Phoenix Spree Deutschland (LSE: PSDL)

Currency in GBP

Last close As at 25/03/2023

GBP2.29

−5.00 (−2.14%)

Market capitalisation

GBP210m

Phoenix Spree Deutschland (PSD) is a long-term investor in mid-market residential property in Berlin, targeting reliable income and capital growth. Its core strategy is to acquire unmodernised apartment blocks that may be improved to the benefit of tenants, generating attractive returns for shareholders.

Demographic trends within the Berlin market remain positive, providing continuing support for free market rental values. Rising interest rates, inflation, and economic uncertainty is depressing private buyer and institutional investment demand, creating a headwind for capital values.

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Sector

Real Estate

Equity Analyst

Martyn King

Martyn King

Director, Financials

Key Management

  • Richard Collins

    COO

  • Stuart Young

    Partner, head of public markets

Balance Sheet

Forecast net cash (€m)

297.2

Forecast gearing ratio (%)

N/A

Share Price Performance

Price Performance
% 1M 3M 12M
Actual (6.9) (8.8) (41.1)
Relative (1.5) (9.1) (40.6)
52 week high/low 395.0p/229.0p

Financials

The fundamental demand-supply balance for Berlin rented residential accommodation remains robust but rising bond yields and challenging economic conditions have reduced investor activity and negatively affected property valuations. Phoenix Spree’s (PSD’s) FY22 portfolio valuation was 3.1% lower on a like-for-like basis, with a 5.2% H2 decline offsetting the 2.1% H1 gain. As previously indicated by the company, FY22 condominium sales were negatively affected by market conditions but positively, the premium to book value on condominium notarisations (22.4%) continued despite weaker volumes (€4.7m vs €15.2m in FY21). PSD expects to continue to benefit from rent reversion built into the portfolio and is well-placed for a medium-term recovery in condominium sales, with 76% of units designated as such. Interest costs are fixed at 2.1% until 2026. With results in late March, PSD expects to report FY22 EPRA NTA per share within a range of €5.09–5.14.

Y/E Dec Revenue (€m) EBITDA (€m) PBT (€m) EPS (c) P/E (x) P/CF (x)
2020A 23.9 48.3 37.9 30.11 8.6 38.0
2021A 25.8 45.4 45.3 39.26 6.6 30.8
2022E 26.5 (35.4) (37.0) (33.99) N/A 83.6
2023E 28.2 9.2 1.4 1.57 164.7 27.4

Thematics

Consumer

IPO apocalypse

TMT

ESG, moving beyond the box tick

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