Traditional software momentum

StatPro Group 19 September 2016 Update

StatPro Group

Traditional software momentum

Contract wins

Software & comp services

19 September 2016

Price

107.5p

Market cap

£70m

Net debt (£m) at 30 June 2016

9.14

Shares in issue

64.7m

Free float

73%

Code

SOG

Primary exchange

AIM

Secondary exchange

N/A

Share price performance

%

1m

3m

12m

Abs

5.4

26.5

53.6

Rel (local)

7.6

12.4

43.3

52-week high/low

107.5p

69.25p

Business description

StatPro Group provides cloud-based portfolio analytics solutions to the global investment community.

Next events

Revolution Performance launch

28 September 2016

Q3 trading update

Mid-October 2016

Analysts

Richard Jeans

+44 (0)20 3077 5700

Dan Ridsdale

+44 (0)20 3077 5729

StatPro Group is a research client of Edison Investment Research Limited

StatPro has seen a revival of sales in its traditional software in recent weeks. In early September it announced a £1.5m+ 3.5 year StatPro Seven contract win with a US-based top 10 global asset manager. Today, the group’s Infovest unit has announced a £1.0m seven-year contract with a large North American asset manager. Meanwhile, StatPro is launching its Revolution Performance module later this month. We are maintaining our forecasts, but with the healthy contract momentum and weak sterling, we see an increasing upside risk for forecasts as the year progresses. With StatPro’s US-based fintech peers and SaaS companies trading on lofty multiples, we continue to believe there is significant upside in the shares.

Year
end

Revenue (£m)

PBT*
(£m)

EPS*
(p)

DPS
(p)

P/E
(x)

Yield
(%)

12/14

32.0

2.6

2.7

2.9

40.1

2.7

12/15

30.2

2.6

2.6

2.9

40.9

2.7

12/16e

35.5

2.8

2.7

2.9

40.0

2.7

12/17e

37.6

3.7

3.7

2.9

29.4

2.7

Note: *PBT and EPS are normalised, excluding amortisation of acquired intangibles, exceptional items and share-based payments.

StatPro composites contract win

StatPro is the market leader in composites. A composite is an aggregation of individual portfolios representing a similar investment mandate and the solution is designed for maintaining compliance with Global Investment Performance Standards (GIPS). While the product is part of the legacy Seven platform, it is in modern web-based format. StatPro intends to add composite functionality to StatPro Revolution and meanwhile continues to develop StatPro Composites.

Infovest Consulting contract momentum

In February StatPro exchanged its compliance product, SPC, for a 51% stake in South Africa-based InfoVest, which provides data warehouse, ETL and reporting software to asset managers. As part of the deal, StatPro provides Infovest with access to its global customer base. Infovest has had four new contract wins since the acquisition, with three outside its traditional South African market. The latest contract win is its largest and will significantly increase its recurring revenues.

Revolution Performance launch

Later this month, StatPro will formally launch its new cloud-based performance measurement and data management solution, Revolution Performance. This transaction-based system runs off Amazon cloud and represents the transition of the core component of StatPro’s traditional software platform to the cloud.

Valuation: Highly scalable cloud computing upside

StatPro’s stock trades on c 40x our maintained FY16e EPS, which falls to c 29x in FY17e. Alternatively, the shares trade on c 2.1x FY17e EV/sales, one-third of the level of StatPro’s larger US peers, which mostly trade above 5x EV/sales, while US-based pure SaaS companies typically trade in the region of 4.4-6.8x EV/sales.

Exhibit 1: Financial summary

£'000s

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016e

2017e

Year end 31 December

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

IFRS

PROFIT & LOSS

Revenue

 

 

32,001

32,486

32,018

30,187

35,496

37,645

Cost of Sales

0

0

0

0

0

0

Gross Profit

32,001

32,486

32,018

30,187

35,496

37,645

EBITDA

 

 

6,728

5,463

4,359

4,044

4,715

5,679

Adjusted Operating Profit

 

 

5,534

4,327

2,875

2,852

3,299

4,150

Amortisation of acquired intangibles

(440)

(402)

(188)

(32)

(1,100)

(1,100)

Exceptionals

(693)

(347)

0

0

(894)

0

Share based payments

159

(192)

(26)

(121)

(200)

(213)

Operating Profit

4,560

3,386

2,661

2,699

1,106

2,838

Net Interest

(493)

(273)

(291)

(290)

(535)

(470)

Profit Before Tax (norm)

 

 

5,041

4,054

2,584

2,562

2,765

3,680

Profit Before Tax (FRS 3)

 

 

