Reiterating outlook for FY19

Boku 11 September 2019 Update
Download PDF

Boku

Reiterating outlook for FY19

H119 results

Software & comp services

11 September 2019

Price

108p

Market cap

£271m

$1.23/£

Net cash ($m) at end H119

20.1

Shares in issue

250.6m

Free float

89%

Code

BOKU

Primary exchange

AIM

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

%

1m

3m

12m

Abs

(6.9)

(17.9)

(37.9)

Rel (local)

(7.5)

(17.1)

(37.5)

52-week high/low

183p

69p

Business description

Boku operates a billing and identity verification platform that connects merchants with mobile network operators in more than 50 countries. It has c 180 employees, with its main offices in the US, UK, Germany and India.

Next events

FY19 trading update

January 2020

Analyst

Katherine Thompson

+44 (0)20 3077 5730

Boku is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

Boku reported 39% year-on-year revenue growth in H1: 19% growth from the Payments business was boosted by the newly acquired Identity business. This translated to 69% growth in EBITDA and 64% growth in normalised operating profit, despite investment in the Identity business. Management expects a stronger H2 and is maintaining FY19 guidance. We have taken a more cautious approach to our Identity forecasts reflecting longer sales cycles; this reduces our FY19–21 forecasts, although we expect the company to meet FY19 guidance.

Year
end

Revenue ($m)

EBITDA*
($m)

Diluted EPS*
($)

DPS
($)

P/E
(x)

EV/EBITDA
(x)

12/17

24.4

(2.3)

(0.03)

0.0

N/A

N/A

12/18

35.3

6.3

0.02

0.0

85.6

48.6

12/19e

52.0

9.3

0.02

0.0

73.2

33.0

12/20e

68.1

20.1

0.05

0.0

27.8

15.3

12/21e

78.7

27.7

0.07

0.0

19.0

11.1

Note: *EBITDA and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments.

H1 profits grew year-on-year despite investment in Identity business

H119 revenues came in higher than previously flagged in July’s trading update, growing 39% y-o-y to $23.5m. While this growth was impressive, management pointed to several factors (timing of games releases, currency, pace of build out of international connections in the Identity business) that acted as headwinds in the period. EBITDA was 69% higher at $4.3m (18.2% margin) and normalised operating profit grew 64% y-o-y to $3.0m. Payments revenues were 19% higher yoy, resulting in EBITDA of $6.6m (+161% y-o-y). The Identity business saw pro-forma revenue growth of 36% and generated an EBITDA loss of $2.4m.

Current year guidance maintained

Boku maintained guidance for FY19, pointing to the strength of its pipeline, seasonality, expected games releases and positive momentum in the Identity business as supportive of H2 growth. As we think the company is now more likely to meet than beat guidance, we have revised our forecasts to the middle of the guidance range for FY19. We have also reduced our Identity revenue and EBITDA forecasts for FY20 and FY21, reflecting the lengthy sales cycles involved in signing up major merchants and mobile operators.

Valuation: Not fully reflecting growth potential

On an EV/EBITDA and P/E basis, Boku is trading at a discount to peers on FY20 and FY21 estimates. Boku’s strong cash generation is reflected in its above-average free cash flow yield for FY20 and FY21. Confirmation of contract extensions and new merchants for the Identity business as well as evidence of a growing contribution from mobile wallets in the Payments business could help to close the discount to peers.

Review of H119 results

Exhibit 1: Half-year results highlights

H119

H118

y-o-y

TPV

$bn

2.3

1.5

47.2%

Take rate

%

0.9%

1.1%

-0.2%

Revenues

$m

23.5

16.9

39.2%

Gross profit

$m

20.6

15.6

31.8%

Opex

$m

(16.3)

(13.1)

24.6%

EBITDA

$m

4.3

2.5

68.5%

D&A

$m

(1.3)

(0.7)

Normalised operating profit

$m

3.0

1.8

63.6%

Amortisation of acquired intangibles

$m

(0.9)

(0.7)

N/A

Share-based payments

$m

(4.2)

(0.7)

N/A

Exceptional items

$m

(0.1)

