Cadence Minerals is an early-stage investment and development company in the mining space. Its public equity holdings include rare earths and lithium developers, and its non-listed interests include a 32.6% interest in the Amapá iron ore restart project in Brazil.
Cadence continues to de-risk and optimise Amapá, with recent work indicating a potential 33% (US$63.2m) reduction in capital costs for the beneficiation plant and a 4.8% increase in forecast production of product. Studies are continuing to reduce mining costs and potentially upgrade the main product from 65% Fe to 67% Fe, which attracts a premium.
Metals & Mining |
Update
Metals & Mining |
Update
Metals & Mining |
Flash note
Metals & Mining |
Initiation
Kiran Morzaria
CEO
Forecast net cash (£m)
0.3
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (35.5) | (32.4) | (64.9) |
Relative | (37.2) | (36.7) | (66.5) |
52 week high/low | 10.2p/3.2p |
Cadence Minerals is a mining-focused investment company with unlisted investment assets that the market appears to be clearly mis-pricing. It holds a portfolio of public investments, but its major non-public asset is a 33.6% stake in the Amapá iron ore project in Brazil; we believe a conservative base-case valuation for the asset to be £41.2m at its current stage of development, significantly above the valuation for Cadence in its entirety. We see significant further de-risking of the project in 2024, including licensing and further engineering and optimisation work, with this progress increasing the value of Candence’s stake.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (£m) | EBITDA (£m) | PBT (£m) | EPS (p) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021A | 1.2 | (0.6) | (0.1) | (0.10) | N/A | N/A |
2022A | (4.0) | (5.5) | (5.5) | (3.36) | N/A | N/A |
2023E | 0.0 | (1.8) | (1.8) | (1.10) | N/A | N/A |
2024E | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A | N/A |
thematic
Metals & Mining