4,067

3,113

2,370

2,409

571

2,368

Tax

(1,387)

(1,030)

(774)

(788)

(774)

(1,030)

Profit After Tax (norm)

3,654

3,024

1,810

1,774

1,991

2,650

Profit After Tax (FRS 3)

2,680

2,083

1,596

1,621

(203)

1,337

Minority interests

0

0

0

0

(213)

(271)

Net income (norm)

3,654

3,024

1,810

1,774

1,778

2,379

Net income (statutory)

2,680

2,083

1,596

1,621

(416)

1,066

Average Number of Shares Outstanding (m)

62.2

67.5

67.5

67.6

66.2

65.1

EPS - normalised (p)

 

 

5.9

4.5

2.7

2.6

2.7

3.7

EPS - FRS 3 (p)

 

 

4.3

3.1

2.4

2.4

(0.6)

1.6

Dividend per share (p)

2.70

2.80

2.90

2.90

2.90

2.90

Gross Margin (%)

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

100.0

EBITDA Margin (%)

21.0

16.8

13.6

13.4

13.3

15.1

Operating Margin (before GW and except.) (%)

17.3

13.3

9.0

9.4

9.3

11.0

BALANCE SHEET

Fixed Assets

 

 

60,272

55,992

56,113

51,857

58,054

56,995

Intangible Assets

57,683

53,524

52,546

48,613

54,876

54,029

Tangible Assets

1,974

1,883

2,470

2,233

2,167

1,955

Other assets

615

585

1,097

1,011

1,011

1,011

Current Assets

 

 

10,675

10,312

10,441

10,665

2,223

2,588

Stocks

0

0

0

0

0

0

Debtors

6,962

6,167

7,722

8,462

9,950

10,553

Cash

3,681

4,014

2,692

2,203

(7,727)

(7,965)

Current Liabilities

 

 

(19,927)

(18,514)

(20,271)

(19,778)

(21,638)

(22,507)

Creditors

(19,913)

(18,502)

(20,259)

(19,660)

(21,520)

(22,389)

Short term borrowings

(14)

(12)

(12)

(118)

(118)

(118)

Long Term Liabilities

 

 

(1,400)

(882)

(598)

(1,227)

(3,325)

(1,926)

Long term borrowings

0

0

0

(801)

(801)

(801)

Other long term liabilities

(1,400)

(882)

(598)

(426)

(2,524)

(1,125)

Net Assets

 

 

49,620

46,908

45,685

41,517

35,313

35,149

CASH FLOW

Operating Cash Flow

 

 

9,233

9,403

7,705

6,548

7,489

9,709

Net Interest

(306)

(98)

(10)

(84)

(535)

(470)

Tax

(1,261)

(1,616)

(1,173)

(832)

(1,600)

(747)

Capex

(4,187)

(4,412)

(5,904)

(4,999)

(5,209)

(5,411)

Acquisitions/disposals

0

(990)

0

0

(5,536)

(1,399)

Equity financing

5,689

0

2

64

(2,079)

0

Dividends

(1,627)

(1,856)

(1,889)

(1,960)

(1,959)

(1,920)

Net Cash Flow

7,541

431

(1,269)

(1,263)

(9,429)

(238)

Opening net debt/(cash)

 

 

3,399

(3,667)

(4,002)

(2,680)

(1,283)

8,646

Other

(475)

(96)

(53)

(134)

(500)

()

Closing net debt/(cash)

 

 

(3,667)

(4,002)

(2,680)

(1,283)

8,646

8,884

Source: StatPro Group accounts, Edison Investment Research estimates

Edison, the investment intelligence firm, is the future of investor interaction with corporates. Our team of over 100 analysts and investment professionals work with leading companies, fund managers and investment banks worldwide to support their capital markets activity. We provide services to more than 400 retained corporate and investor clients from our offices in London, New York, Frankfurt, Sydney and Wellington. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison and is not regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
Copyright 2016 Edison Investment Research Limited. All rights reserved. This report has been commissioned by StatPro Group and prepared and issued by Edison for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in the Investment Research may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Aus and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act. The Investment Research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personalised advice. We publish information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and this information reflects our sincere opinions. The information that we provide or that is derived from our website is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, our website and the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Edison, its affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication. FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2016. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Edison, the investment intelligence firm, is the future of investor interaction with corporates. Our team of over 100 analysts and investment professionals work with leading companies, fund managers and investment banks worldwide to support their capital markets activity. We provide services to more than 400 retained corporate and investor clients from our offices in London, New York, Frankfurt, Sydney and Wellington. Edison is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Edison Investment Research (NZ) Limited (Edison NZ) is the New Zealand subsidiary of Edison. Edison NZ is registered on the New Zealand Financial Service Providers Register (FSP number 247505) and is registered to provide wholesale and/or generic financial adviser services only. Edison Investment Research Inc (Edison US) is the US subsidiary of Edison and is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison Investment Research Limited (Edison Aus) [46085869] is the Australian subsidiary of Edison and is not regulated by the Australian Securities and Investment Commission. Edison Germany is a branch entity of Edison Investment Research Limited [4794244]. www.edisongroup.com

