AFT Pharmaceuticals — Making progress on growth strategy

03/07/2025

AFT Pharmaceuticals has provided an investor update for Q2 CY25 (Q1 FY26), summarising material progress made across its global expansion and R&D-driven growth strategy. The highlight of the period was the launch of Maxigesic IV/Combogesic IV in Canada, marking the beginning of direct sales in North America. This, along with the expanded licensing and profit-share agreement with Hikma in May 2025 (to include distribution of Combogesic Rapid in the US), provides AFT with a solid foundation to expand its footprint in these key global markets. The period also saw notable R&D progress including a pre-investigational new drug (IND) filing with the FDA for AFT’s antibiotic eyedrop targeting resistant ocular infections (eg MRSA), and preparations for filings related to its strawberry birthmarks topical (pre-IND) treatment and the Phase-III ready novel injectable iron therapy. A paediatric study of Maxigesic IV is also planned, which could expand the addressable patient populations.

AFT Pharmaceuticals — Setting the stage for sustained long-term growth

03/06/2025

AFT Pharmaceuticals reported FY25 revenues of N Z$208m, posting a strong recovery in H2, with dissipating headwinds and traditional H2 seasonality offsetting the softer H1 performance. H225 revenues (N Z$121.3m) grew 40% over H125 and 9% y-o-y, driven by sustained domestic market momentum and international market recovery. The FY25 operating margin of 8.5% (12.4% in FY24) was affected by lower licensing income and investments in marketing, R&D and international expansion, but these investments should deliver upside opportunities in the longer term. The balance sheet remains strong (net debt reduced to N Z$14.5m, 0.7x EBITDA), supporting the announcement of a 1.8c per share dividend (c 17% payout ratio). Management aims to achieve N Z$300m in revenues by end-FY27 and has guided for operating profit of N Z$20–24m in FY26, with increased operating leverage in the medium term. We update our valuation for AFT to N Z$691.4m or N Z$6.59/share, from N Z$697.4m or N Z$6.65/share previously.

AFT Pharmaceuticals — Softer H1 on one-offs; recovery expected in H2

29/11/2024

AFT Pharmaceuticals reported H125 revenues of NZ$86.7m, a 3.7% y-o-y increase, albeit lower than expected due to one-off factors such as inventory rationalisation by certain international customers and a prolonged doctors’ strike in South Korea (combined sales of NZ$10m vs NZ$18.2m in H124). These factors, along with continued R&D and marketing efforts, weighed on profits, with AFT reporting an operating loss of NZ$1.8m in H125 (profit of NZ$3.3m in H124). The strong domestic Australia and New Zealand (ANZ) market performance provided a positive offset, with 17.4% y-o-y revenue growth to NZ$76.7m and improved operating profitability. Management expects a recovery in H2 but has lowered full-year operating profit guidance to NZ$15–20m (from NZ$22–25m previously) to reflect the H1 impact. The longer-term target is to achieve NZ$300m in sales by end-FY27, driven by expansion efforts. Factoring in the new FY25 guidance, we have lowered our valuation to NZ$697.4m or NZ$6.65/share (from NZ$725.5m or NZ$6.92/share).