Target Healthcare REIT (LSE: THRL)

Currency in GBP

Last close As at 28/11/2023

GBP0.84

0.30 (0.36%)

Market capitalisation

GBP520m

Target Healthcare REIT invests in modern, purpose-built residential care homes in the UK let on long leases to high-quality care providers. It selects assets according to local demographics and intends to pay increasing dividends underpinned by structural growth in demand for care.

The care home sector is driven by demographics rather than the economy, generating a positive demand outlook for new, ESG-compliant, purpose-built homes with flexible layouts and high-quality residential facilities. With its unwavering focus on asset and tenant quality, these are the homes in which Target invests. It believes that best-in-class assets, in areas with strong demand/supply characteristics, and sustainable rent levels will always be attractive to existing or alternative tenants and are key to providing sustainable, long-duration income with capital growth.

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Sector

Real Estate

Equity Analyst

Martyn King

Martyn King

Director, Financials

Key Management

  • Alison Fyfe

    Chairman

  • Gordon Bland

    FD

  • Kenneth MacKenzie

    CEO

Balance Sheet

Forecast net debt (£m)

250

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

37

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual 18.1 22.4 4.2
Relative 14.3 20.4 5.4
52 week high/low 87.1p/66.5p

Financials

Target Healthcare REIT’s mid-year rebasing of DPS sought to establish a base for growth on a fully covered basis. With FY23 results in line with previous indications, and progress continuing, the company has increased the quarterly rate of DPS by 2% from Q124. With rent collection restored, we expect rental growth, development completions and fixed debt costs to support continued, progressive, fully covered dividend growth.

Y/E Jun Revenue (£m) EBITDA (£m) PBT (£m) EPS (p) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2022A 63.9 N/A 30.2 5.0 16.8 16.8
2023A 67.7 N/A 37.2 6.0 14.0 17.4
2024E 69.0 N/A 37.2 6.0 14.0 12.4
2025E 73.8 N/A 39.3 6.3 13.4 12.7

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