£8.7m market cap
1.7p last close
KEFI Minerals is an exploration and development company focused on gold and copper deposits in the highly prospective Arabian-Nubian Shield – principally the Tulu Kapi project in Ethiopia and, to a lesser extent, the Jibal Qutman project in Saudi Arabia.
Investment summary
After raising £5.5m in equity and mandating the placing of US$160m of Luxembourg-listed infrastructure bonds, KEFI has now expanded its binding agreement with local investors to sell an effective 26% project-level stake for US$38m (cf US$30m for 23% previously). In so doing, it has assembled the full funding consortium necessary to progress Tulu Kapi, while all outstanding government consents (with the single exception of that relating to the project finance structure from the Prime Ministry) have now been granted ahead of community resettlement and construction in H119.
Y/E Dec |
Revenue (£m) |
EBITDA (£m) |
PBT (£m) |
EPS (p) |
P/E (x) |
P/CF (x) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016A | 0.0 | (2.3) | (2.5) | (1.6) | N/A | N/A |
| 2017A | 0.0 | (3.5) | (3.6) | (1.2) | N/A | N/A |
| 2018E | 0.0 | (3.2) | (3.8) | (0.9) | N/A | N/A |
| 2019E | 0.0 | (3.4) | (11.6) | (0.9) | N/A | N/A |
| Last updated on 23/09/2018 | ||||||
Industry outlook
Once developed, we calculate that Tulu Kapi will generate free cash flow of c £41.7m a year, which we value at 7.21p/share in FY19 (at a 10% discount rate) or 5.27p/share assuming full conversion of its convertible loan facility and 5.26p with the expanded local participation in the project. However, this increases to c 10p in the event that KEFI is able to leverage its cash flow from the mine into other assets in the region.
Last updated on 23/09/2018
Sector |
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| Metals & mining |
Share price graph
Balance sheet |
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| Forecast net cash (£m) | 38.4 |
| Forecast gearing ratio (%) | N/A |
Price performance
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3m |
12m |
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Key management |
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| Harry Anagnostaras-Adams | CEO |
| Jeff Rayner | Managing Director |
| laki Catsamas | Group financial controller |