(0.5)

N/A

Reported operating profit

$m

(2.3)

(0.1)

N/A

Normalised net income

$m

2.2

1.0

112.0%

Reported net income

$m

(2.6)

(0.7)

279.0%

Gross margin

%

87.5%

92.4%

-4.9%

EBITDA margin

%

18.2%

15.1%

3.2%

Normalised operating margin

%

12.5%

10.7%

1.9%

Reported operating margin

%

-9.8%

-0.3%

-9.5%

Gross cash including restricted cash

$m

27.9

30.7

-9.1%

Net cash (excluding restricted cash)

$m

20.1

27.3

-26.5%

Net cash (excluding restricted cash & lease liabilities)

$m

24.2

27.3

-11.6%

Source: Boku. Note: Adjusted EBITDA excludes stock option expenses, forex gains/losses and exceptional items.

In H119, Boku reported year-on-year revenue growth of 39% (19% organic) to achieve group revenues of $23.5m. This was ahead of the $22.5–23.0m expected from the July trading update, as a recent contract renegotiation changed the revenue recognition for that customer’s business.

Strong revenue growth resulted in a 69% increase in EBITDA despite the Identity business generating a loss (as expected), with EBITDA boosted by the shift to IFRS 16, which removed lease payments in H119. Normalised operating profit (where the impact of IFRS 16 nets off to close to zero) was 64% higher year-on-year. The company reported share-based payments totalling $4.2m (H118: $0.7m), reflecting restricted stock units (RSUs) issued in H218 and H119 as well as higher employer NI costs on these as per IFRS 2. Exceptional costs of $0.3m include transaction costs for the Danal acquisition (completed 31 December 2018 but cash and equity consideration not paid until H119) and the costs of closing a surplus Italian legal entity.

Net cash at the end of H119 was $20.1m compared to $27.3m at the end of H118 and $28.9m at the end of FY18 (we exclude restricted cash from this measure). Once lease liabilities of $4.1m are also excluded (assumed for the first time in H119), net cash was $24.2m. Boku’s cash balance varies in line with the timing of transaction processing and depends on the mix of business (settlement versus transaction); Boku assumed Danal’s working capital requirements on acquisition. Gross cash including restricted cash was $27.9m at the end of H119, with an average gross cash balance of $22.2m in June versus $24.4m in December 2018.

The company generated $2.8m of cash from operations in H119, before working capital consumption of $4.8m. Capex included $0.2m on tangible assets and $0.7m capitalised development costs. The company made a $1m cash payment as part of the Danal consideration, offset by $0.3m cash acquired with the business.

Payments business shows operational leverage

Exhibit 2: Payments business half-year performance

H119

H118

y-o-y

TPV ($bn)

2.3

1.5

47%

Take rate

0.9%

1.1%

-0.2%

Revenue ($m)

20.17

16.91

19.3%

Gross profit ($m)

19.15

15.63

22.5%

Gross margin

95.0%

92.4%

2.5%

Adjusted operating costs excluding D&A ($m)

12.51

13.08

-4.3%

Adjusted EBITDA ($m)

6.64

2.55

160.7%

Source: Boku

The Payments business saw 47% growth in total payments volume (TPV) to $2.3bn and a 48% increase in monthly active users over the same period. As expected, the take rate reduced reflecting volume breaks for large customers as well as the continuing shift to the transaction business model (where Boku earns a lower take rate as it does not manage the cash flows). The company noted that demand for Fortnite reached its peak in H118 whereas there has been no such blockbuster game in H119. The strength of the dollar versus sterling and the euro has also created a headwind for revenue growth.

The gross margin expanded further to 95%, which we believe is likely to be the ceiling level for Boku. Adjusted operating costs were lower year-on-year, partly due to the shift to IFRS 16 from 1 January, which replaces lease expenses with depreciation and interest charges, but also due to the sharing of central costs with the new Identity business. The higher gross profit combined with the lower cost base resulted in 161% growth in adjusted EBITDA year-on-year. Even adding back lease costs of $0.9m, EBITDA would have increased 125% y-o-y.

