MGI – Media and Games Invest is an advertising software platform with strong first-party games content. It mainly operates in North America and Europe. Organic growth is supplemented with acquisitions and the group has bought more than 35 companies and assets in the past six years.
The digital advertising market continues to undergo significant changes, mostly driven by changing attitudes towards privacy. Where there is change, there is opportunity. The target addressable market is vast and there is a long runway until market share starts to become an issue for MGI. As the group builds scale, its increasing reach attracts greater numbers of software customers and a higher calibre of advertisers, with larger budgets.
Paul Echt
FD
Remco Westerman
Executive Chairman
Forecast net debt (€m)
259.8
Forecast gearing ratio (%)
73
% | 1M | 3M | 12M |
---|---|---|---|
Actual | (7.7) | (30.3) | (65.5) |
Relative | (9.7) | (33.9) | (70.3) |
52 week high/low | €4.3/€1.4 |
MGI – Media and Games Invest (MGI) is building a strong position in the programmatic adtech sector, under the Verve name. Its supply (publishing) side is expanding its customer base in a difficult market, with Verve now the largest mobile in-app provider for Google in North America and EMEA and fourth largest on iOS. Verve’s demand (advertising) side is growing strongly, from a lower base. The group’s Q123 revenues were up by 1% (organic, +4% with currency), while lower costs from the slimmed-down games portfolio and the operational benefit of the combined tech stacks have lifted margins faster than we anticipated. The share price is at a sizable discount to peers. In our view, this does not reflect the value inherent in MGI’s large first-party data resource, AI-driven targeting or the scale of its opportunity.
Y/E Dec | Revenue (€m) | EBITDA (€m) | PBT (€m) | EPS (fd) (c) | P/E (x) | P/CF (x) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2021A | 252.2 | 65.0 | 26.9 | 19.77 | 5.5 | 9.5 |
2022A | 324.4 | 84.8 | 30.3 | 12.07 | 8.9 | N/A |
2023E | 340.0 | 90.7 | 34.6 | 9.51 | 11.4 | 28.7 |
2024E | 375.0 | 102.0 | 44.9 | 12.64 | 8.5 | 15.3 |
Get access to the very latest content matched to your personal investment style.