DISCLAIMER
Copyright 2016 Edison Investment Research Limited. All rights reserved. This report has been commissioned by StatPro Group and prepared and issued by Edison for publication globally. All information used in the publication of this report has been compiled from publicly available sources that are believed to be reliable, however we do not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of this report. Opinions contained in this report represent those of the research department of Edison at the time of publication. The securities described in the Investment Research may not be eligible for sale in all jurisdictions or to certain categories of investors. This research is issued in Australia by Edison Aus and any access to it, is intended only for "wholesale clients" within the meaning of the Australian Corporations Act. The Investment Research is distributed in the United States by Edison US to major US institutional investors only. Edison US is registered as an investment adviser with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Edison US relies upon the "publishers' exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser under Section 202(a)(11) of the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 and corresponding state securities laws. As such, Edison does not offer or provide personalised advice. We publish information about companies in which we believe our readers may be interested and this information reflects our sincere opinions. The information that we provide or that is derived from our website is not intended to be, and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as, personalised advice. Also, our website and the information provided by us should not be construed by any subscriber or prospective subscriber as Edison’s solicitation to effect, or attempt to effect, any transaction in a security. The research in this document is intended for New Zealand resident professional financial advisers or brokers (for use in their roles as financial advisers or brokers) and habitual investors who are “wholesale clients” for the purpose of the Financial Advisers Act 2008 (FAA) (as described in sections 5(c) (1)(a), (b) and (c) of the FAA). This is not a solicitation or inducement to buy, sell, subscribe, or underwrite any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. This document is provided for information purposes only and should not be construed as an offer or solicitation for investment in any securities mentioned or in the topic of this document. A marketing communication under FCA Rules, this document has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research.
Edison has a restrictive policy relating to personal dealing. Edison Group does not conduct any investment business and, accordingly, does not itself hold any positions in the securities mentioned in this report. However, the respective directors, officers, employees and contractors of Edison may have a position in any or related securities mentioned in this report. Edison or its affiliates may perform services or solicit business from any of the companies mentioned in this report. The value of securities mentioned in this report can fall as well as rise and are subject to large and sudden swings. In addition it may be difficult or not possible to buy, sell or obtain accurate information about the value of securities mentioned in this report. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Forward-looking information or statements in this report contain information that is based on assumptions, forecasts of future results, estimates of amounts not yet determinable, and therefore involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of their subject matter to be materially different from current expectations. For the purpose of the FAA, the content of this report is of a general nature, is intended as a source of general information only and is not intended to constitute a recommendation or opinion in relation to acquiring or disposing (including refraining from acquiring or disposing) of securities. The distribution of this document is not a “personalised service” and, to the extent that it contains any financial advice, is intended only as a “class service” provided by Edison within the meaning of the FAA (ie without taking into account the particular financial situation or goals of any person). As such, it should not be relied upon in making an investment decision. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Edison, its affiliates and contractors, and their respective directors, officers and employees will not be liable for any loss or damage arising as a result of reliance being placed on any of the information contained in this report and do not guarantee the returns on investments in the products discussed in this publication. FTSE International Limited (“FTSE”) © FTSE 2016. “FTSE®” is a trade mark of the London Stock Exchange Group companies and is used by FTSE International Limited under license. All rights in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings vest in FTSE and/or its licensors. Neither FTSE nor its licensors accept any liability for any errors or omissions in the FTSE indices and/or FTSE ratings or underlying data. No further distribution of FTSE Data is permitted without FTSE’s express written consent.

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

Frankfurt +49 (0)69 78 8076 960

Schumannstrasse 34b

60325 Frankfurt

Germany

London +44 (0)20 3077 5700

280 High Holborn

London, WC1V 7EE

United Kingdom

New York +1 646 653 7026

245 Park Avenue, 39th Floor

10167, New York

US

Sydney +61 (0)2 9258 1161

Level 25, Aurora Place

88 Phillip St, Sydney

NSW 2000, Australia

Wellington +64 (0)48 948 555

Level 15, 171 Featherston St

Wellington 6011

New Zealand

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