Mobile wallet integrations provide access to Asian consumers

During H1, Boku announced an integration with GrabPay, a mobile wallet developed by Grab Holdings Inc (Grab). Grab is a ‘super-app’ that provides a variety of on-demand services in eight South-East Asian countries (Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Myanmar, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam) including taxis, food delivery, car hire and electric scooter hire. The mobile app has been downloaded 68m times to date. Grab’s integration with the Boku platform means that merchants can offer GrabPay as a payment mechanism. Boku will then act as the processor of payments, collecting from GrabPay and paying across to the merchant. In the same way that digital content merchants use Boku as a combined customer acquisition tool and payment processor, we expect this will appeal to global merchants wanting to access consumers in South-East Asia.

Mobile wallets are a common payment method in Asia, and this contract marks the first such relationship for Boku. We view this type of integration as a way for Boku to increase its presence in Asia, as direct carrier billing is not commercially attractive in countries such as India or China.

Identity business makes a promising start

The Identity business (owned since the beginning of H119) generated revenue of $3.36m in H119 (+36% pro-forma), a gross profit of $1.44m (43% margin; 27% pro-forma in H118) and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $2.35m. Billable transactions of 141m were 100% higher year-on-year. As the growth in volume was skewed towards lower-value phone number verifications, revenue growth lagged volume growth.

Restructuring the business

When the company announced the acquisition, it had always planned to boost the Identity business’s sales and marketing function, and during the period tripled the salesforce. The amount of restructuring required was more than originally planned, and as more staff left during the period than expected, adjusted operating expenses were lower than anticipated. We would expect costs to pick up in H2 as the company invests further in the business.

Refining the offering

The majority of revenues to date have been generated from phone number verifications and phone data cleansing for its US customer base. The business is focused on growing out carrier connections outside of the US, and should be helped in this process by the relationships that Boku already has with carriers in its Payments business. The company alluded to the fact that this is taking longer than originally anticipated, and we believe this could slow the pace of revenue growth in the business in the shorter term.

Since taking over the Danal business, the company has worked on refining its offering to the carriers and has developed a tokenised ID product. The aim will be to sell this to merchants for ID verification purposes, reducing friction for consumers by replacing one-time password SMSs. The company is currently talking to payment processors and e-commerce providers with a view to them using the tokenised ID product on an international basis. A contract with this type of customer could add significantly to volumes processed and revenues, but the timing of such deals is uncertain.

Outlook and changes to forecasts

Management reiterated guidance for FY19:

Revenues of $52m

Gross margin of 93% for Payments and 40% for Identity

Adjusted EBITDA growth of 45–50% (which implies EBITDA of $9.16–9.48m)

Identity EBITDA loss c $5m

To achieve this would require a significant step-up in revenues in H2, from $23.5m in H1 to $28.5m in H2. Some of this should come from the growth in the Identity business, as international connections are activated and the new sales team wins business. The remainder would come from typical H2 seasonality, the launch of new games, and the roll-out of new connections. The company noted that it has a pipeline of more than 250 deployments, but also noted that some merchants are offering extended promotional periods, delaying the point at which consumers start paying for a service. The required step-up in EBITDA is not so large, from $4.29m in H1 to $4.87–5.19m in H2.

We have revised our forecasts to reflect the lower end of the EBITDA guidance. We have made the following changes:

Revenues: we have slightly lowered TPV in the payments business, but slightly raised take rates, as well as slightly lowering forecasts for the Identity business.

Gross margin: we have increased the Payments gross margin to 95% for FY20 and FY21. We have reduced the Identity gross margin in H219 as the company expects that material contracts would require more competitive pricing.

Amortisation: we have increased our capitalised development cost forecasts for FY19–21 and also the related amortisation. We have also added the amortisation relating to the intangibles created when Danal was acquired.

Share-based payments: we have increased our forecasts to reflect the amounts reported in H119.

