Foxtons Group — Market share gains in Sales continues apace

28/01/2025

Foxtons Group’s FY24 trading update confirmed revenue and adjusted operating profit growth of c 11% and c 33%, respectively, reflecting the developing success of the company’s strategic vision. This suggests that the medium-term targets, particularly the adjusted annualised operating profit target of £25–30m, are increasingly coming into focus. We believe market share is being gained across all divisions, likely to be further boosted by the under-offer pipeline in Sales, which is the strongest since 2016. We have modestly raised our FY24e forecasts but maintained estimates further out at this stage, given the increase in Stamp Duty from April. Our valuation remains 134p per share, though risks appear to be skewed to the upside if market momentum continues, which could be further supported by a potential easing of interest rates.

Foxtons Group — Deals’ benefits matched by tax rise

28/11/2024

Foxtons Group’s recent acquisition of estate agents in two London commuter towns highlights the outer-London potential for low-risk, value-added expansion. Furthermore, it adds to the developing success of the company’s strategic vision and implies that medium-term targets are now coming into focus. We have updated our forecasts for the deals, but additional profit from the acquisitions is broadly matched by the increase in employer’s National Insurance costs, hence we retain our valuation of 134p/share and believe that falling interest rates and property market stability are contributing to a buoyant sales market.

Foxtons Group — Further strategic progress towards targets

25/10/2024

The latest quarterly trading update reconfirms the developing success of the Foxtons strategic vision and implies that medium-term targets, particularly the adjusted annualised operating profit target of £25–30m, are now coming further into focus. We believe that market share is being gained in all divisions, which is likely to be boosted further as the Sales pipeline is growing comfortably ahead of the market. We have modestly raised forecasts and our valuation to 134p/share and believe that if interest rates ease further, there is upside potential to our forecasts.