Valuation

Rolling forward our DCF to take account of Tinexta’s 9M23 results leads to a broadly unchanged valuation of €30/share (€30.4/share previously) based on a WACC of 8% and a terminal growth rate of 2%. The valuation suggests significant upside potential from the current share price.

To provide some perspective on Tinexta’s current valuation, in Exhibits 4 and 5 we show its prospective EV/sales and EV/EBITDA multiples for FY23–25e and how they compare with historical trading multiples, showing the high, average and low forward multiples for previous financial years. With respective to EV/sales, the prospective multiples for FY23–25e of 3.0x, 2.7x and 2.4x are above the long-term average multiple of 2.4x in the first two forecast years but in line for FY25. We feel a premium is justified given the company’s greater scale and better structural growth following the disposal of its Credit Information and Management division and acquisition of Cyber Security. Similarly, the prospective EV/EBITDA multiples for FY23 and FY24 of 11.9x and 10.2x are above to line with the long-term average of 10.2x, although FY25’s 9.0x is at a discount.

Exhibit 4: Tinexta’s EV/sales multiple

Exhibit 5: Tinexta’s EV/EBITDA multiple

Source: Tinexta, Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv. Note: Priced at 17 November 2023.

Source: Tinexta, Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv. Note: Priced at 17 November 2023.

Exhibit 4: Tinexta’s EV/sales multiple

Source: Tinexta, Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv. Note: Priced at 17 November 2023.

Exhibit 5: Tinexta’s EV/EBITDA multiple

Source: Tinexta, Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv. Note: Priced at 17 November 2023.

Exhibit 6: Financial summary

€m

2021

2022

2023e

2024e

2025e

Year end 31 December

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue

 

 

301.5

357.2

411.0

462.3

507.6

Operating costs

(225.1)

(262.4)

(306.9)

(341.6)

(369.8)

EBITDA

 

 

76.5

94.8

104.1

120.7

137.8

EBITDA (not adjusted)

 

 

71.3

86.3

94.1

110.7

129.8

Operating profit (before amort. and excepts.)

 

 

61.1

77.6

83.4

97.6

112.4

Amortisation of acquired intangibles

(11.0)

(17.5)

(17.5)

(17.5)

(17.5)

Exceptionals

(2.6)

(6.4)

(6.2)

(5.0)

(4.0)

Share-based payments

(2.6)

(2.1)

(4.0)

(5.0)

(4.0)

Reported operating profit

45.0

51.6

55.7

70.1

86.9

Net Interest

(3.1)

(6.2)

(2.8)

(2.2)

(1.2)

Joint ventures & associates (post tax)

(0.2)

(0.2)

0.5

0.5

0.5

Exceptionals

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Profit Before Tax (norm)

 

 

57.5

73.6

81.1

96.0

111.8

Profit Before Tax (reported)

 

 

41.7

45.1

53.4

68.5

86.3

Reported tax

(13.0)

(12.5)

(16.5)

(20.5)

(25.0)

Profit After Tax (norm)

40.3

52.4

55.9

67.2

79.3

Profit After Tax (reported)

28.7

32.6

36.8

47.9

61.2

Minority interests

(1.2)

(2.4)

(6.7)

(10.9)

(12.5)

Discontinued operations

10.0

45.5

36.1

0.0

0.0

Net income (normalised)

39.1

50.0

49.2

56.3

66.8

Net income (reported)

37.5

75.7

66.2

37.0

48.7

Average Number of Shares Outstanding (m)

47.2

46.8

46.5

46.3

46.1

EPS - normalised (c)

 

 

84.7

108.8

108.0

124.0

148.0

EPS - normalised fully diluted (c)

 

 

82.8

106.7

105.9

121.5

145.1

EPS - basic reported (€)

 

 

0.81

1.65

1.45

0.82

1.08

Dividend (c)

30.00

51.00

47.04

26.39

34.90

Revenue growth (%)

12.1

18.4

15.1

12.5

9.8

EBITDA Margin before non-recurring costs (%)

25.4

26.5

25.3

26.1

27.1

Normalised Operating Margin (%)

20.3

21.7

20.3

21.1

22.1

BALANCE SHEET

Fixed Assets

 

 

602.9

574.0

646.8

634.7

622.5

Intangible Assets

550.4

487.3

539.1

535.0

531.8

Tangible Assets

25.2

48.4

44.3

36.3

27.3

Investments & other

27.4

38.3

63.4

63.4

63.4

Current Assets

 

 

213.2

403.5

375.6

407.2

457.7

Stocks

1.3

1.9

1.9

1.9

1.9

Debtors

119.5

129.5

143.6

162.1

178.0

Cash & cash equivalents

68.3

115.3

84.1

97.2

131.8

Other financial assets

4.1

125.8

125.8

125.8

125.8

Other

20.0

31.0

20.2

20.2

20.2

Current Liabilities

 

 

(207.5)

(260.9)

(264.4)

(272.6)

(279.3)

Creditors

(146.8)

(156.4)

(169.9)

(183.1)

(194.8)

Tax and social security

(3.6)

(2.9)

(2.9)

(2.9)

(2.9)

Short term borrowings

(54.1)

(93.6)

(88.6)

(83.6)

(78.6)

Other

(3.1)

(8.0)

(3.0)

(3.0)

(3.0)

Long Term Liabilities

 

 

(357.9)

(314.6)

(286.4)

(286.4)

(286.4)

Long term borrowings

(281.5)

(235.2)

(207.0)

(207.0)

(207.0)

Other long term liabilities

(35.0)

(42.4)

(42.4)

(42.4)

(42.4)

Net Assets

 

 

250.8

402.0

471.6

482.8

514.6

Minority interests

(46.9)

(36.4)

(66.4)

(67.4)

(68.7)

Shareholders' equity

 

 

203.9

365.7

405.2

415.4

445.9

CASH FLOW

Operating Cash Flow

 

 

72.5

72.8

70.3

77.9

91.4

Capex and intangibles

(16.2)

(24.1)

(35.0)

(16.0)

(17.0)

Acquisitions/disposals

(92.8)

84.5

26.9

0.0

0.0

Net interest

(2.3)

(2.4)

(2.8)

(2.2)

(1.2)

Equity financing

(9.3)

(8.1)

(3.5)

(10.0)

(10.0)

Dividends

(12.5)

(20.8)

(28.6)

(31.7)

(23.5)

Borrowings

42.9

(40.2)

(28.2)

0.0

0.0

Other

6.6

1.4

30.0

0.0

0.0

Net Cash Flow

(24.6)

48.6

(32.8)

13.0

34.7

Opening net debt/(cash)

 

 

91.9

264.4

77.6

77.0

59.0

Closing net debt/(cash)

 

 

264.4

77.6

77.0

59.0

19.3

Source: Tinexta accounts, Edison Investment Research


General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by Tinexta and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by Tinexta. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £60,000 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2023 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison).

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

London │ New York │ Frankfurt

20 Red Lion Street

London, WC1R 4PS

United Kingdom

London │ New York │ Frankfurt

20 Red Lion Street

London, WC1R 4PS

United Kingdom

General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by Tinexta and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by Tinexta. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £60,000 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2023 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison).

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

London │ New York │ Frankfurt

20 Red Lion Street

London, WC1R 4PS

United Kingdom

London │ New York │ Frankfurt

20 Red Lion Street

London, WC1R 4PS

United Kingdom

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