Wheaton Precious Metals is the world’s pre-eminent ostensibly precious metals streaming company, with over 30 high-quality precious metals streams and early deposit agreements over mines in Mexico, Canada, Brazil, Chile, the US, Argentina, Peru, Sweden, Greece, Portugal and Colombia.
Wheaton’s shares are trading on near-term financial ratios that are lower than those of its peers on 63% of common valuation measures which otherwise imply a share price in 2022 of US$34.11, or C$46.13 or £30.20 (based on Edison forecasts). Using a CAPM-type methodology, we calculate a terminal value for Wheaton of US$55.35 (C$74.87) per share in FY26. Alternatively, if precious metals return to favour, then we believe that a near-term valuation of US$43.63 (C$59.02 or £38.63) per share is possible. In addition, Wheaton has US$492.5m (US$1.09/share) in net cash on its balance sheet as at end-Q322.
Metals & Mining
Gary D. Brown
CFO
Jacy Zerb
Director, Investor Relations
Patrick Drouin
SVP, Investor Relations
Randy V. J. Smallwood
CEO
Forecast net cash (US$m)
494.9
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
N/A
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | 12.7 | 39.0 | 15.7 |
Relative | 5.3 | 29.2 | 19.2 |
52 week high/low | C$64.7/C$39.1 |
Wheaton Precious Metals produced 159,852 gold equivalent ounces (GEOs) in Q322, of which it sold 138,824 GEOs, representing a positive variance of 2.8% and a negative variance of 0.7% relative to our prior estimates, respectively. Its adjusted net earnings were US$1.4m, or 1.6%, above our prior forecast at US$93.9m and the fourth quarterly dividend for the year was maintained at US$0.15/share.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (US$m) | EBITDA (US$m) | PBT (US$m) | EPS (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020A | 1096.2 | 763.8 | 503.2 | 112.0 | 39.5 | 25.3 |
2021A | 1201.7 | 852.7 | 592.1 | 132.0 | 33.5 | 23.4 |
2022E | 1094.6 | 759.0 | 505.6 | 113.0 | 39.1 | 25.2 |
2023E | 1354.2 | 970.9 | 662.8 | 147.0 | 30.1 | 20.5 |
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