Exhibit 3: Changes to forecasts

$m

FY19e

FY19e

FY20e

FY20e

FY21e

FY21e

Old

New

Change

y-o-y

Old

New

Change

y-o-y

Old

New

Change

y-o-y

DCB revenues

43.0

43.1

0.2%

22.2%

52.0

51.1

-1.6%

18.5%

58.4

58.2

-0.4%

13.8%

Identity revenues

10.0

8.9

-11.0%

N/A

18.0

17.0

-5.6%

90.9%

22.5

20.5

-8.9%

20.6%

Total revenues

53.0

52.0

-1.9%

47.5%

70.0

68.1

-2.6%

30.9%

80.9

78.7

-2.8%

15.5%

Gross profit

44.2

44.0

-0.4%

34.3%

57.6

57.1

-0.9%

29.6%

65.8

65.5

-0.5%

14.8%

Gross margin

83.3%

84.6%

1.3%

-8.3%

82.3%

83.8%

1.5%

-0.8%

81.4%

83.3%

1.9%

-0.5%

EBITDA

9.5

9.3

-2.2%

47.3%

22.3

20.1

-10.0%

115.3%

29.7

27.7

-6.8%

38.1%

EBITDA margin

18.0%

17.9%

-0.3%

0.0%

31.8%

29.4%

-7.5%

11.5%

36.7%

35.2%

-4.2%

5.8%

Normalised operating profit

6.8

6.6

-3.5%

36.4%

20.2

17.3

-14.3%

162.7%

27.6

25.0

-9.2%

44.3%

Normalised operating margin

12.9%

12.7%

-0.2%

-1.0%

28.9%

25.5%

-3.5%

12.8%

34.1%

31.8%

-2.3%

6.4%

Reported operating profit

0.8

(3.8)

-556.3%

57.4%

14.2

7.0

-50.4%

-285.3%

21.8

14.7

-32.7%

108.6%

Reported operating margin

1.6%

-7.3%

-8.9%

-0.5%

20.3%

10.3%

-10.0%

17.7%

27.0%

18.7%

-8.3%

8.3%

Normalised PBT

6.0

6.0

-0.3%

40.5%

19.5

16.6

-14.8%

177.5%

26.9

24.4

-9.4%

46.7%

Reported PBT

(0.0)

(4.4)

N/A

47.5%

13.5

6.3

-53.1%

N/A

21.2

14.1

-33.7%

122.3%

Normalised net income

4.7

4.7

-0.3%

40.5%

15.4

13.1

-14.8%

177.5%

21.3

19.3

-9.4%

46.7%

Reported net income

(0.0)

(4.4)

N/A

1.5%

12.1

5.7

-53.1%

N/A

18.0

11.9

-33.7%

110.0%

Normalised basic EPS ($)

0.020

0.020

-0.3%

27.8%

0.061

0.052

-14.8%

160.3%

0.083

0.075

-9.4%

46.3%

Normalised diluted EPS ($)

0.018

0.018

-0.3%

17.1%

0.056

0.048

-14.8%

163.2%

0.077

0.070

-9.4%

46.3%

Reported basic EPS ($)

(0.000)

(0.018)

N/A

-7.8%

0.048

0.022

-53.1%

N/A

0.071

0.047

-33.7%

109.3%

Net debt/(cash)

(28.5)

(27.3)

-4.2%

-5.4%

(50.2)

(46.6)

-7.1%

70.7%

(79.2)

(72.7)

-8.2%

56.0%

TPV ($bn)

5.29

5.05

-4.4%

42.5%

6.81

6.65

-2.3%

31.7%

8.11

7.95

-2.0%

19.5%

Take rate

0.81%

0.85%

0.0%

0.76%

0.77%

0.0%

0.72%

0.73%

0.0%

Source: Edison Investment Research

Valuation

The stock is up 53% year-to-date, but has declined 16% since the July trading update (or -12% relative to the FTSE AIM All Share). On our revised numbers, Boku is trading at a discount to peers on FY20 and FY21 forecasts, with revenue growth at the top end of the range, and EBIT margins in line with peers in FY20 and in the upper end of the range in FY21. Key to closing the valuation discount will be the ability to continue to demonstrate growth in the Payments business while building the Identity business and moving it to profitability.

