Pan American Silver (NYSE: PAAS)

Last close As at 02/05/2024

USD18.38

−0.19 (−1.02%)

Market capitalisation

USD6,703m

Pan American Silver is one of the largest global primary silver producers and a sizeable gold miner with operations in North, Central and South America since 1994. It owns 11 producing operations, the currently suspended top tier Escobal silver mine and a number of large-scale advanced exploration/development projects.

PAAS shares remain weak despite the evidence of impressive cash flow generation in FY23 and the strong gold price that does not seem to fully discount the interest rate reduction potential.

Latest Insights

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Metals & Mining | Flash note

Pan American Silver — La Arena divestment

Metals & Mining | Update

Pan American Silver — FY23 results: Follow the cash flow

Metals & Mining | Update

Pan American Silver — Consistent growth at higher costs

Metals & Mining | Update

Pan American Silver — Adjusting valuation on Skarn

Macro Pyrite mineral_pan american

Equity Analyst

Andrey Litvin

Energy and Resources Analyst

Harry Kilby

Analyst

Key Management

  • Guido Mastropietro

    Director, finance

  • Siren Fisekci

    VP, investor relations and corporate communic

Balance Sheet

Forecast net debt (US$m)

360.8

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

8

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual 16.4 34.7 1.0
Relative 19.7 31.8 (17.8)
52 week high/low US$19.6/US$12.2

Financials

Pan American Silver (PAAS) has announced a sale of the La Arena and La Arena II projects to Zijin Mining for US$245m in cash, US$50m in a contingent payment and a 1.5% NSR gold royalty. La Arena II is a copper and gold sulphide deposit that sits underneath the currently producing La Arena gold project. We view the transaction as positive for PAAS, given La Arena’s very short mine life, significant capex required to bring La Arena II into production and the fact that copper is not PAAS’s core commodity.

Y/E Dec Revenue (US$m) EBITDA (US$m) PBT (US$m) EPS (fd) (c) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2022A 1494.7 272.0 (73.0) (54.06) N/A N/A
2023A 2316.1 680.6 108.4 19.45 94.5 N/A
2024E 2578.0 764.6 174.5 23.70 77.6 76.9
2025E N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Update

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Bigger scale, stronger profitability

Macro Pyrite mineral_pan american

Flash note

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Yamana transaction fully approved

Macro Pyrite mineral_pan american

Flash note

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Shareholders approve Yamana transaction

Flash note

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Proxy advisors support Yamana vote

Update

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Yamana bid overshadows Q322 results

Flash note

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Significant resources upgrade at Skarn

Update

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Mixed Q2 results, Escobal progress

Flash note

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Positive drill results at La Colorada Skarn

Update

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Q122 results – good cost control

Initiation

Metals & Mining

Pan American Silver — Lean, mean silver machine