Exhibit 4: Peer group valuation multiples

EV/sales

EV/EBITDA

P/E

FCF yield

CY

NY

NY+1

CY

NY

NY+1

CY

NY

NY+1

CY

NY

NY+1

Boku

5.9

4.5

3.9

33.0

15.3

11.1

73.2

27.8

19.0

0.9%

5.9%

7.9%

Bango

7.3

4.8

N/A

24.7

12.7

N/A

68.9

18.8

N/A

4.9%

N/A

N/A

Ingenico

2.3

2.1

2.0

12.9

11.8

10.9

18.1

16.4

15.0

5.2%

5.5%

6.1%

Worldline

4.8

4.5

4.2

19.6

17.1

15.3

39.6

31.5

27.4

2.5%

3.2%

3.7%

Wirecard

6.6

5.2

4.1

22.4

16.9

13.1

36.3

27.2

20.6

2.3%

3.2%

4.4%

FIS

7.2

6.6

6.2

17.4

14.8

13.4

25.0

21.0

18.1

3.5%

4.4%

6.1%

Fiserv

5.1

4.8

4.6

13.8

12.5

11.3

27.9

21.9

18.8

N/A

N/A

N/A

Global Payments

7.1

6.5

6.0

19.5

16.6

15.8

28.0

24.0

20.7

3.4%

4.2%

5.3%

PayPal

6.7

5.6

4.8

25.9

22.1

18.2

33.5

29.8

24.5

3.2%

4.2%

4.7%

Square

11.4

8.5

6.5

62.9

41.3

27.9

79.7

55.3

38.4

2.3%

2.6%

3.4%

Average payment processors

6.5

5.4

4.8

24.3

18.4

15.7

39.7

27.3

22.9

3.4%

3.9%

4.8%

Equifax

5.8

5.5

5.2

17.1

15.6

14.5

25.8

23.8

21.8

N/A

N/A

N/A

Experian

6.1

5.7

5.4

17.9

16.6

15.3

30.2

27.4

24.9

3.9%

4.4%

4.8%

GB Group

5.9

5.3

4.8

24.4

22.2

20.1

32.6

29.1

26.0

4.0%

4.3%

4.7%

TransUnion

7.4

6.8

6.3

18.7

17.0

15.5

31.0

27.2

23.7

N/A

N/A

N/A

Average ID management

6.3

5.8

5.4

19.6

17.9

16.4

29.9

26.9

24.1

3.9%

4.4%

4.8%

Source: Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv. Note: Priced at 10 September.

Exhibit 5: Peer group financial metrics

Share price

Market cap

Rev growth

EBITDA margin

EBIT margin

List ccy

LY

CY

NY

NY+1

LY

CY

NY

NY+1

LY

CY

NY

NY+1

Boku

102p

256

44.5%

47.5%

30.9%

15.5%

17.9%

17.9%

29.4%

35.2%

13.7%

12.7%

25.5%

31.8%

Bango

127.5p

89

59.4%

79.8%

51.3%

N/A

(28.7%)

29.4%

37.8%

N/A

(53.1%)

1.7%

23.9%

N/A

Ingenico

€89.48

5,691

5.5%

26.4%

6.0%

6.5%

18.3%

17.6%

18.2%

18.5%

12.1%

14.0%

14.7%

15.0%

Worldline

€60.75

11,080

10.8%

37.4%

7.1%

7.4%

21.7%

24.5%

26.3%

27.3%

15.0%

16.5%

18.8%

20.0%

Wirecard

€156.9

19,354

35.4%

32.7%

26.5%

25.7%

29.2%

29.4%

30.8%

31.6%

23.2%

24.6%

26.3%

27.0%

FIS

$133.84

82,103

(2.8%)

48.6%

8.3%

7.8%

35.3%

41.4%

44.8%

46.0%

18.4%

27.9%

37.3%

39.5%

Fiserv

$106.68

72,494

2.2%

160.8%

6.6%

5.4%

35.8%

37.2%

38.3%

40.2%

26.2%

28.6%

31.0%

32.0%

Global Payments

$170.8

26,761

(15.3%)

32.8%

9.2%

8.0%

39.1%

36.5%

39.2%

38.1%

23.6%

32.6%

33.4%

34.6%

PayPal

$105.43

124,057

18.0%

14.8%

18.3%

18.1%

21.8%

25.7%

25.5%

26.2%

16.8%

22.8%

23.4%

24.1%

Square

$61.47

26,256

49.0%

(31.1%)

34.1%

30.6%

3.4%

18.2%

20.7%

23.4%

1.6%

15.4%

18.0%

20.5%

Average payment processors

18.0%

44.7%

18.6%

13.7%

19.5%

28.9%

31.3%

31.4%

9.3%

20.4%

25.2%

26.6%

Equifax

$144.5

17,468

1.5%

2.0%

5.8%

5.6%

22.4%

33.9%

35.2%

35.8%

13.1%

18.4%

26.0%

28.7%

Experian

2575.0p

23,339

6.0%

7.1%

7.1%

6.8%

33.6%

34.2%

34.6%

35.0%

24.6%

26.4%

26.7%

27.2%

GB Group

560.0p

1,078

19.9%

36.2%

10.8%

10.4%

22.2%

24.1%

23.9%

23.9%

13.5%

22.9%

22.9%

21.9%

TransUnion

$83.43

15,668

19.8%

13.9%

8.4%

7.9%

35.4%

39.4%

39.9%

40.6%

22.1%

30.2%

29.8%

28.4%

Average ID management

11.8%

14.8%

8.0%

7.7%

28.4%

32.9%

33.4%

33.8%

18.4%

24.5%

26.4%

26.6%

Source: Edison Investment Research, Refinitiv. Note: Priced at 10 September.

Exhibit 6: Financial summary

$m

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019e

2020e

2021e

Year end 31 December

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue

 

 

18.3

19.2

17.2

24.4

35.3

52.0

68.1

78.7

Cost of Sales

(4.1)

(4.0)

(3.2)

(2.3)

(2.5)

(8.0)

(11.1)

(13.2)

Gross Profit

14.2

15.2

14.0

22.1

32.8

44.0

57.1

65.5

EBITDA

 

 

(9.6)

(11.4)

(12.3)

(2.3)

6.3

9.3

20.1

27.7

Normalised operating profit

 

 

(9.8)

(12.4)

(13.8)

(4.0)

4.8

6.6

17.3

25.0

Amortisation of acquired intangibles

(0.8)

(1.9)

(1.7)

(1.3)

(1.3)

(1.8)

(1.8)

(1.9)

Exceptionals

(2.1)

(0.1)

(2.4)

(2.2)

(1.4)

(0.1)

0.0

0.0

Share-based payments

(1.7)

(1.8)

(2.1)

(1.5)

(4.6)

(8.5)

(8.5)

(8.5)

Reported operating profit

(14.4)

(16.2)

(19.9)

(9.0)

(2.4)

(3.8)

7.0

14.7

Net Interest

(0.6)

(0.4)

(1.2)

(2.4)

(0.6)

(0.6)

(0.7)

(0.6)

Joint ventures & associates (post tax)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Exceptionals

0.0

0.0

0.0

(17.1)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Profit Before Tax (norm)

 

 

(10.4)

(12.8)

(15.0)

(6.4)

4.3

6.0

16.6

24.4

Profit Before Tax (reported)

 

 

(15.0)

(16.6)

(21.1)

(28.5)

(3.0)

(4.4)

6.3

14.1

Reported tax

(0.4)

(0.4)

0.5

(0.1)

(1.3)

0.0

(0.6)

(2.1)

Profit After Tax (norm)

(7.8)

(9.6)

(11.2)

(4.8)

3.4

4.7

13.1

19.3

Profit After Tax (reported)

(15.4)

(17.0)

(20.6)

(28.7)

(4.3)

(4.4)

5.7

11.9

Minority interests

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Discontinued operations

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Net income (normalised)

(7.8)

(9.6)

(11.2)

(4.8)

3.4

4.7

13.1

19.3

Net income (reported)

(15.4)

(17.0)

(20.6)

(28.7)

(4.3)

(4.4)

5.7

11.9

Basic ave. number of shares outstanding (m)

21.3

27.4

140.1

150.3

217.1

238.7

254.5

255.2

EPS - basic normalised ($)

 

 

(0.36)

(0.35)

(0.08)

(0.03)

0.02

0.02

0.05

0.08

EPS - diluted normalised ($)

 

 

(0.36)

(0.35)

(0.08)

(0.03)

0.02

0.02

0.05

0.07

EPS - basic reported ($)

 

 

(0.72)

(0.62)

(0.15)

(0.19)

(0.02)

(0.02)

0.02

0.05

Dividend ($)

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

0.00

Revenue growth (%)

N/A

4.7

(10.4)

42.0

44.5

47.5

30.9

15.5

Gross Margin (%)

77.6

79.1

81.4

90.7

92.9

84.6

83.8

83.3

EBITDA Margin (%)

(52.5)

(59.2)

(71.4)

(9.5)

17.9

17.9

29.4

35.2

Normalised Operating Margin

(53.2)

(64.4)

(80.0)

(16.5)

13.7

12.7

25.5

31.8

BALANCE SHEET

Fixed Assets

 

 

32.7

30.8

26.8

26.9

23.0

50.6

48.0

46.2

Intangible Assets

32.5

30.1

25.7

25.8

22.5

47.0

45.3

43.2

Tangible Assets

0.2

0.7

0.5

0.4

0.3

2.9

1.5

0.3

Investments & other

0.0

0.0

0.6

0.7

0.3

0.7

1.2

2.6

Current Assets

 

 

72.5

53.0

48.9

79.3

84.0

96.6

126.9

160.5

Stocks

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Debtors

59.7

43.3

37.1

59.1

51.7

63.6

75.8

84.3

Cash & cash equivalents

12.0

9.0

11.3

18.7

31.1

31.8

49.9

74.9

Other

0.7

0.6

0.5

1.4

1.3

1.3

1.3

1.3

Current Liabilities

 

 

(69.6)

(65.5)

(61.0)

(78.0)

(79.6)

(90.6)

(104.0)

(112.8)

Creditors

(64.6)

(60.4)

(54.9)

(75.5)

(77.4)

(86.1)

(100.7)

(110.6)

Tax and social security

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Short term borrowings

(5.0)

(5.1)

(6.1)

(2.5)

(2.2)

(4.5)

(3.3)

(2.2)

Other

0.0

0.0

0.0

(0.0)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Long Term Liabilities

 

 

0.0

(0.3)

(15.2)

(0.2)

(0.8)

(0.8)

(1.3)

(3.8)

Long term borrowings

0.0

(0.2)

(15.1)

(0.0)

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Other long term liabilities

0.0

(0.1)

(0.1)

(0.1)

(0.8)

(0.8)

(1.3)

(3.8)

Net Assets

 

 

35.5

18.0

(0.4)

28.0

26.6

55.8

69.6

90.0

Minority interests

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Shareholders' equity

 

 

35.5

18.0

(0.4)

28.0

26.6

55.8

69.6

90.0

CASH FLOW

Op Cash Flow before WC and tax

(9.6)

(11.4)

(12.3)

(2.3)

6.3

9.3

20.1

27.7

Working capital

9.3

11.6

(3.4)

1.0

7.2

(3.1)

2.3

1.4

Exceptional & other

(1.6)

1.1

4.2

(5.5)

0.2

(0.8)

(0.4)

0.0

Tax

(0.0)

(0.0)

(0.0)

0.0

(0.2)

(0.4)

(0.7)

(1.0)

Net operating cash flow

 

 

(1.9)

1.3

(11.5)

(6.8)

13.5

5.0

21.4

28.1

Capex

(1.1)

(3.6)

(1.5)

(0.3)

(0.3)

(1.8)

(1.3)

(1.4)

Acquisitions/disposals

5.9

0.3

0.0

0.0

(0.2)

(0.7)

0.0

0.0

Net interest

(0.3)

(0.3)

(0.3)

(0.9)

(0.6)

(0.3)

(0.6)

(0.6)

Equity financing

0.2

0.1

0.1

19.8

0.5

0.4

0.0

0.0

Dividends

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Other

0.6

(0.0)

0.1

(1.1)

0.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

Net Cash Flow

3.3

(2.2)

(13.1)

10.6

13.1

2.5

19.5

26.2

Opening net debt/(cash)

 

 

(4.9)

(7.0)

(3.6)

9.9

(16.2)

(28.9)

(27.3)

(46.6)

FX

(1.2)

(0.8)

(0.4)

0.4

(0.5)

(0.3)

(0.2)

(0.1)

Other non-cash movements

0.0

(0.4)

(0.0)

15.1

0.0

(3.8)

0.0

0.0

Closing net debt/(cash)

 

 

(7.0)

(3.6)

9.9

(16.2)

(28.9)

(27.3)

(46.6)

(72.7)

Source: Boku accounts, Edison Investment Research

General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by Boku and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by Boku. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £49,500 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2019 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison). All rights reserved FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2019. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

The Investment Research is a publication distributed in the United States by Edison Investment Research, Inc. Edison Investment Research, Inc. is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1,185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1,185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

General disclaimer and copyright

This report has been commissioned by Boku and prepared and issued by Edison, in consideration of a fee payable by Boku. Edison Investment Research standard fees are £49,500 pa for the production and broad dissemination of a detailed note (Outlook) following by regular (typically quarterly) update notes. Fees are paid upfront in cash without recourse. Edison may seek additional fees for the provision of roadshows and related IR services for the client but does not get remunerated for any investment banking services. We never take payment in stock, options or warrants for any of our services.

Accuracy of content: All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report and have not sought for this information to be independently verified. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations.

Exclusion of Liability: To the fullest extent allowed by law, Edison shall not be liable for any direct, indirect or consequential losses, loss of profits, damages, costs or expenses incurred or suffered by you arising out or in connection with the access to, use of or reliance on any information contained on this note.

No personalised advice: The information that we provide should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The securities described in the report may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors.

Investment in securities mentioned: Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing and conflicts of interest. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report, subject to Edison's policies on personal dealing and conflicts of interest.

Copyright: Copyright 2019 Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison). All rights reserved FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2019. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

Australia

Edison Investment Research Pty Ltd (Edison AU) is the Australian subsidiary of Edison. Edison AU is a Corporate Authorised Representative (1252501) of Crown Wealth Group Pty Ltd who holds an Australian Financial Services Licence (Number: 494274). This research is issued in Australia by Edison AU and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia. Any advice given by Edison AU is general advice only and does not take into account your personal circumstances, needs or objectives. You should, before acting on this advice, consider the appropriateness of the advice, having regard to your objectives, financial situation and needs. If our advice relates to the acquisition, or possible acquisition, of a particular financial product you should read any relevant Product Disclosure Statement or like instrument.

New Zealand

The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (i.e. without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision.

United Kingdom

This document is prepared and provided by Edison for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.

This Communication is being distributed in the United Kingdom and is directed only at (i) persons having professional experience in matters relating to investments, i.e. investment professionals within the meaning of Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005, as amended (the "FPO") (ii) high net-worth companies, unincorporated associations or other bodies within the meaning of Article 49 of the FPO and (iii) persons to whom it is otherwise lawful to distribute it. The investment or investment activity to which this document relates is available only to such persons. It is not intended that this document be distributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other class of persons and in any event and under no circumstances should persons of any other description rely on or act upon the contents of this document.

This Communication is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced by, further distributed to or published in whole or in part by, any other person.

United States

The Investment Research is a publication distributed in the United States by Edison Investment Research, Inc. Edison Investment Research, Inc. is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. This report is a bona fide publication of general and regular circulation offering impersonal investment-related advice, not tailored to a specific investment portfolio or the needs of current and/or prospective subscribers. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personal advice and the research provided is for informational purposes only. No mention of a particular security in this report constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell or hold that or any security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1,185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

1,185 Avenue of the Americas

3rd Floor, New York, NY 10036

United States of America

Sydney +61 (0)2 8249 8342

Level 4, Office 1205

95 Pitt Street, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Share this with friends and colleagues

You may be interested in